Showing posts sorted by relevance for query Diane Coyle. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query Diane Coyle. Sort by date Show all posts

August 29, 2019

Links on Diane Coyle

Comment on Diane Coyle’s ‘Once upon a time’

Blog-Reference

All appearances to the contrary, economics is NOT a science but political agenda pushing. The format of popular propaganda is, of course, NOT the abstract theory but a concrete narrative. For a narrative, there is NO need to satisfy the scientific criteria of material and formal consistency. Doing away with semantic smoke what remains is the plain fact that narrative is just another word for political fraud. The self-styled enlightened economist Diane Coyle herself is a talented producer of proto-scientific garbage.

► The economist as storyteller
► Media-fake-farce-fraud-storytelling-macro
► Economics as storytelling and entertainment for the masses
► If religion is opium of the people, economics is crack of the people
► Economists simply don’t get it
► Macroeconomics ― dead since Keynes
► Knowledge only — no opinion
► How to be a good scientist
► Lazy or stupid or both?
► Circus Maximus: Economics as entertainment, personality gossip, virtue signaling, and lifestyle promotion

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


Related 'Narrative economics and the imperatives of the sitcom' and 'Economics: stories, narratives, and disinformation'.

August 31, 2018

Economists simply don’t get it

Comment on Chris Dillow on ‘What’s behind the rising US profit share?’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference on Sep 3

Chris Dillow argues: “Diane Coyle says the fact that different countries have seen different changes in labour’s share of income in recent years ― with it falling in the US but not the UK ― shows that ‘institutions are playing a big part’ in driving factor shares. This is true. But it’s only part of the story. I say so for a simple reason. Imagine aggregate wages were to fall for some reason ― technical change, globalization, whatever. Would this raise the profit share? Not necessarily. If every £1 fall in wages causes workers to cut their spending by £1, profits would also fall.”

False, profit would stay the same. The obvious fact of the matter is that economists do not understand to this day what profit is: “A satisfactory theory of profits is still elusive.” (Palgrave Dictionary, Desai, 2008) This is obviously disqualifying for economists in general and Chris Dillow, in particular. #1

Chris Dillow cites Kalecki and derives from “basic national accounts identities … an identity for profits: P=(C−W)+(I−D)+(G−T)+NX (i).”

This, of course, is proto-scientific garbage because economists are too stupid for the elementary mathematics that underlies National Accounting. #2, #3, #4 Distribution theory has always been false because Profit Theory has always been false.

To make matters short, here is the axiomatically correct macroeconomic Profit Law: Q≡Yd +(I−Sm) + (G−T)+NX (ii). Legend: Qm monetary profit/loss, Yd distributed profit, I investment expenditures, Sm monetary saving/dissaving, G government spending, T taxes, NX export minus import. Total profit Q is the sum of monetary profit Qm and nonmonetary profit Qn, i.e., Q≡Qm+Qn (iii). #5

Eq. (iii) determines the nominator of the so-called profit share and explains why it is rising. Roughly speaking, neither Diane Coyle’s institutions nor market power nor automation accounts for a rising profit share. The main drivers of increasing overall profit have been, in the past decades, the increasing deficit-spending of the government and household sector, which translates into ever-increasing public/private debt. #6

As Mirowski put it: “... one of the most convoluted and muddled areas in economic theory: the theory of profit.” No surprise then, that neither Diane Coyle nor Chris Dillow ever understood how the economy works, what profit is, and why the profit share rises. This is the essential prerequisite of trash-blogging.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 The Profit Theory is False Since Adam Smith
#2 Profit: after 200+ years, economists are still in the woods
#3 Truth by definition? The Profit Theory has been axiomatically false for 200+ years
#4 Wikipedia and the promotion of economists’ idiotism (II)
#5 For details of the big picture, see cross-references Profit
#6 Profit and the decline of labor’s nominal share (I)

Related 'Macroeconomics ― dead since Keynes' and 'Feeble thinkers, feeble rethinkers: The perennial misery of economics' and 'Go! ― test the Profit and Employment Law' and 'MMT and the single most stupid physicist' and 'Kalecki and Keynes: The double macroeconomic false start' and 'Truth by definition? The Profit Theory is axiomatically false for 200+ years'.

