Showing posts sorted by relevance for query title:employment. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query title:employment. Sort by date Show all posts

June 20, 2018

Nietzsche, entropy, full employment, and NO class war

Comment on David Ruccio on ‘Utopia and work’

Blog-Reference

David Ruccio resumes: “The goal of mainstream economists is to get everybody to work. As a result, they celebrate capitalism for creating full employment — and worry that capitalism will falter if not enough people are working.” However, philosophers have long been aware that full employment is not such a good idea: “According to Friedrich Nietzsche …, the dignity of labor was invented as one of the ‘needy products of slavedom hiding itself from itself.’ That’s because, in Nietzsche’s view (following the Greeks), labor is only a ‘painful means’ for existence and existence (as against art) has no value in itself. Therefore, ‘labour is a disgrace’.”

Let us, first of all, take folk psychology out of the issue. Labor must be seen against the background of entropy. Entropy brings humans eventually down to zero. The intake of goods, energy, etc., slows this process down. The production of goods, though, requires labor input.

Imagine the following initial state. Every living person gets a plot of land in the form of a hexagon. This land delivers all that the person needs. We can put as many hexagons together as we like. Hexagonland is large and symmetrical. There is no scarcity of land or resources. Each occupant works Li=9 hours per day, has 1 hour of leisure, and needs 14 hours for regeneration. The necessary and sufficient output is Oi per day. There is no boss, no exploitation, no slavedom, no government. Whether the Hexagonians think that labor is a disgrace is a matter of indifference. If they stop working, they produce no output, entropy takes over, and they drop dead in a little while. This is the original material human condition. Labor is a means to counteract entropy. Without external limitations or disturbances, it can go on for an indefinite time.

Now, we switch to the monetary economy. The elementary production-consumption economy is given with this set of macroeconomic axioms: (A0) The objectively given and most elementary systemic configuration consists of the household and the business sector, which in turn consists initially of one giant fully integrated firm. (A1) Yw=WL wage income Yw is equal to wage rate W times working hours L, (A2) O=RL output O is equal to productivity R times working hours L, (A3) C=PX consumption expenditure C is equal to price P times quantity bought/sold X.

Under the conditions of market-clearing X=O and budget-balancing C=Yw in each period, the price is given as P=W/R (1), i.e., the market-clearing price is always equal to unit wage costs. This is the most elementary form of the macroeconomic Law of Supply and Demand.

From (1) follows the real wage as W/P=R (2). The output of the i-th worker is Oi=RLi. For a start, it is assumed that individual labor time Li and output Oi are exactly identical to the situation in Hexagonland. Up to this point, the material situation of the people of Hexagonland has not changed. What has changed is that they work in a firm, get an income, and spend it on consumption goods.

The graphical representation of the elementary production-consumption economy is shown under the label of Graphic. #1


Monetary profit of the business sector is defined as Qm≡C−Yw and monetary saving of the household sector is defined as Sm≡Yw−C. It always holds Qm+Sm=0, or Qm=−Sm, in other words, the business sector’s surplus = profit equals the household sector’s deficit = dissaving. Vice versa, the business sector’s deficit = loss equals the household sector’s surplus = saving. This is the most elementary form of the macroeconomic Profit Law. Under the condition of budget balancing C=Yw total monetary profit is zero.

So, the profit of the business sector is zero, the workers get the whole output O, and the real wage is equal to the productivity.

Now, the organization of the production process is improved through the division of labor, and the productivity increases. With unchanged individual and total labor time, total output O increases. The market-clearing price falls according to (1) and the real wage increases according to (2). The profit of the business sector is still zero because of C=Yw.

From the observer standpoint, the economy has two limiting paths open, (i) individual labor time Li is kept unchanged and output Oi increases, or (ii) output Oi is kept constant and labor time Li is reduced. If productivity is increasing over time, individual labor time Li goes asymptotically to zero.

Let us call this the Diogenes Solution. Curiously, Nietzsche, when he speaks of  ‘the’ Greeks in the preface to The Greek State, never mentions Diogenes. In order not to erect another False-Hero-Memorial, though, it should be mentioned that Diogenes was also a practical economist who was banished from Sinope “when he took to debasement of currency” (Wikipedia). Money creation is NOT meant with the Diogenes Solution, but fixing the output Oi at some cultural minimum = maximum.

It holds for both limiting paths and all combinations in between that the real wage is equal to the productivity, the workers get the whole output, and macroeconomic profit is zero. So, as productivity increases, the Legitimate Sovereign can choose between more material wealth or more leisure or a combination of the two. For the business sector, all combinations are indifferent because profit is zero in all cases as long as the household sector’s budget is balanced, i.e., C=Yw. Macroeconomic profit depends neither on labor time nor on productivity. This is a bit surprising for economists and philosophers who are still stuck in the old world of Walrasian, Keynesian, Marxian, and Austrian economics, exploitation, and class war. #2

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Graphic AXEC31 The elementary production-consumption economy
#2 Ricardo and the invention of class war

Related 'Capitalism, poverty, exploitation, and cross-over exploitation' and 'Employment theory as an example of proto-scientific soapbubbling' and 'The set screws of overall and individual employment' and 'True macrofoundations: the reset of economics.

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REPLY to Sandwichman on Jun 21

The Lump-of-Labor Fallacy is NOT solvable by comparing/confronting the statements of politicians on the issue of full employment, as you do in your post War is Peace, Freedom is Slavery, Ignorance is Strength.

For the scientifically/philosophically correct answer, see the Diogenes Solution in Nietzsche, Entropy, Full Employment, and NO Class War

June 18, 2014

Towards full employment through applied algebra and counter-intuitive behavior {58}

Working paper at SSRN
Working paper at ARCHIVE

Abstract  It is common knowledge that neither Walrasians nor Keynesians nor Marxians nor Institutionalists nor Austrians nor Sraffaians came to grips with profit. The reason is a defective formal basis. In the present paper, the formal foundations are first renewed. When the profit theory is false the rest of an approach is questionable. What is reexamined next because of its vital practical implications is the theory of employment. One remarkable result is that the popular recipe to eliminate unemployment, viz. downward wage rate flexibility, is self-defeating because it does not take the objective systemic properties of the monetary economy into account.

