“Democrats are back. So is economist Stephanie Kelton’s big idea.” (Fast Company) Democrats belong to the political sphere; economists belong to the scientific sphere. Both are antithetical. From politics follows nothing for science. Science is about true/false, politics is manifest brain-rot. MMT is refuted on all counts, no matter who wins the midterms. For details, see The Kelton Fraud https://t.co/tgovXGM6Ho Stephanie Kelton’s legendary Plain-Sight-Ink-Trick https://t.co/AfbJNmvmFc Cross-references: MMT https://t.co/XMHq0sZWU1
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 12, 2026
AXEC: New Foundations of Economics
This blog connects to the AXEC Project which applies a superior method of economic analysis. The following comments have been posted on selected blogs as catalysts for the ongoing Paradigm Shift. The comments are brought together here for information. The full debates are directly accessible via the Blog-References. Scrap the lot and start again―that is what a Paradigm Shift is all about. Time to make economics a science.
November 12, 2026
Occasional X: The futile attempt to recycle MMT (CCXIII)
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Employment (XDI)
“The Phillips Curve gave policymakers exactly what they wanted: a scientific alibi for printing money. The theory, built from A.W. Phillips' 1958 study of UK wage data, claimed a stable trade-off existed between inflation and unemployment. Push inflation up, unemployment falls. The Federal Reserve and Keynesian advisors from Cambridge to Washington treated this as settled science.” (Handre) Axiomatically settled science says that economists mutilated and misinterpreted the original Phillip Curve. Paul Samuelson never understood profit and, by logical consequence, how the economic system works. Together with Solow, they messed up the original Phillips Curve. All this is long known; see Laying the bastard Phillips Curve to rest (see AXEC36d ⇓) https://t.co/8758rV5zRn NAIRU, wage-led growth, and Samuelson's Dyscalculia https://t.co/eo4JJFC4fz The father of modern economics and his imbecile kids https://t.co/HGon0cPZly Cross-references: Employment/Phillips Curve https://t.co/RfA1hj72qQ The major approaches (Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, and their derivatives) are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, and materially/formally inconsistent. They all got profit wrong. When the subject's foundational concepts are inconsistent, the entire analytical superstructure is scientifically worthless. Economic policy guidance has never had valid scientific foundations. It has never been much more than the silly political agenda pushing of confused confusers. The Phillips Curve is a smoking-gun proof of economists' incurable scientific incompetence.
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 12, 2026
Occasional X: The foul spirit of political economics (CDXLV)
“Economist tier list: …” (Handre) There are only political agenda pushers on the list. Handre has no clue what science is all about. “And my doubts increase when I remember that what is to be called a ‘science’ and who is to be called a ‘scientist’ must always remain a matter of convention or decision.” (Popper) First, to associate economists with physicists is to imply that economics is a science. It is not. It is a cargo cult science (⇓ AXEC140d) The problem with economics has always been that it lacked scientifically competent thinkers. Economics has been failed/fake science since the Founding Fathers. It has defined itself as a social science and accordingly has been based on subjective/behavioral assumptions/axioms. This is the methodological ur-mistake. The major approaches (Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, and their derivatives) are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, and materially/formally inconsistent. They all got profit wrong. When the subject's foundational concepts are inconsistent, the entire analytical superstructure is scientifically worthless. Among all scientifically incompetent economists, Austrians have been the dumbest. Handre's tier list needs to be relabelled. Actually, economics is about how the economy works. It is a genuine systems science. To finally become a science, economics needs a Paradigm Shift from false behavioral microfoundations and false Keynesian macrofoundations to true macrofoundations.