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Graphic AXEC109i

September 30, 2024

Occasional X: What economists really do (CCCLIX)

 

April 8, 2015

Lazy or stupid or both?

Comment on Lars Syll on ‘Modern macroeconomics — an intellectually lazy ideology’

Blog-Reference

Diane Coyle writes: “I think an honest conventionally-trained economist has to at least acknowledge that we grew intellectually lazy about this [the assumption of rational choice].” (See intro)

This statement implies that the representative economist is capable of thinking but only too lazy to apply his full capacities. An alternative explanation for the manifest scientific failure of economists could be that they are substandard thinkers.

Students in any scientific discipline are expected to find out whether their teacher's theory is true or false or incomplete. The growth of knowledge is what science is all about. Hence, the acceptance of basic tenets of conventional economics is strongly indicative of a lack of scientific acumen. From a student who has accepted utility maximization, rational choice, or supply-demand equilibrium as an explanation no contribution to real scientific progress is to be expected.

At the moment economics is the mindless perpetuation of proto-scientific stuff. An honest conventionally-trained economist has to at least ask himself how it could happen that he and other seemingly intelligent persons could ever accept the green cheese assumptionism and the logical defects of Econ 101.

The wonder of economics is a large number of generations of well-trained students that have faithfully recycled intellectual garbage.

In the final analysis, it is not a question of honesty but of scientific intuition to realize that the present state of economics calls for a Paradigm Shift#1 and not for another ridiculous discussion about efficient markets.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 For details of the big picture see cross-references Paradigm Shift.