For the correct foundational equations — structural axioms, definitions, and behavioral propensity function — see Graphic AXEC61.

January 25, 2021

Occasional Tweets: The Employment Law

 

 Employment

So, in the final analysis, who pays for the minimum wage increase? In real terms, the complementary group pays, i.e. all those who do not get the increase. The wage increase does NOT affect the business sector's profit as a whole if the expenditure ratio = 1.

December 31, 2014

Deflation, saving, and employment

Comment on Asad Zaman on  'Why does aggregate demand collapse?'

Blog-Reference

Of course, you are right that deflation may become a problem. The crucial point is that the popular idea of the functioning of the price mechanism is mistaken. What is needed first is the correct price theory (2014), which delivers the correct Employment Law (2014b, p. 9, eq. (22)). Roughly speaking, if the product price (for the economy as a whole) falls faster than the wage rate, the employment effect is positive under the condition that all other parameters remain unchanged. If the wage rate falls faster, the employment effect is negative. On closer inspection, it turns out that there are two types of deflation. As you rightly pointed out, there are also secondary effects on the real value of debt, but this is a separate issue. Resume: Neoclassical economics got the price mechanism wrong.

Of course, Wolfgang Waldner is also right. If the relation between saving and income increases, the employment effect is negative.

All these effects are captured by the Employment Law, see Graphic AXEC07 and (2014b, p. 9, eq. (22)).


Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


References
Kakarot-Handtke, E. (2014a). Economics for Economists. SSRN Working Paper Series, 2517242: 1–29. URL
Kakarot-Handtke, E. (2014b). The Three Fatal Mistakes of Yesterday Economics: Profit, I=S, Employment. SSRN Working Paper Series, 2489792: 1–13. URL

February 12, 2026

Occasional X: Clueless economists / Employment (XXVI)

January 26, 2025

Occasional X: Clueless economists / Employment (XVII)

 

November 21, 2024

Occasional X: Clueless economists / Employment (XV)

 

December 31, 2018

Wage rate and employment: the basics

Comment on Brad DeLong on ‘Would Small Minimum Wage Increases Raise or Have No Effect on Employment?’

Blog-Reference

There are three approaches to answer the fundamental question of economics about the relationship between wages and employment.

(i) “That is the current question ― would (small) minimum wage increases have no effect on employment because labor-supply curves are steep, or would they boost employment by curbing employers with monopsony power from pushing both wages and employment below their competitive equilibrium values?”

This mainstream/microfounded approach is false because no such things as supply curves, demand curves, and equilibria exist. These things are NONENTITIES like unicorns, the tooth fairy, or dancing-angels-on-a-pinpoint.

The representative economist, though, has not realized anything to this day. Accordingly, the answer to the questions is: one school finds that a higher wage reduces employment, the other finds little effect.

(ii) The second approach is to rely on some apparently qualified journalist: “… because a career spent working at the New York Times has drilled into him the idea that he must be ‘fair’, and ‘fairness’ means (a) finding a position usually attributed to Democrats, (b) finding a position usually attributed to Republicans, and (c) presenting them both even-handedly, without affect or winky-winky as to which is most likely to be correct.”

Again, the answer is inconclusive.

(iii) The third way is to forget all this incompetent blather and to do some serious scientific homework.#1 The outcome of a macrofounded analysis is the Employment Law.#2

From the non-behavioral, objective-systemic Employment Law follows: An increase in the factor cost ratio ρF≡W/PR leads to higher employment. So, as a matter of fact, overall employment INCREASES if the average wage rate W INCREASES relative to average price P and productivity R and vice versa. This is the OPPOSITE of what the economics textbooks say.

The Employment Law consists of measurable variables and is testable. Obviously, this is the scientifically correct way to definitively answer the question.

Right policy depends on true theory: “In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum)

After 200+ years, orthodox and heterodox economists do NOT have the true employment theory and get the most critical relationship of economics wrong.

Time to retire these incompetent folks.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Mass unemployment: The joint failure of orthodox and heterodox economics
#2 Graphic AXEC62  Employment Law
For details of the big picture, see cross-references Employment/Phillips Curve.


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REPLY to Vincent J. Geloso, Graydon, JEC on Jan 2

You are merely playing ping-pong with worn-out slogans.

It is incumbent upon me to inform you that the microfoundations approach is long dead and buried. Its incurable methodological defect is well known: it is the Fallacy of Composition. Only imbeciles still argue within the analytical framework of supply-demand-equilibrium or General Equilibrium.

Microfoundations have to be replaced by macrofoundations. This methodological operation is known as Paradigm Shift.

From the correct macrofoundations follows a POSITIVE relation between wage rate and employment for the economy as a whole.

False theory leads to false policy guidance. With their defective microfounded employment theory, economists bear for 150+ years the political responsibility for the social devastation of mass unemployment.


***
Twitter Feb 26, 2021

September 27, 2021

Occasional Tweets: The St. Louis Fed gets profit and employment theory wrong

 



For more about employment see AXECquery.
For more about profit see AXECquery.
For more about lump of labour see AXECquery.

May 1, 2018

The set screws of overall and individual employment

Comment on Sandwichman on ‘Job Guarantee versus Work Time Regulation’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference

To this day, economists do not know how the price and profit-mechanism works. Supply-demand-equilibrium is merely a brain-dead proto-scientific joke. By implication, the theory of employment is false. #1 By consequence, economists’ policy proposals never had a sound scientific foundation. #2 This applies to all political camps.

“In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum)

Economists do not have the true theory. And this is why the whole discussion about the Job Guarantee, the minimum wage, or other employment measures moves in circles.

So, let us first get the basics straight. The elementary version of the axiomatically correct (objective, systemic, behavior-free, macrofounded #3) Employment Law is shown under the label Graphic #4


From this equation follows:
(i) An increase in the expenditure ratio ρE leads to higher employment L (the Greek letter ρ stands for ratio). An expenditure ratio ρE greater than 1 indicates a household sector budget deficit = dissaving = credit expansion, a ratio ρE less than 1 indicates a household sector budget surplus = saving = credit contraction.
(ii) Increasing investment expenditures I exert a positive influence on employment.
(iii) An increase in the factor cost ratio ρF≡W/PR leads to higher employment.

