Showing posts with label zMRB. Show all posts
Showing posts with label zMRB. Show all posts

July 11, 2021

Keynes―Marx―Profit: The abysmal scientific failure of economics

Comment on Michael Roberts/Tom Hickey on ‘Marx’s reproduction schema’*


Michael Roberts summarizes: “… for Marx, under capitalism, … investment growth depends on profitability, …” and “for Marx, savings are profits because workers do not save, so there is a class aspect to his reproduction model.”

Tom Hickey cites Keynes: “The Engine which drives Enterprise is not Thrift, but profit.” (Treatise on Money, 1931)

OK folks, and what does profit depend on? The fact of the matter is that neither Marx nor Keynes had any idea of what profit is. And that is rather bad for any economist who claims to do science.#1, #2

The macroeconomic 3-sector Profit Law reads Q≡(G−T)+(I−S)+Yd.#3 This formula tells one, among many other important things, that monetary profit Q depends on investment I.#4 And there you have it: investment depends on profit, and profit depends on investment. In systems theory, this is called a positive feedback loop. And every half-wit knows by now that positive feedback is what destabilizes a system and eventually destroys it. The big insight about Capitalism is that at its heart there is a positive feedback loop. And this explains the economic system's dynamic and crises.

How does MMT fit in? The Profit Law implies Public Deficit (G−T)>0 = Private Profit Q. Thus, the MMT policy of deficit-spending/money-creation is a free lunch for the Oligarchy. While investment i.e. a growing real capital stock is the life elixir of Early Capitalism, growing public debt is the life elixir of Late Capitalism.#5

This, then, is the scandal of 200+ years of economics. Economics is all in one: scientific failure and political fraud because Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, MMT, and Pluralism are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, and materially/formally inconsistent, and ALL got profit wrong.

Because of this, economic policy guidance NEVER has had sound scientific foundations. It has ALWAYS been brain-dead agenda-pushing of political clowns. Left-right-center does not matter. Time to bury Marx and Keynes and MMT and all the rest at the Flat-Earth Cemetery.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


* Michael Roberts blog


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AXEC172

May 16, 2021

Profit is the key to the understanding of how the economy works

Comment on Michael Roberts on ‘Some notes on the world economy now’


Michael Roberts summarizes: “The central argument of Marxian criticism is based on the law of value. This roughly means that companies only invest if they can make a profit. Profit is the centre of their actions and not the needs of the people.” and “For mainstream economists, profit simply does not matter. But even among the left-wing Keynesians, profit hardly appears. For them it is all about ‘demand’, about ‘speculation’ or about ‘financialisation’. These things all play a major role, but profit is the key category for understanding the capitalist process of production and accumulation.”

Yes, profit is the foundational concept of economics and economists get it wrong since Adam Smith/Karl Marx.

The major approaches Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, MMT, are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false,  materially/formally inconsistent, and ALL get profit wrong. Economic policy guidance NEVER has had sound scientific foundations. To this day, economics is brain-dead political agenda-pushing.

Marx, too, got profit wrong.#1, #2 Because the foundational concept is false the whole analytical superstructure is false. Marx was too stupid for science and this holds for his followers without exception.

To say “I am a Marxist” is to say “I am either stupid or corrupt or both”.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke




For details of the big picture see cross-references Profit/Distribution.

For more on Michael Roberts see AXECquery.

September 29, 2020

Economists’ scientific incompetence is worse than the plague

Comment on Michael Roberts on ‘Ending the pandemic slump — a return to Keynes?’


Michael Roberts summarizes the situation: “The Great Lockdown has tipped the global economy into recession in 2020 on a scale not witnessed since the 1930s.” And “UNCTAD economists note … that the world economy was already heading for a slump before the pandemic hit.”

This leads quite naturally to the question: “What economic policies should be adopted to end this ‘lockdown slump’ and avoid or reduce the hit to the livelihoods of billions? That depends on the analysis of the causes of the slump itself.”

Right, good policy depends on true theory. The problem of economics as a science is this: “In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum)

And here is the snag: to this day, economists do NOT have the true theory but many silly opinions. The major approaches — Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, MMT — are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, materially/formally inconsistent and all got the foundational economic concept of profit wrong. Economics is a failed science. As lousy scientists, economists are a hazard to their fellow citizens — not any different from quack doctors.#1

This has never hindered economists to give economic policy advice: “UNCTAD economists openly follow the Keynesian ‘explanation’ for the lost decade … since 2009. And their solution is a re-adoption of Keynesian policies to manage capitalism better. For UNCTAD, slumps start with a collapse in demand ie in investment spending and above all in household consumption.”