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 12, 2026
November 11, 2026
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Money (CXLXXV)
“That money is a store of value is absolutely wrong. Money is a receipt issued at purchase and extinguished when buyer turn seller.” (Scott Cahill) Scott Cahill has never had any idea of the difference between transaction money and money as a store of value. Let's clarify some basics about the two with the summary in table AXEC237e ⇓. Microfoundations are methodologically false. First, a Paradigm Shift is required. Therefore, the elementary production-consumption economy is given with three macroeconomic axioms in lines 1, 2, 3. Under the initial analytical conditions of market-clearing and budget-balancing, this yields the price P in line 5. The price is the dependent variable here. That's a starting condition. Methodologically, the formula in line 5 replaces the silly Supply-Demand-Equilibrium cross. Line 9 delivers the generalization with ρE≠1. In the initial state, the price is equal to unit wage costs W/R. The workers get the whole product O. The profit Qm for the business sector is zero. Price increases can come only from wage rate increases or from productivity decreases. The quantity of money is not a determinant. The methodologically right approach to start with in Monetary Theory is that transaction money is pure fiat money at the Central Bank. How money developed historically is not an issue. Symmetric fiat money is zero at the beginning and the end of a given period; see line 16. It is periodically created out of nothing and returns to nothing. There's no problem here; money is endogenous. It's a medium. The quantity of the medium is determined by the autonomous transactions between the business and the household sector. (i) If the wage rate W doubles in line 5, the price doubles, and the average quantity of transaction money M doubles in line 16. It is still zero at the period's beginning and end. If tested, this yields a proportionality between price P and the average quantity of transaction money M. However, this is NOT causality. The common cause is the doubling of the wage rate W. However, empirically this correlation between P and M seems to be a strong indication that the Quantity Theory holds. (ii) If the real variable employment L is doubled, output O in line 2 and wage income Yw in line 1 double. The market-clearing/budget-balancing price P remains unchanged in line 5. The average quantity of transaction money M doubles in line 16. Now, there is no relationship between the price and the average quantity of transaction money. The Quantity Theory fails. Reality is a mix of (i) and (ii). That money is created out of nothing and backed by nothing is NOT the critical point of a fiat money system. In period 0, the transactions between the business sector and the household sector are symmetrical. At the beginning, transaction money is zero. Monthly, the households receive wage income and spend it successively on consumption. This increases and reduces their deposits at the Central Bank. The business sector mirrors the transaction. Thus, deposits and overdrafts are always equal. At the end of the initial period, transaction money is again zero. The average stock of transaction money is calculated in lines 16, 17. If the household sector saves in period 1, its deposits increase. This gives rise to losses Qm in line 11. Accordingly, the business sector's overdrafts increase. The average quantity of money M in lines 16, 17 increases because of the household sector's saving. Here, money as a store of value emerges. In period 2, one has both: money as a transaction medium and money as a store of value. In period 3, the households dissave, and the business sector makes a profit, according to line 11. Over all periods, the sum of profit/loss is zero. Things are rather simple as long as ρE=1. As soon as balances appear, i.e., ρE≠1, complexity increases and money as a store of value logically emerges from transaction money. The store-of-value money can also be used to buy financial assets. It then vanishes again. But that's a different story.
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 11, 2026
Occasional X: Time to get the axioms of economics right (XI)
“Excited to share this tool — a Macroeconomic simulator that lets you run the Federal Reserve's large macroeconomic model FRB/US. It has 13,442 different simulations pre-loaded--different versions of 15 different shocks. I plan to add more models over time.” (Jason Furman) Before you plan to add more models, you have to go in the opposite direction. Because your macroeconomic axioms are provably false, the analytical superstructure is scientifically worthless. It is methodologically correct that the economy has to be formally represented by a simulation. Legacy economics starts with General Equilibrium in the mental background. This is why economics is failed/fake science to this day.‡ The axiomatically correct simulation for the most elementary case is given by the Economics God Equation (⇓ AXEC25e). The Equation embodies the open simulation of the elementary production-consumption economy from t=0 to infinity, with the change rates as random variables. The variable ∏ denotes a random path. Put simply, you have the development of the most elementary economy in one equation. The God Equation is based upon a set of consistent systemic axioms. To finally become a science, economics needs a Paradigm Shift from false behavioral microfoundations and false Keynesian macrofoundations to true macrofoundations. For the axiomatically correct Monetary Theory, see the working paper ⇒ The Dark-Matter Theory of Fiat Money https://t.co/0QSqFFrVUX ‡ Reminder: Legacy economics is a variant of the neo-Walrasian set of hardcore propositions/axioms: “HC1 economic agents have preferences over outcomes; HC2 agents individually optimize subject to constraints; HC3 agent choice is manifest in interrelated markets; HC4 agents have full relevant knowledge; HC5 observable outcomes are coordinated, and must be discussed with reference to equilibrium states.” (Weintraub)
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 11, 2026
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Money (CXLXXIV)