The complete Employment Law contains, in addition, profit distribution, the public sector, and foreign trade. Note that the Employment Law consists exclusively of measurable variables and is therefore directly testable.

The macroeconomic Profit Law for the elementary investment economy reads Qm≡I−Sm=I−(Yw−C)≡(ρIE−1)Yw. Legend: Qm monetary profit/loss, Sm monetary saving/dissaving. Macroeconomic profit is given as the difference between business sector investment and household sector saving.

Items (i) and (ii) cover the familiar arguments about aggregate demand. The factor cost ratio ρF as defined in (iii) embodies the macroeconomic price mechanism. The fact of the matter is that overall employment INCREASES if the AVERAGE wage rate W INCREASES relative to average price P and productivity R. This is beyond the horizon of the micro-brained micro-economist.

With regard to an increase of average productivity, then follows (under the initial condition of I given and ρE=1) that overall employment L DECLINES. In order to prevent this and to keep employment at the given level, the factor cost ratio ρF≡W/PR has to be kept constant. So, either the average wage rate W has to rise in lockstep with productivity or the average price P has to fall. In order to keep the price constant, the wage rate has always to move in lockstep with productivity.

So, as a matter of principle, the economic system can be held stable at any level of employment with no inflation/deflation. How this can be institutionalized is a separate question.

The employment L in the Employment Law is the sum of individual labor times as shown under the label Graphic #5
Legend: L total employment per period/year in hours, U legal norm time, e.g., hours per day/week/year, lit individual factor for the i-th employee, i.e., lit less than 1 is part-time, lit greater than 1 is overtime, n number of employees.

If n is fixed at full employment (however specified), then a reduction of overall labor time L can be achieved either by a general reduction of the legal norm time U or a reduction of the individual factor lit or a combination of the two.

So, the macroeconomic Employment Law gives one all the set screws (aggregate demand, macroeconomic price mechanism, labor time setting) to realize any level of overall economic activity in the monetary economy.

The stabilization of employment at any time possible at a level that has to be determined by the Legitimate Sovereign makes the whole blather about the minimum wage, buffer stocks, and reserve armies superfluous. #6

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Mass unemployment: The joint failure of orthodox and heterodox economics
#2 For details of the big picture, see cross-references Employment
#3 The macrofoundations approach starts with three systemic axioms: (A0) The objectively given and most elementary configuration of the economy consists of the household and the business sector, which in turn consists initially of one giant fully integrated firm. (A1) Yw=WL wage income Yw is equal to wage rate W times working hours. L, (A2) O=RL output O is equal to productivity R times working hours L, (A3) C=PX consumption expenditure C is equal to price P times quantity bought/sold X. For a start, it holds X=O.
#4 Graphic AXEC62 Employment Law
#5 Graphic AXEC93 Employment sum, differentiated labor input
#6 The minimum wage debate: a showpiece of economists’ hereditary idiocy

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COMMENT on Ralph Musgrave on May 1

Employment theory is macro. Your electrician example is micro. You are completely lost in the supply-demand-equilibrium woods.

August 18, 2021

March 5, 2024

Occasional Xs: Clueless economists / Employment (VI)

 

May 24, 2017

Full employment: thinking like the macro-boss

Comment on Sandwichman on ‘Output Optimum and the Roller Coaster of Immiseration’

Blog-Reference

The lethal mistake of your analysis of optimal employment/output is that it is partial. This mistake is widespread and ancient, so let us call this the Marshall Fallacy.

Marshallians are methodologically committed to microfoundations, that is, to the perspective of the individual firm owner. This is the wrong perspective for dealing with the employment of the economy as a whole. So the first methodological thing to do is to let the micro-boss go and to switch to the perspective of the macro-boss. In other words, the economy consists of one firm, you are the boss, and you are supposed to determine employment and output, such that the firm can exist in future periods.

Accordingly, your parameters are defined with this axiom set:
(A0) The objectively given and most elementary systemic configuration of the economy consists of the household and the business sector, which in turn consists initially of one giant fully integrated firm.
(A1) Yw=WL wage income Yw is equal to wage rate W times working hours L,
(A2) O=RL output O is equal to productivity R times working hours L,
(A3) C=PX consumption expenditure C is equal to price P times quantity bought/sold X.

These premises define the elementary production-consumption economy; they are certain, true, and primary, and therefore satisfy all methodological requirements. The graphical representation is given on Graphic AXEC31.


At any given level of employment L, the wage income Yw that is generated in the consolidated business sector follows by multiplication with the wage rate W. On the real side, output O follows by multiplication with the productivity R. Finally, the price P follows as the dependent variable under the conditions of budget balancing, i.e., C=Yw, and market clearing, i.e., X=O. Note that the ray in the southeastern quadrant is NOT a linear production function; the ray tracks ANY underlying production function. Note also that the wage rate W is an AVERAGE if the individual wage rates are different among the employees, which is normally the case.

Under the conditions of market-clearing and budget-balancing in each period, the price is given by P=W/R (1), i.e., the market-clearing price is always equal to unit wage costs. This is the MOST ELEMENTARY form of the macroeconomic price theorem, also called the Law of Supply and Demand.

If the wage rate W is lowered, the market-clearing price P falls. If the number of working hours L is increased, the price remains constant, provided productivity R does not change. If productivity decreases, the price P rises. If productivity increases, the price falls. In any case, labor gets the whole product, the real wage W/P is invariably equal to the productivity R according to (1), and profit for the business sector as a whole is zero. All changes in the system are reflected by the market-clearing price. The elementary market economy is indefinitely reproducible under the condition of no external/physical limitations like space, raw materials, etc., which ALL have to be introduced later in the course of an ever more detailed analysis.

This has been the first step. With the second step, the conditions of market-clearing and budget-balancing have to be lifted. This GENERALIZATION produces the phenomena of inventory changes (O−X greater than 0 or less than 0) and of saving/dissaving (Sm≡Yw−C greater than 0 or less than 0) and of monetary profit/loss (Qm≡C−Yw greater than 0 or less than 0).