At this point, Michael Roberts begs to differ: “In a capitalist, profit-making, economy, it is profits and profitability that drive investment and when profitability drops, investment in the means of production and in labour will contract, leading to unemployment and loss of consumer incomes and demand.” And “Indeed, on occasion even Keynes recognised that profitability (which he called the ‘marginal efficiency of capital’) was an important factor in causing slumps.” As he said: “Unemployment … exists because employers have been deprived of profit. The loss of profit may be due to all sorts of causes. But, short of going over to Communism, there is no possible means of curing unemployment except by restoring to employers a proper margin of profit.”#2

And Michael Roberts continues: “You see, in the last 40 years, the share of profits in the national incomes of the major economies has risen at the expense of wages and so the crisis of capitalist production is ‘wage-led’ not ‘profit-led’.”

And then he finishes off UNCTAD: “There is no mention of profit or profitability in the whole of the long UNCTAD report. Instead we are asked to accept that slumps are caused by low wages and consumption and by low investment caused by a switch to financial speculation leading to ‘instability’.”

We can cut off the policy argument here because it is pointless. Obviously, there is something fatally wrong with the theoretical foundations and the concept of profit. The blunder is evident in the expression “share of profits in the national incomes”.

Because profit is NOT income (it is a difference of flows and not a flow like wage income) there is NO such thing as a “share of profits in the national incomes”.#3-#5

Because economists get the foundational economic concept of profit wrong the whole analytical superstructure of economics is false ― provably false. This means that economic policy NEVER has had sound scientific foundations. For 200+ years now political economics is nothing but brain-dead agenda-pushing. UNCTAD and Michael Roberts are no exception. Like the rest of the profession, both have no idea of what profit is.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#2 Keynes, too, got profit theory badly wrong. See Ch. 13, The indelible scientific disgrace of economics, in Sovereign Economics
#3 The Profit Law for the 3-sector economy is given by Qm≡Yd+(I−Sm)+(G−T)

For more about iatrogenic economics see AXECquery.

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Source: Michael Robert's Blog

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REPLY to Matt Franko on Oct 1

You say: “Yes... They have big problems recognizing Minuends, Subtrahends and Differences.”

Indeed, this is the Flow-Balance Inconsistency (not to be confused with the Stock-Flow Inconsistency). In simple terms, “they” are too stupid for the elementary algebra that underlies macroeconomics.#1, #2

The Flow-Balance Inconsistency makes that the whole of MMT is proto-scientific garbage ― only good for trolling and deceiving #WeThePeople.


#2 For more on the Humpty Dumpty Fallacy, see AXECquery.


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AXEC172

December 14, 2019

Mission accomplished: Economists as useful idiots of the Oligarchy

Links on Bill Mitchell on ‘My brief comment on the British election’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference on Dec 15 and Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference on Dec 19

Bill Mitchell summarizes the UK election outcome: “The information we have at present is that that position on Brexit is probably going to cost them [Labour] office. Which means the Tories survive when they should not but finish the Brexit process which they should. Then Labour will have to reinvent itself to take advantage of the renewed sovereignty that Brexit will bring. To do that it has to expunge its ranks of the neoliberals.”

Until proven otherwise, one should take it for granted that an economist is on the payroll of the Oligarchy. This applies obviously to think-tank economists but in many/most cases also to self-styled Progressives who claim to fight for WeThePeople.

Economics is NOT science. Economics is a failed/fake science. Most economists are NOT scientists but useful political idiots. The pertinent example is MMT but all goes back to the founding fathers who described their job as Political Economy.

The MMT policy of deficit-spending/money-creation clearly benefits the one-percenters but is sold as a benefit for the ninety-nine-percenters. The scientific proof is in the macroeconomic Profit Law which says Public Deficit = Private Profit.

Accordingly, MMT’s mission in the UK was to undermine the Labour Party by attacking its economic program and by smearing its leadership as closet neoliberals.