“It is an indisputable fact that quantity theory is nothing but a tautology. There is another point too. Cochrane has also pointed this out. Correlation does not imply causation. The direction of the relationship between inflation and the money supply is not from the money supply to inflation, as foolish monetarists claim, but more strongly from inflation to the money supply.” (Baki Demirel) No, money is not among the determinants of the price. That's false macroeconomics. The microbrained representative economist has never had any idea of the difference between transaction money and money as a store of value. Let's clarify some basics about transaction money with the summary in table AXEC237d ⇓. Microfoundations are methodologically false. First, a Paradigm Shift is required. Therefore, the elementary production-consumption economy is given with three macroeconomic axioms in lines 1, 2, 3. Under the initial analytical conditions of market-clearing and budget-balancing, this yields the price P in line 5. The price is the dependent variable here. That's a starting condition. Methodologically, the formula in line 5 replaces the silly Supply-Demand-Equilibrium cross. In the initial state, the price is equal to unit wage costs W/R. The workers get the whole product O. The profit Qm for the business sector is zero. Price increases can come only from wage rate increases or from productivity decreases. The quantity of money is not a determinant. The methodologically right approach to start with in Monetary Theory is that transaction money is pure fiat money at the Central Bank. Symmetric fiat money is zero at the beginning and the end of a given period; see line 16. It is periodically created out of nothing and returns to nothing. There's no problem here; money is endogenous. It's a medium. The quantity of the medium is determined by the autonomous transactions between the business and the household sector. (i) If the wage rate W doubles in line 5, the price doubles, and the average quantity of transaction money M doubles in line 16. It is still zero at the period's beginning and end. If tested, this yields a proportionality between price P and the average quantity of transaction money M. However, this is NOT causality. The common cause is the doubling of the wage rate W. However, empirically this correlation between P and M seems to be a strong indication that the Quantity Theory holds. (ii) If the real variable employment L is doubled, output O in line 2 and wage income Yw in line 1 double. The market-clearing/budget-balancing price P remains unchanged in line 5. The average quantity of transaction money M doubles in line 16. Now, there is no relationship between the price and the average quantity of transaction money. The Quantity Theory fails. Reality is a mix of (i) and (ii). That money is created out of nothing and backed by nothing is NOT the critical point of a fiat money system. The point is whether money is injected (i) on the left side of the business sector's national account in the form of wages, or (ii) on the right side in the form of additional nominal demand, i.e., in the form of deficit spending. This gives rise to profit Qm in line 11 and the average quantity of money M in lines 16, 18, because of ρE>1. Here, money as a store of value emerges. The case of deficit-spending/money-creation, i.e., increasing consumptive public debt, is equivalent to bringing counterfeit money into circulation, which in real terms amounts to stealing stuff from WeThePeople. National debt is roughly equal to the financial wealth of WeTheOligarchy. Ultimately, most of WeTheOligarchy's financial wealth is printed by the Central Bank. This is not a 'problem', but the defining characteristic of Capitalism. The problem with the Central Bank is NOT that it creates fiat money out of nothing, but that it creates profit out of nothing. If the Central Bank is only allowed to create transaction money to meet the needs of businesses and households, then fiat money is the most economical solution. The problems arise with sectoral balances, i.e., ρE≠1, and with licit/illicit money creation. For the axiomatically correct Monetary Theory, see the working paper ⇒ The Dark-Matter Theory of Fiat Money https://t.co/0QSqFFrVUX
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 11, 2026
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Money (CXLXXIII)
“Essential reminder. Inflation is always a monetary phenomenon.” (Daniel Lacalle) No, money is not among the determinants of the price. That's false macroeconomics. The microbrained representative economist has never had any idea of the difference between transaction money and money as a store of value. Let's clarify some basics about transaction money with the summary in table AXEC237d ⇓. Microfoundations are methodologically false. First, a Paradigm Shift is required. Therefore, the elementary production-consumption economy is given with three macroeconomic axioms in lines 1, 2, 3. Under the initial analytical conditions of market-clearing and budget-balancing, this yields the price P in line 5. The price is the dependent variable here. That's a starting condition. Methodologically, the formula in line 5 replaces the silly Supply-Demand-Equilibrium cross. In the initial state, the price is equal to unit wage costs W/R. The workers get the whole product O. The profit Qm for the business sector is zero. Price increases can come only from wage rate increases or from productivity decreases. The quantity of money is not a determinant. The methodologically right approach to start with in Monetary Theory is that transaction money is pure fiat money at the Central Bank. Symmetric fiat money is zero at the beginning and the end of a given period; see line 16. It is periodically created out of nothing and returns to nothing. There's no problem here; money is endogenous. It's a medium. (i) If the wage rate W doubles in line 5, the price doubles, and the average quantity of transaction money M doubles in line 16. It is still zero at the period's beginning and end. If tested, this yields a proportionality between price P and the average quantity of transaction money M. However, this is NOT causality. The common cause is the doubling of the wage rate W. However, empirically this correlation between P and M seems to be a strong indication that the Quantity Theory holds. (ii) If the real variable employment L is doubled, output O in line 2 and wage income Yw in line 1 double. The market-clearing/budget-balancing price P remains unchanged in line 5. The average quantity of transaction money M doubles in line 16. Now, there is no relationship between the price and the average quantity of transaction money. The Quantity Theory fails. Reality is a mix of (i) and (ii). That money is created out of nothing and backed by nothing is NOT the critical point of a fiat money system. The point is whether money is injected (i) on the left side of the business sector's national account in the form of wages, or (ii) on the right side in the form of additional nominal demand, i.e., in the form of deficit spending. This gives rise to profit Qm in line 11 and the average quantity of money M in lines 16, 18, because of ρE>1. Here, money as a store of value emerges. The case of deficit-spending/money-creation, i.e., increasing consumptive public debt, is equivalent to bringing counterfeit money into circulation, which in real terms amounts to stealing stuff from WeThePeople. National debt is roughly equal to the financial wealth of WeTheOligarchy. Ultimately, most of WeTheOligarchy's financial wealth is printed by the Central Bank. This is not a 'problem', but the defining characteristic of Capitalism. The problem with the Central Bank is NOT that it creates fiat money out of nothing, but that it creates profit out of nothing. If the Central Bank is only allowed to create transaction money to meet the needs of businesses and households, then fiat money is the most economical solution. The problems arise with sectoral balances, i.e., ρE≠1, and with licit/illicit money creation. For the axiomatically correct Monetary Theory, see the working paper ⇒ The Dark-Matter Theory of Fiat Money https://t.co/0QSqFFrVUX
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 11, 2026