Showing posts sorted by relevance for query austerity. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query austerity. Sort by date Show all posts

May 28, 2019

Links on Austerity

Comment on Robert Skidelsky/Lars Syll on ‘Alesina’s ‘expansionary austerity’ — a tale of scientific delusion’

Blog-Reference

The macroeconomic Profit Law entails Public Deficit = Private Profit. Because of this, the one-percenters and their useful academic/journalistic spokespersons should consistently argue FOR deficit-spending/money-creation, and the ninety-nine-percenters and their academic/journalistic spokespersons should consistently argue AGAINST it. It is often just the reverse in the political Circus Maximus.

► Austerity and the idiocy of political economists
► Austerity and the utter scientific ignorance of economists
► Austerity and the total disconnect between economic policy and science
► Austerity and the political games Progressives play
► Austerity: Who takes the little man for a ride?
► MMT Progressives: stupid or corrupt or both?
► The biggest scientific mistake of the last centuries, and it has much to do with academic economists
► MMT: No sound basis
► Keynes, Lerner, MMT, Trump, Biden, and exploding profit
► MMT: Distribution is the drawback NOT Inflation
► Post-Keynesianism vs MMT: a Zombie debate
► Economists: Trolls with a mortarboard
► Stephanie Kelton and the self-destructive stupidity of the super-rich
► Deficit-spending, public debt, and macroeconomic profit/loss
► Swabian housewife vs Wall Street loan shark
► Deficit-spending/Money-creation is ALWAYS a bad deal for WeThePeople
► For details of the big picture, see cross-references Political Economics/Stupidity/Corruption

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke



For more on austerity, see AXECquery. 

Reminder: Government spending can be consumptive or investive. In the elementary production-consumption economy, government spending G is consumptive. The financing of infrastructure, etc., is an entirely different matter.

See also Twitter/X Nov 23, 2023


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Twitter Jan 14 Here comes the turncoats




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Roosevelt Institute Feb 25, 2021 Austerity officially abandoned



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Twitter Mar 3 Here they are, the academic agenda pushers


Twitter Jun 18 Senator John Yarmuth declares the policy switch from austerity to deficit overdrive




Twitter Jan 15, 2023 The last debt limits are phased out



Twitter Feb 7, 2020




Twitter Feb 16, 2023 The rhetoric is austerity, the policy is deficit-spending/money-creation




Twitter/X Nov 23, 2023 Finally, the debt brake, a.k.a profit brake, is also gone in Germany




Twitter/X Feb 26, 2025, Let's hit the debt brakes and see what happens to aggregate profit



Twitter/X Feb 28, 2025,  The Oligarchy's Rule No.1 of Political Rhetoric: Announce budget-balancing before increasing the debt limit and then continue with deficit-spending/money-creation



Twitter/X Sep 10, 2025  "The Bundesbank has now determined that €56 billion of the approximately €70 billion in fiscal policy leeway created in 2025 by the debt package in the core budget will be used for consumptive and transfer expenditures."

February 9, 2021

Occasional Tweets: From austerity talk into deficit overdrive

 


Austerity / Deficit Explosion / Profit Explosion

“The macroeconomic Profit Law entails Public Deficit = Private Profit. Because of this, the Oligarchy and their useful academic/journalistic spokespersons should consistently argue FOR deficit-spending/money-creation and WeThePeople and their academic/journalistic spokespersons should consistently argue AGAINST it. It is often just the reverse in the political Circus Maximus.”


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Twitter Mar 15 Debt 2021



Twitter Mar 28 Debt Projection


Twitter May 4 Wealth



Twitter Jun 24

August 27, 2018

MMT Progressives: stupid or corrupt or both?

Comment on Bill Mitchell on ‘The conservative polity is fracturing ― an opportunity for the Left’

Blog-Reference

Bill Mitchell explains his long-lasting critique of “the Left”: “Regular readers will know that I have spent a lot of time writing about the demise of the Left political parties as they became subsumed with neoliberal economic ideology, which blurred the political landscape as the ‘centre’ moved to the Right.”

The Progressives argue that what people think of “the Left” is false because “the Left” is (i) stupid and has bought into the neoliberal ideology of budget-balancing/austerity, and (ii), has been hijacked by Oxbridge careerists. In other words, the traditional Left is fake and the Progressives are the true fighters for the cause of WeThePeople.

According to Bill Mitchell: “The neoliberal wedge that has compromised the Left side of politics is now clearly splintering the conservative polity …” and, in order to take advantage of the situation “… the social democratic movements has to abandon every vestige of neoliberal economics ― the concepts, policies and language and framing.” which means “The progressive social policies that are core to social democratic parties has to be married with an economics that allows those policies to be advanced.”

This economics is MMT. In brief, WeThePeople is advised to swap “the Left” for “the Progressives” who apply a superior economic policy that is scientifically based on MMT.

What exactly has been the fatal blunder of “the Left”? “Think about British Labour, who told the people who have endured years of disastrous austerity that ‘Sound finances are the foundations on which everything else is possible’.”

The keyword is austerity, and austerity is ― everybody knows this ― a pivotal Neoliberal concept. Neoliberal policy, in turn, is the economic sadism that the Oligarchy applies to WeThePeople. The Progressives will change that by swapping austerity for deficit-spending/money-creation.

While it is true that Neoliberals have always talked much about budget-balancing, they in effect have practiced the exact opposite. Historically, the greater part of the now existing public debt has been produced by Neoliberals. Contrary to the rhetoric, deficit-spending/ money-creation is good old Neoliberal policy. #1, #2, #3 Deficit-spending/money-creation always and everywhere benefits the one-percenters.