It always holds Qm≡−Sm, in other words, the business sector’s surplus (deficit) equals the household sector’s deficit (surplus). Profit is the counterpart of dissaving, and loss is the counterpart of saving. This is the most elementary form of the macroeconomic Profit Law. Profit for the economy as a WHOLE has NOTHING to do with productivity, the wage rate, the working hours, exploitation, competition, or the smartness of the macro-boss. Overall profit/loss is determined by the change of the household sector’s debt.

Given the axioms (A0) to (A3), one has to proceed top-down by successive DIFFERENTIATION until one arrives at the INDIVIDUAL agent. Differentiation is the opposite of bottom-up or aggregation.

The first thing to notice is that the macro-boss can realize any level of employment L under the condition of market-clearing and budget balancing. The macro-boss is indifferent with regard to the employment level because monetary profit Qm is zero at all employment levels. The real wage is given with W/P=R (1), and to simplify matters here, it is assumed that the productivity R is equal on all levels of employment.

Now, total employment is given as the sum over the number n of workers L= L1+ ... +Li+ ... +Ln. The individual labor time can be formally split into the norm time U, e.g., 8 hours per day times working days per period, and an individual factor l1, l2, etc., such that Li=Uli. A value of li=1 means that the i-th worker works full-time, li=0.5 means half-time, and li greater than 1 means overtime. This gives the relationship between total labor input L, the number of workers n, and individual labor input li as shown on Graphic AXEC93
The macro-boss is indifferent between all employment levels L and (practical organizational problems put aside for the moment) as a matter of principle also indifferent between the possible combinations of number of workers n and individual labor time Li. So, to begin with, there is NO optimization problem, only an organizational problem.

Conclusion: In the pure production-consumption economy with market-clearing and budget-balancing, the real wage is determined by the actual production conditions. Given the productivity (= real wage), each worker chooses his individual input factor li, which is equal to or less than 1. The norm time U is defined by law according to average health standards. The macro-boss is indifferent between all levels of employment L and all combinations of n, U, li. As a result, there is NO conflict between labor and the macro-boss with regard to the realization of full employment.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

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REPLY to Sandwichman, Blissex on May 25

There are concepts that are both economic and measurable, e.g., wage rate, labor time, output, price, consumption expenditures, profit, etc. It seems to be a rather straightforward idea for economists to show how their foundational concepts are logically interrelated. This is the very precondition of coherent talk about the economy. It is a fact, though, that economists have not managed to define their basic concepts consistently. In marked contrast, every physics student knows how the basic concepts of their subject matter, e.g., mass, force, energy, velocity, acceleration, fit logically together, and relate to reality.

As a result, we have after 200+ years of brain-dead blather that neither Walrasians, Keynesians, Marxians, Austrians, nor Pluralists have any idea what profit is and how the price- and profit mechanism works. Not only this, the know-nothings of economics pester the world with economic policy proposals.

You, for example, talk about immiseration and that ‘the farm is run for the benefit of farmers’. What do you think this is? Economics?

It is pretty obvious that whatever this is, it is NOT economics. Hence, the title of this blog is misleading. What is taking place here is the pollution of the scientific atmosphere and severe damage to the intellectual/spiritual environment. The time has come to stop this.

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Answer of an EconoSpeak admin




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June 10, 2018

Supply-demand-equilibrium ― employment theory as an example of proto-scientific soap bubbling

Comment on Sandwichman on ‘The Wage[s]-Lump Doctrine ― still dogma after all these years’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference

“In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum)

The fact is that economists do NOT have the true theory. This holds in particular for employment theory, and the Lump-of-Labor theory is a case in point. The lethal methodological blunder of employment theory consists in the Fallacy of Composition, i.e., the illegitimate transfer of truths that hold for one firm/market onto the economy as a whole. What the representative micro-brained economist never understood is that what is true for the molehill is not true for the universe.

Methodological conclusion: the traditional microfoundations approach is as false as one can get and has to be fully replaced by the macrofoundations approach.

The axiomatically correct macroeconomic Law of Unemployment #1 is reproduced under Graphic AXEC36. #2


From this objective-structural-systemic relationship follows inter alia:
(i) An increase in the expenditure ratio ρE leads to higher employment L or lower unemployment u (the Greek letter ρ stands for ratio).
(ii) Increasing investment expenditures I exert a positive influence on employment.
(iii) An increase in the factor cost ratio ρF≡W/PR leads to higher employment.

The complete Employment Law is a bit longer and contains, in addition, the public sector and the foreign trade sector.

Items (i) and (ii) cover the familiar arguments about how aggregate demand affects employment. Item (iii) embodies the macroeconomic price mechanism. It works such that overall employment L increases if the average wage rate W increases relative to the average price P and productivity R, and vice versa. This is the opposite of what the obsolete Supply-Demand-Equilibrium approach says. 

From this follows the rules of effective employment policy. In the unemployment situation (with ρE and I given), the scientifically enlightened Legitimate Sovereign sets the parameters as follows: price increase zero and wage increase greater than productivity increase. This increases employment for a while. Afterward: price increase zero and wage increase equal to productivity increase. This stabilizes the economy at full employment.

Mentally retarded economists do, after 200+ years, still not know how the price and profit mechanism works. The one thing that they have brought to perfection in all this time is the trick of blowing bigger and bigger communicative soap bubbles. #4 Not to forget, economists reward themselves with the Nobel Prize for Proto-Scientific Soap Bubbling a.k.a. Economic Sciences.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 NAIRU, wage-led growth, and Samuelson’s Dyscalculia
#2 Keynes’ Employment Function and the Gratuitous Phillips Curve Disaster
#3 Graphic AXEC36 Structural-systemic Phillips Curve
#4 Economics: communication without content

For details of the big picture, see cross-references Employment/Phillips Curve.

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REPLY to Sandwichman on Jun 11

The Walrasian Auctioneer is not unemployed but dead. But Sandwichman is still soap-bubbling.