If any proof were needed that academic economics is fake science and covered political agenda pushing, MMT has delivered it in the run-up to the historical election of Dec 12. For details see

► How Bill Mitchell stalks Jeremy Corbyn
► Thinking about economic policy for future PM Corbyn
► MMT Progressives: The knife in the back of WeThePeople
► MMTers are NOT Friends-of-the-People
► MMT: Academic snake oil for the people
► Economic backstabbing: Bill Mitchell hits again
► Bill Mitchell’s pure MMT teachings for British Labour
► Is MMT good for WeThePeople or for the Oligarchy?
► Deficit-spending/money-creation is ALWAYS a bad deal for WeThePeople
► Are MMTers stupid or corrupt or both?
► MMT: The fusion of Wall Street and Academia
► MMT’s true program
► How to spot economics trolls
► Links on Neoliberalism
► Just one more day: How deficit-spending postpones the breakdown of Capitalism
► Trust in science? Yes, but economics is NOT a science
► There is NO such thing as “smart, honest, honorable economists”

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


Related 'MMT: A Trojan Horse for Labour courtesy of the Oligarchy' and 'MMT and the overall political corruption of economics' and 'MMT and grassroots movements' and 'MMT: Corbynism is dead, British Labour is next' and 'MMT undermines democracy'. For more details, see cross-references Political Economics/Stupidity/Corruption.

For more about Oligarchy see AXECquery.

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AXEC158a



Twitter/X Jul 10, 2024 Captured ― or how the separation of science and politics was undermined


Twitter/X Nov 3, 2024 The Great Awakening



Twitter/X Feb 18, 2025  Support of Oligarchy

December 7, 2019

Understanding socialism presupposes understanding profit

Comment on Michael Roberts/Tom Hickey on ‘Understanding socialism’*

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference

“The New York Times magazine has described Richard Wolff as ‘probably America’s most prominent Marxist economist’.”

From the word ‘prominent’ alone you know that you are outside of science and in the midst of the usual journalistic propaganda hype. The applause troll Michael Roberts tries to arouse even more enthusiasm by quoting Wolff: “If you want to understand an economy, not only from the point of view of people who love it, but also from the point of view of people who are critical and think we can do better, then you need to study Marxian economics as part of any serious attempt to understand what’s going on.”

No, you don’t because Marx’s economics is refuted on all counts and Wolff only recycles long-dead stuff: “Wolff concentrates on Marx’s key discovery about capitalism, namely the surplus value, which is what employers appropriate above what they pay for wages.”

The fact of the matter is that Marx NEVER understood what profit ― the foundational magnitude of economics ― is.#1 Neither did his followers to this day.#2 The rectification of Marxianism consists of the replacement of the key-concept of exploitation by cross-over exploitation.#3

Wolff sticks to surplus value and this tells one that he is a rather feeble thinker. Marx got economics wrong, so he can safely be forgotten. Same for Wolff’s policy proposals which have no sound scientific foundations.

Oh no, says the philosopher Tom Hickey: “He [Marx] was a philosopher, social and political activist, political theorist, historian, and one of the founders the disciplines that later became sociology and economics.”

True, but irrelevant.#4 Marx’s economics is provably false = scientifically worthless and this makes it very probable that the rest of his intellectual output was also proto-scientific garbage.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


* Michael Roberts Blog
#1 Links on Karl Marx
#2 Dear idiots, Marx got profit and exploitation wrong
#3 Capitalism, poverty, exploitation, and cross-over exploitation
#4 Perhaps the debunker Miles Mathis is closer to the historical facts than the philosopher Tom Hickey: “In that sense, Marxism is probably the greatest propaganda success of all time. The smashing success of this early major psy-op has led to everything we have seen since, including the sharp rise of all forms of misdirection. The upper class discovered that most people could be fooled most of the time, and that this fooling allowed for complete control of society.”

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REPLY to Bob on Dec 8

The crucial point with Marx/Socialism/Communism/Capitalism is whether Marx understood how the monetary economy works. This presupposes an understanding of the foundational economic magnitude of profit. The point is that Marx and Marxians have NO idea what profit is. For the proof see Profit for Marxists.

So, Marxianism is scientifically worthless for 150+ years. Maybe Marx is philosophically relevant, in any case, he is irrelevant for economics understood as science.

Note in passing that philosophy has degenerated much from the ancient Greeks to the present and has become irrelevant itself. The practical proof is that philosophers readily board an aircraft that has been constructed by scientists/engineers but would refuse to board an aircraft that has been constructed by philosophers.

Now, the philosopher Tom Hickey claims: “I would add, at the very least. Marx and Engels, and subsequent Marxists and those influenced by Marx are still highly relevant and they are becoming more so as capitalism is more and more in crisis owing to neoliberalism, neoliberal globalization, and the challenge of climate change.” Given their track record, the idea that philosophers or Marxists, or economists can solve any of humanity’s problems is downright idiotic.