November 30, 2015

Pluralism: cross-references

Posts
  • The GDP-death-blow for the economics profession   here
  • Economists: at the end of the wrong track   here
  • Wikipedia, economics, scientific knowledge, or political agenda pushing?   here
  • Your economics is refuted on all counts: here is the real thing   here
  • Profit   here
  • Master of MMT ― Master of proto-scientific garbage   here
  • Mindfuck or the Eternal Return of dead economic theories   here
  • There are NO crank scientists in economics because economics is NOT a science   here
  • Economics: Not a pretty story   here
  • Economics, MMT, and the corruption of science   here
  • Bill Mitchell, MMT, Progressives: economists as Oligarchy hacks   here
  • The problem with economics as a discipline   here
  • Lars Syll, MMT, and the other failures of New Economic Thinking   here
  • “Inhumane stupidity” ― bad economic policy as inevitable consequence of false economic theory   here
  • The objective reality of economics   here
  • Economic narratives are for the scientific garbage dump   here
  • Microfoundations have been dead for 150+ years: high time to move on   here
  • Trust in science? Yes, but economics is NOT a science   here
  • Economics ― the science that never was   here
  • New Economic Thinking ― the definitive results   here
  • Links on the Economics Nobel   here
  • Links on Diane Coyle   here
  • Links on Asad Zaman’s ‘Defining Islamic Economics’   here
  • What it takes to become a great economist   here
  • Economics as storytelling and entertainment for the masses   here
  • Links on Lars P. Syll’s ‘Wren-Lewis insults medical science’   here
  • Both Mainstreamer and MMTer are either stupid or corrupt or both   here
  • #DeleteKeynes #ExpelAllKeynesians   here
  • Economics: Math is NOT the problem, scientific incompetence is   here
  • Real-World Economics: The sanctuary of stupidity and corruption   here
  • What’s the use of economists?   here
  • There is no soft science only soft brains   here
  • Is Lars Syll’s stupidity really infinite?   here
  • Cryptoeconomics ― the best of Real-World Economics Review’s spam folder   here
  • Again and again: economists are incompetent scientists   here
  • Freedom for fake scientists?   here
  • Heterodoxy and Pluralism, too, are proto-scientific garbage   here
  • This is New Economic Thinking? Give me a break!   here
  • Economists: only good at excuses   here
  • Economics is not a science, not a religion, but proto-scientific rubbish   here
  • Does Asad Zaman fly with POL or SCI Airlines?   here
  • True macrofoundations: the reset of economics   here
  • How Heterodoxy became the venue for science’s scum   here
  • The Law of Economists’ Increasing Stupidity   here
  • From the pluralism of false models to the true economic theory   here
  • Review of the economics troops   here
  • Economic policy guidance NEVER had sound scientific foundations   here
  • The non-existence of economics   here
  • Why not simply throw all economists under the bus?   here
  • Failed economics: The losers’ long list of lame excuses   here
  • Economics: The pluralism of false theories is over   here
  • A rough business plan for science   here
  • The futile synthesis of neoclassical rubbish and Keynesian garbage   here
  • Economics ― a Zombie wrestling show   here
  • It is better to be precisely right than roughly wrong   here
  • Go, Heterodoxy, move on!   here
  • Prediction/Forecasting   here
  • Heterodoxy’s scientific self-deception   here
  • All models are false because all economists are stupid   here
  • From subjective weighing of motives to objective systemic properties   here
  • Nothing to choose between Orthodoxy and traditional Heterodoxy   here
  • Eclecticism, anything goes, and the pluralism of false theories   here
  • Economics: The Battle of Frogs and Mice is over   here
  • Enough! Economists, retire now!   here
  • The economist as second-guesser, mind reader, and folk psychologist   here
  • Ending the economic Froschmäusekrieg a.k.a. Batrachomyomachia   here
  • The scientific self-elimination of Heterodoxy   here
  • History delivers the questions but not the answers   here
  • From proto-science to science   here
  • Yes, orthodox economics is poor science, but can Heterodoxy raise hope?   here
  • The pluralism of nonsense is still nonsense  here
  • Pluralism and the thickness of confusion  here
  • Pluralism and truth  here
  • Pluralism and the long shadow of Bentham  here
  • EconoPhysics and pluralism  here
Debate
  • Reforming economics: Pluralism is not enough  here
Related
  • Cross-references Political Economics/Stupidity/Corruption   here
  • Cross-references New Economic Thinking   here

October 8, 2016

Feeble thinkers, feeble rethinkers: The perennial misery of economics

Comment on David Ruccio on ‘Crash and learn?’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference on Oct 9 adapted to context

Economists have asserted since Adam Smith/Karl Marx that economics is a science. If this is the case, then Pontus Rendahl is right: “... it would be wrong to teach heterodox theories as though they had equal validity. ‘In the same way, I don’t think heterodox engineering or alternative medicine should be taught’.”

Indeed, science is well-defined: “Research is in fact a continuous discussion of the consistency of theories: formal consistency insofar as the discussion relates to the logical cohesion of what is asserted in joint theories; material consistency insofar as the agreement of observations with theories is concerned.” (Klant, 1994). Heterodoxy does not satisfy the criteria of material/formal consistency. In its current state, it cannot be admitted to science. #1

Pontus Rendahl’s conclusion is right, except for the fact that his tacit premise is false. His tacit premise is that orthodox economics is science. This is NOT the case. Orthodoxy does not satisfy scientific criteria either, but the representative economist simply has not realized it. It is a remarkable fact that each student generation has swallowed the utterly silly supply-demand-equilibrium core model without turning an eyelid for 150+ years.

So, while Heterodoxy cannot be admitted to science, Orthodoxy has to be thrown out of it. This is the situation: there is NO such thing as an economic curriculum that satisfies scientific standards. Economics is still at the proto-scientific level.