I wonder if you ever realize that the employment theory is false for 200+ years and that the only worthwhile issue in economics is how to abandon soap bubbling and start with serious scientific work.

For a start, you could try to empirically refute the axiomatically correct Law of Employment / Unemployment.

***

REPLY to Sandwichman, Barkley Rosser on Jun 12

Your dialogue about the Walrasian Auctioneer is a wonderful demonstration of soapbubbling.

The Walrasian Auctioneer is known since its invention as one of the most idiotic constructions in the history of cargo cult science. You are the last persons who remember him.

The empirical refutation of the axiomatically correct Law of Employment/Unemployment means the application of econometrics, which in turn means: “the quantitative analysis of actual economic phenomena based on the concurrent development of theory and observation, related by appropriate methods of inference.” (Wikipedia)

The Employment Law defines the set screws for policymakers#1 who are institutionalized differently in different national monetary economies and are lumped together under the heading of Legitimate Sovereign.

Stop soap bubbling, try to empirically refute the Employment Law. You are in for a big surprise.


#1 The set screws of overall and individual employment

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REPLY to Sandwichman, Barkley Rosser on Jun 13

The London gold market is micro/partial; the Auctioneer refers to general equilibrium and overall simultaneous market coordination. The Auctioneer has been a construct of breathtaking idiocy from the very first moment, and this means a lot in view of the hereditary delirium of the representative economist who did not get out of the silly Lump-of-Labor Fallacy in 200+ years.

Why do Sandwichman and you not simply quit economics and soap bubble amicably about real-world facts like cow flatulence, the assassination of JFK, or the death of Yeshua bin Yusuf?

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REPLY to Barkley Rosser, Sandwichman  on Jun 13

Stop soap-bubbling about the Auctioneer and cow flatulence and simply try to empirically refute the axiomatically correct Employment Law. It is never too late to do serious scientific work.

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REPLY to Barkley Rosser on Jun 13

Of course, soap bubblers cannot test the Employment Law. But since it consists exclusively of measurable variables, every econometrician who has tested the Phillips Curve already has a good part of the data for testing the macroeconomic Employment Law. #1

Looking forward to the grand showdown.


#1 Keynes’ Employment Function and the Gratuitous Phillips Curve Disaster

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REPLY to ANC Driver, Tom Hickey, Calgacus on Jun 13

The Legitimate Sovereign can realize any employment level by applying the Employment Law. This is NOT AT ALL a question of left-wing/right-wing. The Employment Law defines exactly the set screws for policymakers.#1 It is much like taking an aircraft off the ground.

Needless to emphasize that soap-bubbling economists have never taken anything off the ground. Just the opposite. #2


#1 The set screws of overall and individual employment
#2 Mass unemployment: The joint failure of orthodox and heterodox economics

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REPLY to Tom Hickey on Jun 14

You say: “Institutionalization is an issue involving political economy and politics.”

No, not at all. Institutionalization involves two things: the Legitimate Sovereign and Science. The actual problem with regard to economic institutions is that there is neither.

There are political economics and theoretical economics. The main differences are: (i) The goal of political economics is to successfully push an agenda, and the goal of theoretical economics is to successfully explain how the actual economy works. (ii) In political economics, anything goes; in theoretical economics, the scientific standards of material and formal consistency are observed.

Economics claims to be a science, but it is NOT. Theoretical economics (= science) had been hijacked from the very beginning by political economists (= agenda pushers). Political economics has produced NOTHING of scientific value in the last 200+ years. #1 Employment Theory is provably false, Profit Theory is provably false, Monetary Theory is provably false, and so on.

MMT, too, is proto-scientific garbage. And it is too obvious that it has been hijacked by political agenda pushers. #2

Economics, understood as a science, is supposed to develop the true theory. The true economic theory tells one how the economic system works. This knowledge is needed to realize the goals that have been set in the political sphere by the Legitimate Sovereign.

Imagine this situation: The Legitimate Sovereign ― in current understanding = We The People ― has extensively discussed whether to fly to paradise on Christmas Island or to paradise on Easter Island. The decision has been Christmas Island, and in order to make things happen, a group of people has been tasked to build the aircraft. Obviously, these scientists and engineers need a lot of knowledge about materials and physical laws. What these folks need not at all is an opinion on whether Christmas or Easter Island is the better destination. What these folks need indeed is scientific competence.

What has happened in economics is that economists have, since Adam Smith/Karl Marx, been permanently involved in the political discussion and have spent neither time, nor talent, nor brains to figure out how the monetary economy works. What we now have is incompetent scientists from Krugman to Varoufakis to Kelton to Mitchell and so on, from the right wing to the left wing and back, who are fully occupied in pushing some agenda.

The vast majority of economists have entirely lost any scientific instincts, which would tell them to keep science and politics strictly apart, and have joined the crowd of clowns and useful idiots in the political Circus Maximus. #3

MMTers are no exception. The whole discussion about the Job Guarantee is just political soap-bubbling that lacks sound scientific foundations. It is only good as a smokescreen to obscure the political agenda of money-making for the one-percenters. Economics has degenerated into a plain political fraud.

Make science great again! Throw all economists out! Start with MMTers! Take Tom Hickey first!


#1 Economics has arrived at the bottom of the proto-scientific shithole
#2 Richard Murphy: the MMT fraudster dressed up as realist
#3 For details of the big picture, see cross-references Political Economics

***
REPLY to Tom Hickey on Jun 14

You say: “I am not an economist. My PhD is in philosophy. If I were an economist, I would argue economics with you, but I don’t operate outside my field.”

As a philosopher, you have studied The Republic and what Plato has said about stories “… which are now in use [but] must be discarded.”

“Of what tales are you speaking? he said. …
Those, I said, which are narrated by Homer and Hesiod, and the rest of the poets, who have ever been the great story-tellers of mankind.
But which stories do you mean, he said; and what fault do you find with them?
A fault which is most serious, I said; the fault of telling a lie, and, what is more, a bad lie.”

Philosophers have been known for 2300+ years to be committed to truth. They introduced the distinction between doxa=opinion and episteme=knowledge. You say you are a philosopher who operates strictly within your field.