To repeat, Marx is scientifically irrelevant. And whether he gets many likes from folks like Richard Wolff, Michael Roberts, Tom Hickey and the brain-dead journalists of the New York Times is a scientific non-event.

The fact is that Marx got profit wrong and this he has in common with MMTers. The fact is that Marxians, MMTers, and philosophers like Tom Hickey are too stupid for the elementary algebra that underlies macroeconomics. The proof has been given elsewhere.

To expect from folks who cannot put 2 and 2 together a contribution to the advancement of science, culture, and civilization is the very definition of madness.

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REPLY to Bob on Dec 8

You say: “Marx was concerned with the operation of individual businesses, hence the profit of the firm. He was looking at microeconomics.” and “Can science come to a conclusion that a relationship (employer/employee) is exploitative?”

Yes, Marx generalized what can be observed in a single firm, that is, methodologically Marxianism is one big Fallacy of Composition from Marx onward to retarded Marxians like Richard Wolff and the applause trolls of the NYT/econblogosphere.

If one does not understand macroeconomic profit one cannot understand exploitation and cross-over exploitation.

Here is the abbreviated argument.#1

The business sector is split into two identical firms and firm 1 is supposed to cut the wage rate W1 arbitrarily by half. From this follows that the market-clearing price P declines if all independent variables remain unchanged. Firm 2 is affected because total income Yw falls and with it consumption expenditures C and the market-clearing price P.

The reduction of the wage rate W1 increases the profit of firm 1 and produces a loss in firm 2. When we look alone at firm 1 we see what Smith, Mill, Ricardo, and Marx have seen before, to wit, wages down ― profit up. This fits the time-honored stereotype of wages and profits as antagonists.#2

The error/mistake/blunder of economists since the Classics has been to generalize what is true for a single firm and this is known as Fallacy of Composition.

If profits have been zero in the initial period because of budget-balancing C=Yw then firm 2 makes a loss which is exactly equal to firm 1’s profit. Therefore, the arbitrary wage rate cut of firm 1 does NOT increase the profit of the business sector as a whole but only REDISTRIBUTES profit/loss between the firms that constitute the business sector.

Seen from the perspective of a single firm, the antagonism of wages and profits is absolutely real. This, though, is parochial realism. The complete picture reveals that firm 1 is better off to the disadvantage of firm 2 and the workers of firm 2 are better off to the disadvantage of the workers of firm 1 because at a lower market-clearing price they absorb a bigger share of output O with their unaltered income.

The situation of the business sector AS A WHOLE is unchanged and the same is true for the household sector AS A WHOLE. If there is exploitation it happens WITHIN the sectors. A partial wage rate change leads only to a redistribution of profits between the firms and of output between the workers. So, in real terms, the exploitation of the workers of firm 1 benefits the workers of firm 2. The capitalist class as a whole does NOT benefit from the exploitation by the owners of firm 1 because the profit of firm 1 is exactly equal to the loss of firm 2.

So, Marx got the relationship between profit, exploitation, and class badly wrong. Marxians are for 150+ years now struck with the Fallacy of Composition. Not very smart these ‘philosophers, social/political activists, political theorists, and historians’. Time to bury them at the Flat-Earth-Cemetery in the dark corner that is reserved for the worst of all useful political idiots.


#1 Capitalism, poverty, exploitation, and cross-over exploitation
#2 Ricardo, too, got profit theory wrong

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REPLY to Bob on Dec 9

You say: “Parochial realism is the perspective they are interested in. Marxists and business owners are not interested in macroeconomic explanations.”

It is a matter of indifference what Marxists and business owners are interested in. The economist as scientist figures out how the economy works just like astrophysicists figure out how the universe works and it is a safe bet that they are not at all interested in what retarded flat-earthers think or want.

The first thing an economist is supposed to know is what macroeconomic profit is. Marx did NOT know it and this is why Marxianism is proto-scientific garbage to this day. Why folks like Richard Wolff, Michael Roberts, the journalists of the New York Times, or Tom Hickey are recycling Marxian proto-scientific garbage is at anybody’s guess. OK, the journalists are on the payroll of the Oligarchy. The others are perhaps only stupid. Anyway, for all of them holds Voltaire’s écrasez l'infâme!