When confronted with critique, orthodox economists readily admit some undeniable peripheral weakness with the assertion that the core of economics is sound: “... Diane Coyle also defends the basic methodology of economics. She says there is confusion among critics between microeconomics, the study of the behaviour of individuals and firms, and macroeconomics, the study of whole economies. Macroeconomics, she admits, ‘is broken.’" (See intro)

This is a manifest self-delusion. #2 Microeconomics is built upon this hardcore set of axioms: “HC1 economic agents have preferences over outcomes; HC2 agents individually optimize subject to constraints; HC3 agent choice is manifest in interrelated markets; HC4 agents have full relevant knowledge; HC5 observable outcomes are coordinated, and must be discussed with reference to  equilibrium states.” (Weintraub, 1985)

Methodologically, these premises are forever unacceptable. The microeconomic axiom set contains three indefensible NONENTITIES: (i) constrained optimization HC2, (ii) rational expectations HC4, (iii) equilibrium HC5. Every model that contains only one NONENTITY is a priori false. The discussion of models that contain NONENTITIES is not different from a medieval angels-on-a-pinpoint discussion. And this scientific garbage is the content of peer-reviewed quality journals, textbooks, and, of course, the economics curriculum.

Economics is a failed science, and economists are incompetent scientists. There is NOTHING to choose between Orthodoxy and traditional Heterodoxy. Rethinking economics means rising above the proto-scientific level and fully replacing Walrasian microfoundations and Keynes’s flawed macrofoundations with true macrofoundations. #3

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 When proto-scientific Heterodoxy calls Orthodoxy pseudo-scientific and more details
#2 Just for the record: economics is dead
#3 For details of the big picture, see cross-references Paradigm Shift and cross-references New Curriculum

Related 'Modern macro moronism' and 'Macroeconomics: Drain the scientific swamp' and 'Funny folks in the big omnibus' and 'Macroeconomics and the fake History of Economic Thought' and 'From false microfoundations to true macrofoundations (II)' and 'The canonical macroeconomic model' and 'The Cambridge crap curriculum'.

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October 10, 2021

Occasional Tweets: Econogenics (II)

 


For more about econogenics see AXECquery.
For more about Paradigm Shift see AXECquery.
For more about Diane Coyle see AXECquery

October 12, 2015

Knowledge only — no opinion

Comment on Diane Coyle on ‘How to be a good economist’

Blog-Reference

Your answer in the post of 12 October: “Well that’s all a matter of opinion.” It is pretty obvious that you never got the salient point of science, which is to get out of the anything-goes-opinion-wish-wash.

“There are always many different opinions and conventions concerning any one problem or subject-matter... This shows that they are not all true. For if they conflict, then at best only one of them can be true. Thus it appears that Parmenides ... was the first to distinguish clearly between truth or reality on the one hand, and convention or conventional opinion (hearsay, plausible myth) on the other ...” (Popper, 1994, pp. 39-40)

For more than 2700 years it is known that science is about knowledge and that politics is about opinion/belief/second-guessing/filibustering. In sum: the bad economist cranks out opinions, and the good economist contributes to knowledge.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


References
Popper, K. R. (1994). The Myth of the Framework. In Defence of Science and Rationality. London, New York: Routledge.

Preceding How to be a good scientist and Time to make economics a science.

December 17, 2016

Macroeconomics ― dead since Keynes

Comment on Diane Coyle on ‘Rescuing macroeconomics?’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference on Dec 18 and Blog-Reference on Dec 18

Macroeconomics cannot be rescued ― and certainly not by Roger Farmer’s silly belief function ― because it has already been defunct for 80 years. Farmer writes: “Macroeconomics has taken the wrong path. The error has nothing to do with classical versus New Keynesian approaches. It is a more fundamental error that pervades both.” This is probably the most enlightened sentence in Farmer’s new book.

The fact of the matter is, though, that Roger Farmer does not spot the fundamental error in macroeconomics that pervades all of economics. To see this, one has to go back to Keynes.

Keynes realized that the classical microfoundations approach had led to a cul-de-sac and therefore switched to macrofoundations. This was ― in principle ― the right first step towards a Paradigm Shift, except for the fact that Keynes messed up his macrofoundations. This is why Keynesianism, too, is a failure. #1

The lesson from the history of economic thought is that theoretical economics has to proceed top-down, i.e. from macrofoundations down through intermediate levels (sectors, branches, firms, households) to the individual. What has to be recognized is the methodological insight that NO way leads from the understanding of microeconomic behavior to the understanding of how the monetary economy works. And this explains why the microfoundations approach has been doomed to failure from the very beginning.