How does it come, then, that you promote on this blog economists who are political storytellers, incompetent scientists, and who violate scientific standards/ethics on a daily basis?

Here are five political story-tellers/agenda-pushers who pose as scientists and censor and manipulate their blogs/Twitter accounts:
Bill Mitchell,
Stephanie Kelton,
Jason Smith,
Lars Syll,
Richard Murphy.#1

You know quite well that the foundational MMT balances equation is provably false. This is sufficient for the refutation of MMT. Refutation means that MMT has no sound scientific basis. It’s just storytelling and political agenda-pushing. That is NOT what scientists are supposed to do.

What kind of philosopher are you? Who awarded you a degree? Trump University? And why do you so evidently operate outside your field?


#1 For details/proofs, see cross-references MMT

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REPLY to Tom Hickey on Jun 14

You need not study philosophy, what the absolute novice in every marketing and PR department and every half-witted journalist can tell you, even in the state of near-coma, is the mantra: Whoever Controls The Narrative Controls The World.

After all, already Plato was aware of “the great story-tellers of mankind”. The point is, though, that Plato was not directly enthusiastic about “telling a lie” or “a bad lie” or what we today call fake news or propaganda or disinformation, or cargo cult science. #1, #2, #3

Yes: “He [Shackle] could see that this [marginalist economics] was, in fact, a form of pseudo-secular religion… and that struck him, as it strikes others, as absurd.”

Yes, and because it IS absurd, marginalist economics will now be thrown out of science together with Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, Pluralism, MMT, and the fake philosopher Tom Hickey.

Note that economists award themselves with the “Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel” which is a deception of the general public. Economics has never been more than storytelling. Economics is the worst embarrassment in the history of modern science. And MMT and Tom Hickey are part of it.


#1 Economics is not a science, not a religion, but proto-scientific rubbish
#2 Economics: communication without content
#3 Economics: stories, narratives, and disinformation

***
REPLY to Barkley Rosser on Jun 15

You say: “I just reread your supposed ‘Employment Law’.”

Fine, but obviously, you still do not understand how things work. There are TWO uses of the equation.

(i) For testing, one simply feeds the historical data in and looks at how the Law fits. Needless to say that inflation has not been zero in the past, but if the Law is true, it fits perfectly with the historically given rates of inflation/deflation and employment, and all the other variables.

(ii) For achieving his employment goal, the policymaker uses the equation as a tool that tells him how to set the independent variables on the right-hand side while the target value of employment is entered at the left-hand side.

Testing the Employment Law is, in principle, not different from testing the Phillips Curve. The beauty of the test is that the Employment Law (= structural Phillips Curve) is confirmed and the silly behavioral Phillips Curve is refuted.

Testing can be done and will be done ― not by soap bubblers, though, that much has always been clear, but by scientists. In the meantime, you can tell me more about your fields of expertise ― cow flatulence and proto-scientific methodology.

***
REPLY to Tom Hickey on Jun 15

You say: “What many if not most that think they understand this but have not studied a relevant discipline don’t understand is that ‘the world’ is based on a narrative aka story and myth.”

Everybody understands this and knows that people are born, told some idiotic stories in kindergarten, are later on guided in their neurotic behavior by it, eventually become philosophers/journalists/bloggers and earn a living by pushing narratives, tell their children the updated idiotic stories, and then go as stupid out of ‘the world’ as they have come in. This is how culture and communication work in Plato’s Cave.

The scientific realm is different. Science is about true/false with truth well-defined as material and formal consistency: “Research is, in fact, a continuous discussion of the consistency of theories: formal consistency insofar as the discussion relates to the logical cohesion of what is asserted in joint theories; material consistency insofar as the agreement of observations with theories is concerned.” (Klant)

The political realm and the scientific realm run on fundamentally different principles. And this is why they have to be kept strictly apart. The mixing of politics and science inevitably ruins science, as everybody can know from the history of political economics, which has produced NOTHING of scientific value in the last 200+ years. #1

Political economics was and is, in the best case, brain-dead soap-bubbling and in the worst case, outright fraud.

MMT falls into the latter category: it pushes the narrative of the benefits of MMT policy for the ninety-nine percenters through all media. The scientific fact is that the MMT selling proposition, ‘print, spend, and don’t worry about public debt’, with the same necessity as the First Law of Thermodynamics translates into Public Deficit = Private Profit and therefore benefits the one-percenters.

So, MMT is clearly what the philosopher Plato called a “bad lie” and what the philosopher Tom Hickey euphemizes as narrative, covers with folk-psychological soap bubbling, and actively promotes by applying the old Huxley/Orwell recipes of political brain-washing.

#1 The irrelevance of economics
#2 Economists: political trolls for 200+ years

***

REPLY to Tom Hickey on Jun 14

You say: “You are now arguing outside your field unless you are credentialed in philosophy, especially logic and epistemology.”

Before pestering the world with your good advice and talking nonsense about credentials, take a basic methodology course on YouTube. #1 Note, in particular, that science is NOT about credentials but about logical/empirical proof.

You seem to have an extremely short attention span. You present yourself as a philosopher who does not operate outside his field and then blathers about theoretical economics and political economics and political science and sociology, and mass psychology.

You say: “In political science and politics, a fundamental problem is that even when the ‘true theory’ is known, it is not automatically adopted but must be passed into policy (law) and that involves politics.”

Wake up, this is NOT the problem, for the simple reason that economists do not have the true theory. The major approaches ― Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism ― are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, materially/formally inconsistent, and all got the pivotal economic concept of profit wrong. Economic policy guidance has had NO sound scientific foundations for 200+ years. Nothing to adopt, neither automatically nor otherwise.

Get it, there is NO true theory in economics, economists are NOT scientists but agenda pushers and useful political idiots.

Here is good advice for you: read what the great methodologist and economist J. S. Mill has said about the separation of science and politics: “A scientific observer or reasoner, merely as such, is not an adviser for practice. His part is only to show that certain consequences follow from certain causes, and that to obtain certain ends, certain means are the most effectual. Whether the ends themselves are such as ought to be pursued, and if so, in what cases and to how great a length, it is no part of his business as a cultivator of science to decide, and science alone will never qualify him for the decision.”