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REPLY to Bob on Dec 10

You say: “… but you have to answer their questions. ... How do we eliminate unemployment?”

The matter has already been settled. For the axiomatically correct Employment Law see Full employment through the price mechanism and for more details see cross-references Employment/Phillips Curve.

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REPLY to Calgacus on Dec 11

Marx always claimed that he was doing science. Of course, he was NOT. He was a political agenda pusher.
► Karl Marx, fake scientist

The same holds for Marxians to this day. And also for Walrasians, Keynesians, Austrians, and MMTers.

This brings us back full circle to
► Economics, philosophy, and the crapification of science
and to
► Economics ― the science that never was

To this day, Marxians are NOT doing science. Neither do the others. Economists are clowns and useful idiots in the political Circus Maximus.

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REPLY to Bob on Dec 12

You say: “If the matter were settled, I wouldn’t have had to provide five places for five different answers. Could this be settled if there were a technical debate free of politics?”

The matter IS settled. The problem is that the scientific mechanism does not work in economics.

Science is NOT an endless conversation and never-ending recycling of old arguments but eventually ends with the refutation of materially/logically inconsistent theories: “That the settlement of opinion is the sole end of inquiry is a very important proposition.” (Peirce)

Being incompetent scientists, i.e. being stupid or corrupt or both, economists simply ignore refutation. This defect is well known: “In economics we should strive to proceed, wherever we can, exactly according to the standards of the other, more advanced, sciences, where it is not possible, once an issue has been decided, to continue to write about it as if nothing had happened.” (Morgenstern 1941)

This is the simple reason why you have to provide “five places for five different answers”. And this tells you that economics is NOT a science.

“There are always many different opinions and conventions concerning any one problem or subject-matter (such as the gods). This shows that they are not all true. For if they conflict, then at best only one of them can be true. Thus it appears that Parmenides … was the first to distinguish clearly between truth or reality on the one hand, and convention or conventional opinion (hearsay, plausible myth) on the other …” (Popper)

Walrasians, Keynesians, Marxians, Austrians, MMTers violate scientific standards. The “Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel” is a fraud.

Stop blathering, apply the principles of science and your five places reduce to one. Simple.

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REPLY to Dr. Wintermute on Dec 13 and Blog-Reference

Broadly speaking, economics is about how the economy works and NOT about how society or the human brain works. The economy is a sub-set of the universe and the subject matter is defined with phenomena like profit, income, price, output, saving, etcetera that do not appear in other sub-sets of reality like physics or biology.

Science takes the concrete form of a theory. The true theory/model is the humanly best mental representation of reality. Scientific truth is well-defined by material and formal consistency. “The chief demerit is inconsistency …” (Popper)

In this thread, we are concerned specifically with Marx’s economics. The proof has been given that Marx’s profit theory is false. Because Marx got the foundational concept of economics wrong the analytical superstructure of Marxianism is scientifically worthless.

This is the 150+ years overdue end of Marxian economics. Tom Hickey admits this but argues: “Secondly, Marx was a philosopher in his own right and a public intellectual in this time as a journalist and writer of political tracts in the context of the contemporary debates.” Yes, but this does NOT change the fact that Marx was a fake scientist and Marxianism is proto-scientific garbage.

What the philosopher Tom Hickey does is meta-communication. We are no longer talking about how the economy works but about the philosopher and agenda pusher Marx. Calgacus goes further in the wrong direction: “That’s some sort of positivism, analytic philosophy stuff. Stuff that was popular in the 20th century. Especially virulent in the postwar era. 1945-1970 or so. There was a bit of that in Marx, but not much. He was German, not English!” Perhaps this is good to know in a TV quiz.

You drive meta-communication even further away from the point at issue: “Your beef with Hegelian Dialectics is that on one hand, you don’t understand that the set of things which can be thought of without contradiction is only a subset of all possible things, and on the other hand, that the Kantian assumption that knowledge as such is limited is itself inconsistent. So you cannot blame the assumption of existing «real contradictions» solely on bad theorizing.”

I do not blame Marx or any other economist for bad theorizing, I blame them for being too stupid for the elementary algebra that underlies macroeconomics.#1 In fact, I prove it and the proof is as good as the proof of the Pythagorean Theorem and in any case vastly superior to your brain-dead off-topic meta-communication.