What neither Orthodoxy nor Keynes ever understood was profit: “His Collected Writings show that he wrestled to solve the Profit Puzzle up till the semi-final versions of his GT but in the end, he gave up and discarded the draft chapter dealing with it.” (Tómasson et al., 2010)

It is pretty obvious that an economist who cannot tell the difference between the fundamental economic magnitudes of profit and income is a laughing stock. This applies to Walrasians and Keynesians of all colors. The Profit Theory is the “more fundamental error” that pervades both microeconomics and macroeconomics.

Rescuing macroeconomics in the correct understanding means a Paradigm Shift from false Walrasian microfoundations and false Keynesian macrofoundations to true macrofoundations. This, of course, is entirely beyond the horizon of Roger Farmer.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 The unfinished Keynes (I) and How Keynes got macro wrong and Allais got it right
#2 Macro for dummies and How the Intelligent Non-Economist Can Refute Every Economist Hands Down

Related 'Keynesianism is broken: Get over it!' and 'Rethinking macro' and 'Macroeconomics: self-delusion and empty promises' and 'The other half plus the hitherto missing true foundations of macroeconomics' and 'The demise of phony experts: macroeconomics is provably false' and 'Mad but true: 200+ years after Adam Smith economists still have no idea what profit is' and 'Keynes ― the poster boy for the weakness of the economist’s mind' and 'Your economics is refuted on all counts: here is the real thing'. For details of the big picture, see cross-references Keynesianism and cross-references Failed/Fake Scientists and cross-references Profit.

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January 10, 2017

Narrative economics and the imperatives of the sitcom

Comment on Tim Taylor on ‘Narrative Economics and the Laffer Curve’

Blog-Reference

Tim Taylor summarizes, “Shiller’s broad point was that the key distinguishing trait of human beings may be that we organize what we know in the form of stories.”

This is slightly incorrect. It is morons who can only grasp stories; human beings in the full sense organize knowledge in the form of scientific theories. This is known since the ancient Greeks introduced the distinction between opinion (= doxa) and knowledge (= episteme). The fact of the matter is that ― as a rule of thumb ― one per cent of a population fits the description of a scientist = human being.

Obviously, Robert Shiller and Tim Taylor are 2700+ years behind the curve: “There are always many different opinions and conventions concerning any one problem or subject-matter (such as the gods). This shows that they are not all true. For if they conflict, then at best only one of them can be true. Thus it appears that Parmenides ... was the first to distinguish clearly between truth or reality on the one hand, and convention or conventional opinion (hearsay, plausible myth) on the other ...” (Popper, 1994)

Plausible myth, narrative, hearsay, story, and common sense are simply euphemisms for proto-scientific garbage.

The average person dislikes an objective explanation (e.g. the thunderbolt is an electromagnetic phenomenon subject to physical laws) and likes a subjective explanation (e.g. Zeus threw the thunderbolt because he was angry/vengeful/authoritarian). The scientific explanation takes the form of a theory, and the non-scientific explanation takes the form of an emotionally reinforced narrative. Almost all societal communication consists of storytelling/blather/wish-wash/truisms/BS, and only a tiny part has scientific content.

Economics claims to be a science, yet it has never risen above the level of storytelling. What we have is the narrative of how the Invisible Hand of supply-demand-equilibrium (S-D-E) turns all to the best ― in the long run. Note well that in 200+ years, NO proof of this claim has been presented. General equilibrium theory is one of the worst failures in the history of scientific thought.