Repeat: NO part of his business. The political decisions are made in the political sphere by the Legitimate Sovereign, and they are NOT AT ALL the business of folks who should have figured out in the last 200+ years how the monetary economy works but failed to do so.

As a philosopher, you have NO credentials to dabble in economic policy or to promote MMT. All the more so, as you have obviously NOT realized some basics about what you are promoting:
(i) MMT is proto-scientific garbage, i.e., provably false, i.e., materially/formally inconsistent.
(ii) MMT is a political fraud, i.e., it pretends to promote the cause of the ninety-nine percenters but de facto promotes the cause of the one-percenters.
(iii) MMTers are scientifically incompetent.
(iv) MMTers constantly violate scientific standards/ethics.

You say you are a philosopher who does not operate outside his field. Very good! Get out of economics, we already have an oversupply of soap bubblers, or what Joan Robinson called the ‘throng of superfluous economists’.


#1 YouTube Feynman on Scientific Method

"It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn't matter how smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment, it's wrong. In that simple statement is the key to science."

***

REPLY to ANC Driver on Jun 16

You recommend Collingwood’s Economics as a Philosophical Science as follows: “Seeing as we are talking of economics, science, and philosophy all in the same cave I thought I’d share probably one of the best ‘short’… pieces I have ever read and which for its comparative size has probably had the greatest impact on me personally in understanding first and foremost, what an economic activity actually is, second, that we take the ability to engage in economic activities for granted, and third, that we cannot mix morals with economics.”

Realize:
  • You are putting economics, science, and philosophy into one hat.
  • This is illegitimate because economics and philosophy are what Feynman called cargo cult science.
  • The fundamental blunder of economics is that it defines itself as a social science.
  • The subject matter of economics is the economic system, i.e., the interaction of economic variables like employment, price, profit, productivity, income, output, and so on.
  • Human Nature/motives/behavior/action is the subject matter of Psychology, Sociology, Anthropology, History, Political Science, Biology, Social Philosophy, Ethics, and so on.
  • As far as economics deals with Human Nature/motives/behavior/action, it is Political Economics.
  • Political Economics has achieved nothing of scientific value in the last 200+ years.
  • Political Economists are failed/fake scientists.
  • Political Economics is since Adam Smith/Karl Marx a smokescreen for agenda pushing.
  • Political agenda pushers, no matter how they present themselves, are either stupid or corrupt or both and will therefore never be accepted in the community of scientists.
  • Economics had been hijacked from the very beginning by agenda pushers. This aberration has to be reversed. In methodological terms, economics needs a Paradigm Shift.
Collingwood writes in the introduction: “The thesis here to be advanced, then, is that there is a special type of action, … that this utilitarian or economic type of action is the fundamental fact with which all economic science is concerned; …”

No, this exactly is the Social Science Fallacy. Economics as a science is NOT concerned with how people behave but with how the economic system behaves. There are systemic laws that can be objectively determined, but economists have, to this da,y failed to figure them out. Instead, they were very successful in producing a breathtaking heap of peer-reviewed proto-scientific garbage.

Time to acknowledge that political economists had much support from retarded social philosophers like Collingwood and Tom Hickey. Also, time to properly separate science/theoretical economics from politics, soapbox economics, agenda-pushing, philosophy, and all the other cargo cult sciences.

Politics has to be determined in the political sphere by the Legitimate Sovereign. The political sphere and the scientific sphere have to be separated. After 200+ years of failure, economists are supposed to figure out how the economic system works. Only then can they credibly claim to be of assistance in the realization of the Legitimate Sovereign’s objective, that is, the Good Society.

***
REPLY to Tom Hickey on Jun 16

You say: “Given contemporary conditions, that would seem to involve instituting full employment now, since it is not only possible but simple by following MMT analysis, theory, and policy based on it. In fact, as Calgacus has pointed out, the MMT JG would begin breaking the back of modern capitalism by increasing labor power. … What needs to happen is that the capital/labor share ratio has to be shifted in favor of workers.”

Take notice that there is Xmas economics where everybody writes down a list of their wishes. Your priorities go roughly as follows: full employment, technological innovation, increasing productivity, increasing leisure, and a more equitable distribution.

This list makes you a very likable philosopher. Not many people will contradict you, but probably add such things as environmental protection and affordable health care.

In order to realize this program, you need to know how the monetary economy works. Your problem is that you don’t. For example, you recommend MMT/JG without realizing that MMT’s money-creation/deficit-spending makes distribution progressively more unequal.#1 You say that you want to better the distributional situation of the ninety-nine percenters, but your recommendations make matters worse.

The economist’s business is NOT to write down a wish list but to realize the goals that have been authorized by the Legitimate Sovereign. This requires scientific knowledge about how the monetary economy works. This knowledge is embodied in the systemic laws of the monetary economy. You cannot achieve full employment (however defined) if you don’t know the Employment Law.#2

To soap bubble about flying above the clouds is futile. It is the folks who have figured out the laws of aerodynamics and thermodynamics who get things off the ground. Analogous in economics.

As Marx said: “Philosophers and politicians have hitherto only popularized various wish lists; the point is to know how to realize them.”


#1 MMT: So-called progressives as trailblazers for Trumponomics
#2 This brings us back to the first post.

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REPLY to Tom Hickey on Jun 17

Tom Hickey summarizes: “I have said that new vision is needed and proposed a framework in terms of one of the enduring questions of Western intellectual history, which I believe can only be dealt with holistically by incorporating non-Western traditions. That question is the one that occupied the ancient Greeks: what does it mean to live a good life as an individual in a good society? That has a long tradition in terms of ethics, action theory, and social and political thought.”

Yes, the political/philosophical discussion about the Good Society goes back to the beginning of civilization.

Tom Hickey tells the story of how he came after a spiritual quest through Western and non-Western history to see that the society we live in is mentally deranged and institutionally dysfunctional, and that MMT offers a solution, at least for the economic causes of the malaise.