To make it concrete and politically relevant: Dear philosophers tell the econblogosphere which of the two sectoral balances equations is true?
a) (I−S)+(G−T)=0 (MMT, Keynesianism)
b) (I−S)+(G−T)=Q (AXEC)

Equation b) boils down to Public Deficit = Private Profit and this gives one the life formula of present-day Capitalism. You certainly agree that one cannot find this enlightening formula that gives you the conditions of the breakdown of Capitalism in the works of the philosopher and political agenda pusher Marx nor in Hegel’s Dialectic nor in Dr. Wintermute’s Analytische Sozialkritik.


#1 The ancient philosophers were supposed to be proficient at math as the motto of Plato’s Academy testifies.

December 6, 2019

Economics ― the science that never was

Comment on Michael Roberts on ‘Economics as a social science’*

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference on Dec 9

“Recently, Benoît Cœuré, a leading French member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, delivered an address to economics students at the job forum of Paris School of Economics. He wanted to explain to the gathered students that becoming an economist was a great thing to do and paid well. ... But the money was less important because ‘your PhD should be fuelled by your passion and your love for research rather than by hopes of earning more money’.”

Economics officially declares each year to be a science with the “Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel”. The problem is that economics does to this day not satisfy the well-defined criteria of science. And this means that economics is a fraud. Economists have never been scientists. Since Adam Smith/Karl Marx, they are clowns and useful idiots in the political Circus Maximus. Economics is NOT part of science but of the entertainment industry. The EconNobel is the Oscar for the best science look-alike.#1

The challenge for economists is this: “In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum)

Economists do NOT have the true theory but many opinions. The major approaches — Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, MMT — are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, materially/formally inconsistent and all got the foundational economic concept profit wrong. Economics is a heap of proto-scientific garbage.

The outstanding characteristic of the economist is utter scientific incompetence. Economists are simply too stupid for the elementary algebra that underlies macroeconomics. This seems surprising because economists are often accused of applying too much math. However, the fact of the matter is that they do not understand how to apply it properly. As Feynman put it: “They’re doing everything right. The form is perfect. ... But it doesn’t work. ... So I call these things cargo cult science because they follow all the apparent precepts and forms of scientific investigation, but they’re missing something essential.”#2 The stupidity of economists is the ultimate reason why all economic models are provably false.

Worse, economists are not only stupid but politically corrupt. Let us take macroeconomics as example.#3 In his General Theory, Keynes asserted: “Income = value of output = consumption + investment. Saving = income − consumption. Therefore saving = investment.” (p. 63)

This syllogism is conceptually and logically defective because Keynes never came to grips with profit. “His Collected Writings show that he wrestled to solve the Profit Puzzle up till the semi-final versions of his GT but in the end, he gave up and discarded the draft chapter dealing with it.” (Tómasson et al.)

Let this sink in, the economist Keynes never understood profit, i.e. the foundational concept of economics. So, Keynes’ I=S is false and consequently the multiplier and all IS-LM models. Instead, Q≡I−S is true with Q as macroeconomic profit. Neither pro-Keynesians nor anti-Keynesians spotted Keynes’ elementary blunder in 80+ years — except Allais.#4 Needless to emphasize that lack of the true theory never hindered an economist from giving economic policy advice and pushing a political agenda.

Because Keynes got macroeconomic profit wrong for the most elementary case, economists messed up the more complex sectoral balances equation which reads (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=0.#5

This provably false equation, though, is applied by MMTers.#6 It provides the theoretical foundation for the MMT policy of deficit-spending/money-creation. And this is the point where scientific incompetence becomes hazardous to the general public.#7 Economists bear the intellectual responsibility for the social devastation of all economic crises since the Great Depression.

As Monsieur Cœuré summarized it: “… economics is a social science. Models will not take away the burden and responsibility of making judgements. Economics involves much trial and error — you have to take decisions in the fog when you can barely see your hand in front of your face. This makes our profession exciting!”

The general public does not need this kind of excitement. The sooner it can leave 200+ years of scientific incompetence and generously rewarded agenda-pushing for the Oligarchy behind the better.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


* Michael Roberts Blog
#1 Scrap the EconNobel
#2 What is so great about cargo cult science? or, How economists learned to stop worrying about failure
#3 Get it econ suckers: behavioral microfoundations ⇒ false, systemic macrofoundations ⇒ true
#4 How Keynes got macro wrong and Allais got it right
#5 The axiomatically correct balances equation reads (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)−(Q−Yd)=0.
#6 Down with idiocy!
#7 Econogenics: economists pose a hazard to their fellow citizens

Related 'The economics Cargo Cult Prize' and 'When substandard thinkers dabble in science it is called economics' and 'Economics is NOT a social science' and 'Economics is NOT a science of behavior (IV)' and 'The only thing we can learn from economic models is what proto-scientific garbage looks like' and 'False models and true incompetence' and 'Wikipedia, economics, scientific knowledge, or political agenda pushing?'. For details of the big picture see cross-references Not a Science of Behavior.