Within the tiny box of folk psychology, folk sociology, folk history, and folk politics, economic storytelling has taken place since Adam Smith: “Smith ... disliked whatever went beyond plain common sense. He never moved above the heads of even the dullest readers. He led them on gently, encouraging them by trivialities and homely observations, making them feel comfortable all along.” (Schumpeter)

Storytelling is the natural form of communication of confused confusers, and the sitcom is the format the general public wants economics to be presented in. Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, and Austrianism survive only as social narratives and not as scientifically valid representations of reality.

Storytelling is not prohibited, of course, but there is no place for storytellers in the sciences. So, both orthodox and heterodox economic storytellers have to leave economics now for good because of proven scientific incompetence. This includes Robert Shiller and Tim Taylor.

It is the task of the economist as a scientist to figure out how the economy works and NOT to appear in sitcoms and spoon-feed morons with silly narratives.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


Related 'Economics for philosophers' and 'The market economy is inherently unstable and economists never grasped it' and 'The economist as storyteller' and 'If You Meet the Storyteller on the Road, Kill Him' and 'The monstrous utility-supply-demand-equilibrium failure' and 'Economics and the weapons of mass distraction' and 'How to creatively destruct Orthodoxy' and 'Economists cannot do the simple math of profit — better keep them out of politics' and 'Marshall: a monument of scientific incompetence' and 'The economist as stand-up comedian' and 'New economic thinking, or, let’s put lipstick on the dead pig' and 'Economics: communication without content' and 'Economics has arrived at the bottom of the proto-scientific shithole' and 'Why is economics a total scientific failure?' and 'Links on Diane Coyle' and 'What’s the trouble with some Canadian economists?' and 'Economic narratives are for the scientific garbage dump'.

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World Economic Forum, Dec 5, 2021, Bruce Wydick, How narratives influence human behaviour


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October 4, 2015

How to be a good scientist

Comment on Diane Coyle on ‘How to be a good economist’

Blog-Reference

Towards the end of his book, Rodrik gives a summary for non-economists: “maths is useful; economists are not all alike; economists typically do understand how markets work.” (See intro)

While the triviality of the first two items is unsurpassable, the third assertion is simply false. Economics is a failed science and the representative economist can until this very day not tell the difference between profit and income. Because they do not understand what profit is, economists do not understand how the market system works (2015). Most of them have not yet realized that supply-demand-equilibrium is a ridiculous construct.

It is of utmost importance to distinguish between political and theoretical economics.
(i) The goal of political economics is to push an agenda, the goal of theoretical economics is to explain how the actual economy works and nothing else.
(ii) In political economics anything goes; in theoretical economics, scientific standards are observed.

Theoretical economics has to be judged according to the criteria true/false. The history of political economics, on the other hand, can be summarized as good/bad-moralizing and the perpetual violation of well-defined scientific standards.

The fact of the matter is that theoretical economics has since Adam Smith been dominated by the agenda pushers of political economics which can be characterized by three common traits.
(i) They are mainly occupied with sociology, psychology, anthropology, political science, history, etcetera. By dabbling in the so-called social sciences they miss the core of the subject matter, that is, the objective properties of the economic system.
(ii) They use theoretical economics as a means/support for their agenda. By this, they abuse science.
(iii) As far as they have tried to underpin their agenda theoretically it can be rigorously demonstrated in each case that their approaches lack formal and material consistency.

Political economists are incompetent scientists and, by the same token, bad economists.

“In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion. (Stigum, 1991, p. 30)

Economists lack the true theory. Eclecticism is not a merit in science. Just the contrary: a heap of loosely connected and contradicting models is the very proof of failure. Rodrik defends the indefensible. A good scientist would not do this.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


References
Kakarot-Handtke, E. (2015). Major Defects of the Market Economy. SSRN Working Paper Series, 2624350: 1–40. URL
Stigum, B. P. (1991). Toward a Formal Science of Economics: The Axiomatic Method in Economics and Econometrics. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.


Related 'Feeble thinkers, feeble rethinkers: The perennial misery of economics' and 'Knowledge only — no opinion'. For details of the big picture see cross-references Methodology.

November 30, 2015

Failed/Fake Scientists: cross-references

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Twitter Dec 10, 2020