“Realistically, that is where we need to start strategically. What MMT proposes is feasible politically.” Tom Hickey’s narrative explains how he became an MMT agenda pusher.

When one takes the political glasses off and puts the scientific glasses on, one sees a quite different reality:
• Tom Hickey never did serious science.
• It is the MMT social goals that appeal to him.
• He never realized that the economic theory that underlies MMT policy guidance is provably false.
• He promotes MMT for political reasons and does not really care about its scientific validity.

So, Tom Hickey stands firmly in the tradition of Political Economy, which abuses ‘science’ from Adam Smith onward as a credibility/authority-enhancer. For agenda pushers, the political narrative always comes first: “A genuine inquirer aims to find out the truth of some question, whatever the color of that truth. ... A pseudo-inquirer seeks to make a case for the truth of some proposition(s) determined in advance. There are two kinds of pseudo-inquirer, the sham and the fake. A sham reasoner is concerned, not to find out how things really are, but to make a case for some immovably-held preconceived conviction. A fake reasoner is concerned, not to find out how things really are, but to advance himself by making a case for some proposition to the truth-value of which he is indifferent.” (Haack)

Tom Hickey recounts MMT history: “Warren Mosler has set forth a range of proposals for implementing a policy based on MMT principles. The range is not complete and many other issues need to be addressed that MMT hasn’t yet. As the MMT have said, there are fewer than a dozen of us, which is an improvement on the original 3 + 1 twenty years ago ― Warren Mosler, Bill Mitchell and Randy Wray, along with grad student Pavlina Tcherneva.”

This is what MMT looks like to me. The trained economist and hedge fund founder Warren Mosler stumbled one day upon Post-Keynesianism/MMT and found that it contained a lot of sound arguments against mainstream monetary theory and some good social planks for a political platform. Warren Mosler developed the narrative of how the fiat money system can be used to solve most socio-economic problems. As a marketing buff, he realized that Wall Street types have a credibility problem with selling social policy. And this resulted in strengthening the sales team with caring Stephanie Kelton and the spiritually enlightened philosopher Tom Hickey.

I have no problem with agenda pushers promoting their stuff in the political Circus Maximus. And I have no problem with Wall Street’s Warren Mosler running for the Virgin Islands' governor. The lethal flaws of MMT are:
• The scientific part of MMT is provably false.
• MMT policy guidance has no sound scientific foundations.
• MMT is a political fraud, not substantially different from Neoclassics, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism.

The mixing of politics and science always corrupts science. This starts with Smith/Marx and continues over the whole right/left spectrum from Hayek, Keynes, Friedman, Krugman, Keen, Mosler, to Tom Hickey.

Let’s get rid of all of them.

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REPLY  to Calgacus on Jun 17

You say: “Not seeing fallacies in some reasoning that MMT is welfare for the rich is not the same as there not being a fallacy, and there is. A really easy way for anyone to quickly see that the reasoning must be fallacious (formally inconsistent) is the historical fact that applied MMT has everywhere led to progressively more equal distributions of wealth and income, not the opposite. … (By applied MMT I mean the New Deal, WWII in the US & UK, the postwar era practically everywhere & for a few countries even afterward. Pretty much the closer to MMT / genuine Keynes ― the better for income/ wealth distribution.)”

Note that there are two issues here: (i) the classical macroeconomic issue of the relative magnitudes of profits and wages [To determine the laws which regulate this distribution, is the principal problem in Political Economy (Ricardo)] and (ii), the issue of the distribution of wages among workers and of profits among firms. I have dealt with both issues in working papers#1, #2 and in blog posts. #3, #4

It is pretty obvious that economists from Smith/Ricardo via Keynes to MMT never understood what macroeconomic profit is and as a consequence, thoroughly messed up Distribution Theory.

I know for sure that you don’t understand what macroeconomic profit is. Therefore, it is beyond your means to say anything sensible about distribution.

The axiomatically correct Profit Law for the economy as a whole is given as Qm≡Yd+(I−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M), which reduces to Qm=G−T for Yd, I, Sm, X, M = 0. The reduced Profit Law says that the monetary profit of the business sector Qm is equal to the deficit G−T of the public sector, in a nutshell: Public Deficit = Private Profit.

Now, MMT is essentially money-creation/deficit spending. Because of this, it is correct to say that MMT progressively worsens the distribution. #5

However, for anyone who can read an equation, it is obvious that the positive effect of a government deficit G−T on macroeconomic profit Qm can at any time be counteracted by the negative effects of the other variables, i.e., Yd, I, Sm, X, M.

Whether this has been the case during the “New Deal, WWII in the US & UK, the postwar era practically everywhere” can be established only by testing the complete equation.

There is no way around it; in order to make progress with Distribution Theory, the Profit Law must be tested with the data for the historical time periods you mentioned.

As far as I know, the axiomatically correct Profit Law has never been tested. Your assertion: “Pretty much the closer to MMT / genuine Keynes ― the better for income/ wealth distribution.” is pretty much hanging in midair.#6


#1 The Profit Theory is False Since Adam Smith. What About the True Distribution Theory?
#2 Essentials of Constructive Heterodoxy: Profit
#3 Profit and the decline of labor’s nominal share
#4 Profit and distribution: a primer
#5 Keynes, Lerner, MMT, Trump and exploding profit
#6 Keynesianism as ultimate profit machine

July 28, 2025

Occasional X: Clueless economists / Employment (XIX)

April 28, 2016

Note on the employment multiplier

Refers to Chris Dillow On Multipliers

Blog-Reference

The multiplier discussion lacks sound theoretical foundations. The most elementary version of the correct Employment Law for the economy as a whole is given under the label Graphic AXEC62:
The multiplier is composed of the ratios ρE and ρF: #1
— An increase in the expenditure ratio ρE≡C/Y leads to higher employment.
— An increase in the factor cost ratio ρF≡W/PR leads to higher employment.

The complete Employment Law is a bit longer and contains, in addition, profit distribution, public deficit spending, and import/export. The Law contains only measurable variables and is testable. This should end the groping in the dark and the inconclusive wish-wash.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 The Three Fatal Mistakes of Yesterday Economics: Profit, I=S, Employment