November 13, 2019

Marx and Marxists ― too stupid for the elementary algebra of profit

Comment on Michael Roberts on ‘Marx’s double-edge law’*

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference

Marx got Profit Theory wrong, and his followers have not gotten it right to this day.#1 This, of course, does not hinder them from giving policy advice about how to better the economy and humanity. Needless to emphasize that economic policy that is not based on a valid theory tends to worsen the situation.#2 As Stigum put it: “In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.”

To this day, Marxianism is merely opinion and NOT science, just like mainstream economics. Both get the foundational magnitude of economics ― profit ― wrong.#3

To make matters short, the axiomatically correct macroeconomic Profit Law is given by Q≡Qm+Qn with Qm≡Yd+(I−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M) Legend: Qm monetary profit/loss of the business sector, Yd distributed profit, I investment expenditure, Sm monetary saving/dissaving of the household sector, G government expenditures, T taxes, X exports, M imports. Total profit Q is the sum of monetary and nonmonetary profit/loss. Roughly speaking, monetary profit Qm is determined by the excess of business sector investment over household sector saving, the government’s deficit, and the excess of exports over imports.

To derive the profit rate π, the Profit Law is first simplified to Q≡I−Sm, which says that macroeconomic profit is equal to the difference of business sector investment I and household sector monetary saving Sm.#4 Note that profit is gross, i.e., that depreciation D has been set to zero, i.e., Qn=−D=0. The point to notice is that investment is NEVER equal to saving, and this means that Keynes’ I=S is false and with it the whole of Keynesianism.

To simplify further, household sector saving is set to zero. As a result, one gets Q=I, i.e., (gross) profit is equal to (gross) investment.

The profit rate is defined as π≡Q/K, i.e., profit in relation to capital. Now, capital in period t is the sum of all previous investments, i.e., K≡ ∑ I. Mathematically, investment is the change of the capital stock, i.e., the derivative, and the capital stock is the sum of the changes, i.e., the integral. In the most elementary case (with zero depreciation), the profit rate depends alone on investment I.

This, though, gives one a positive feedback loop: “If company management see their profits or earnings slowing, they reduce their investment expansion and employment hiring and even reverse it.” But because of Q=I, this reduces profit further. The analog holds for increasing profit. And this positive feedback explains the business cycle. The market economy is NOT an equilibrium system because of the positive feedback between profit and investment. This means that the whole of Walrasianism and Austrianism is false. All equilibrium models are proto-scientific garbage.

Whether the profit rate falls or rises depends in the most elementary case on the time profile of investment expenditures I. In the early phase of Capitalism investment, i.e., the growth of the capital stock, drives profit. For late Capitalism, the Profit Law tells one Qm≡(I−Sm)+(G−T), i.e., profit is mainly driven by public deficit spending. This means that the profit rate depends on the growth rate of public debt. The so-called free-market economy is on the full life support of the state.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


* Michael Roberts Blog HM1 ― Marx’s double-edge law
#1 Links on Karl Marx
#2 Econogenics: economists pose a hazard to their fellow citizens
#3 The real trouble with Capitalism: stupid/corrupt economists
#4 For more details, see section 6.2 of Squaring the Investment Cycle

Related 'Profit for Marxists' and 'Economists cannot do the simple math of profit — better keep them out of politics' and 'Wikipedia, economics, scientific knowledge, or political agenda pushing?' and 'The GDP-death-blow for the economics profession'.

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AXEC143d



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#PointOfProof
Nov 14
Post missing
#EconBlocker

July 27, 2019

Circus Maximus: Economics as entertainment, personality gossip, virtue signaling, and lifestyle promotion

Comment on Michael Roberts on ‘The world’s scariest economist?’*

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference

A closer look at the history of economic thought reveals that there are TWO economixes: political economics and theoretical economics. The main differences are: (i) The goal of political economics is to successfully push an agenda, the goal of theoretical economics is to successfully explain how the actual economy works. (ii) In political economics anything goes; in theoretical economics, the scientific standards of material and formal consistency are observed.

The historical fact is that theoretical economics (= science) had been hijacked from the very beginning by political economists (= agenda pushers). Political economics has produced NOTHING of scientific value in the last 200+ years: Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, MMT are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, and materially/formally inconsistent. Political economists are NOT scientists but clowns/useful idiots in the political Circus Maximus.

Economics claims to be science and, consequently, the economist has to uphold scientific standards. Scientific standards are well-defined since antiquity: “Research is, in fact, a continuous discussion of the consistency of theories: formal consistency insofar as the discussion relates to the logical cohesion of what is asserted in joint theories; material consistency insofar as the agreement of observations with theories is concerned.” (Klant)

However, since Adam Smith, the primary task of economists is to deliver some scientifically looking justification for already decided upon policies. Last time it was Friedrich Hayek who acted as a useful academic idiot for Prime Minister Thatcher/President Reagan and the advancement of neoliberalism. Lately, things have changed.

Rockefeller called the university the best investment he ever made. The habit of billionaires to prioritize economics among the sciences for sponsoring (remember that Marx was sponsored by Engels) continues since then. Well-known examples of founding/funding are institutions like the London School of Economics, the Cowles Commission, or the University of Chicago. This, though, is only the historical tip of the iceberg.

Economics is failed science but economists have made a good job as propagandists.#1, #2, #3, #4, #5 As Keynes quipped: “Practical men who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist.” Note well that it is a matter of utter indifference whether an economist identifies himself as left/center/right. These are only labels for addressing different target groups.#6

It seems that economists have been given a new communication strategy which roughly runs as follows: science ⇓ entertainment ⇑, theory ⇓ narrative/storytelling ⇑, solution-oriented debate ⇓ jolly game show ⇑, promotion of knowledge ⇓ agenda-pushing/ disinformation ⇑, objective authority ⇓ subjective empathy ⇑, clarity/precision/ consistency ⇓ swampiness/anything-goes ⇑, logical analysis ⇓ emotional moralizing ⇑, globalism ⇓ nationalism ⇑, towards the true theory ⇓ towards the pluralism of provably false theories ⇑.

Some pictorial examples (Source Twitter):























































































































Note that the above-mentioned economists have NO idea about what profit ― the foundational concept of economics ― is and how the monetary economy works. They lack sound scientific foundations yet dole out economic policy advice.

Economists have always been a hazard to their fellow citizens.#7 For more about econogenics see AXECquery.



Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


* Michael Roberts Blog
#1 If religion is opium of the people, economics is crack of the people
#2 Economics as storytelling and entertainment for the masses
#3 Scientists and science actors
#4 How to spot economics trolls
#5 The economist as storyteller
#6 Mission impossible: economists join WeThePeople
#7 Econogenics in action

Related 'Economics debate ― just another variant of hardcore wrestling' and 'Economics: A pointless left-right wrestling show' and 'Economic policy and the skirmishes of failed/fake scientists' and 'Economists’ silly kindergarten games' and 'Economics between cargo cult, farce, and fraud' and 'If religion is opium of the people, economics is crack of the people' and 'As Napoleon said: don’t listen to economists' and 'Urgent: Taking politics out of economics' and 'There is NO such thing as “smart, honest, honorable economists” and 'Entertainment vs. Science' and 'And the answer is NCND ― economics after 200+ years of Glomarization' and 'Economics and the weapons of mass distraction' and 'Economics as fool’s paradise' and 'Unemployment is the outcome of political economics' and 'You know you are in the political Circus Maximus when economists talk about Democracy/Liberty/ Freedom' and 'Delusions of useful idiots' and 'Economics ― nothing but claptrap, twaddle, drivel, slip-slop, wish-wash, waffle, and proto-scientific garbage' and 'The economist as second-guesser, mind reader, and folk psychologist' and 'A battle for hearts and minds ― economics redefined' and 'Economists: scientists or political clowns?' and 'Economics ― from attention and reputation  management to science' and 'Baillie Gifford' and 'Economics: communication without content' and 'Economic policy advice has never had sound scientific foundations' and 'Economic narratives are for the scientific garbage dump' and 'Scrap the EconNobel' and 'Your economics is refuted on all counts: here is the real thing'.

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#PointOfProof
Jul 29

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See also
Twitter Jan 19, 2023 The futile attempt to recycle Adam Smith (XVII)


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Wikimedia AXEC175b



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Twitter/X Jan 15, 2025, More on funding