This leads to the inescapable conclusion that Progressives are actually Neoliberals in a social guise. #4 Progressives are either stupid or corrupt or both.

Fact is
• The macroeconomic foundations of MMT are provably false. More specifically, the MMT sectoral balances equation is proto-scientific garbage. Because of this, MMT is scientifically worthless. #5
• According to the axiomatically correct macroeconomic Profit Law, it holds that Public Deficit = Private Profit. The MMT sales force, though, falsely claims that Public Deficit = Private Saving. #6
• Because all MMT policy guidance boils down to deficit-spending/money-creation, MMT policy directly and immediately increases macroeconomic profit. The effects on employment/ prices are uncertain and secondary.
• Contrary to the social rhetoric, MMT policy is for the benefit of the one-percenters. MMT is the easily recognizable tip of the iceberg of the political corruption of economics. #7

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Austerity and the idiocy of political economists
#2 Austerity and the utter scientific ignorance of economists
#3 Austerity and the total disconnect between economic policy and science
#4 MMT and the promotion of Wall Street's idea of social policy
#5 For the full-spectrum refutation of MMT, see cross-references MMT
#6 For example Tweet of Aug 17, 2018

#7 Lock them up

Related 'How Bill Mitchell stalks Jeremy Corbyn' and 'MMT, Bill Mitchell, and the lack of basic scientific integrity' and 'MMT is criminal economics' and 'Austerity and the political games Progressives play' and 'MMT is dead: An unfriendly critique of Bill Mitchell' and 'Everything you know about MMT is wrong' and 'MMT: scientific incompetence or political fraud?' and 'Why the British Labor Party should NOT adopt MMT' and 'MMTers are false Progressives and false Friends-of-the-People'.

March 26, 2018

Note on “Era of Austerity coming to an end...”

Blog-Reference

The macroeconomic Profit Law #1 implies Public Deficit = Private Profit. From this follows logically that the one-percenters and their useful academic/journalistic spokespersons should consistently argue for deficit-spending, and the ninety-nine-percenters and their academic/journalistic spokespersons should consistently argue against it.

Therefore, a self-styled progressive MMT spokesperson who claims that deficit spending benefits the ninety-nine-percenters is either an idiot or a fraudster.

The headline “Schumer Celebrates Omnibus Bill: ‘Era Of Austerity’ Coming ‘To An End’” is true as far as macroeconomic profit and Schumer as a spokesperson for the one-percenters is concerned. There is, though, nothing to celebrate for the ninety-nine-percenters/WeThePeople. For details see

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Graphic AXEC143d



See also on Twitter AXECorg: #Economics #Econ #FailedScience #FakeScience #CargoCultScience #BadScienceBadPolicyBadPeople #ScientificIncompetence #Economists #StupidOrCorruptOrBoth #Econ101 #OrthodoxEconomics #HeterodoxEconomics #Pluralism  #MicroFoundations #MacroEconomics #Profit #ProfitTheory #SectoralBalances #Distribution #Austerity #Reset #DeleteEconomics #NewEconomicThinking #ParadigmShift #NewParadigm #Science #MacroFoundations #Axiomatization

August 23, 2019

Deficit cheerleaders ― the Oligarchy’s useful idiots

Comment on Peter Dorman on ‘Cheerleading for Austerity’

Blog-Reference

It is generally known by now that economics is NOT a science and that economists are NOT scientists but agenda pushers. Currently, economists are given new marching orders.#1 And MMTers with their mantra of deficit-spending/money-creation are paraded in the media as the avant-garde of new economic thinking. #2

Peter Dorman frames the issue psychologically by evoking the sufferings of WeThePeople: #3 “… the [NYT] article simply assumes that ‘large’ deficits are unsustainable and bad, and that only irresponsible political motives prevent action on them. In the name of a nebulous, unspecified Evil of Debt, the population of the US must be subjected to a regime of austerity, beginning with cuts in the programs many depend on to keep themselves and family members out of poverty.”

Then comes the economic expert with the tranquilizer: “To begin with, federal debt is denominated entirely in US dollars, so servicing is not a problem. Countries that borrow in foreign currencies, like Greece (which had no control over the euro) and Argentina, can default; that’s not a problem for the US.” No need for WeThePeople to worry about public debt because the US government neither intends to pay it back nor can it default on it.

And here is the really good news: “Meanwhile, government debt is an injection of spending power into the economy that counterbalances the leakage of a significant, ongoing trade (and current account) deficit. That’s not quite the right way to put it, since private and public net deficits, taken together, are the current account deficit. Once you understand what this means, you can’t avoid the economic shrinkage — austerity — aspect of deficit-cutting, since that’s what keeps the identity identical at any point in time.”

Obviously, Peter Dorman refers to the MMT/Keynesian/macroeconomic sectoral balances equation (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=0. Unfortunately, this equation is provably false, but Peter Dorman has not realized it to this day. In the equation above, the most important balance ― the profit of the business sector ― is missing.

What does this tell us? (i) Academic economists do not know what profit is and how the monetary economy works. (ii) Academic economists are too stupid for the elementary mathematics of macroeconomic accounting. (iii) Academic economists either unintentionally or intentionally push the agenda of the Oligarchy.

The axiomatically correct balances equation reads (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)−(Q−Yd)=0, with Q as macroeconomic profit. The macroeconomic Profit Law boils down to Public Deficit (G−T>0) = Private Profit Q, which means that the Oligarchy’s financial wealth and public debt grow in lockstep. It is the very characteristic of the free-market economy that it has already for a long time been on the life support of the State. Profit is produced by the government through deficit-spending/money-creation. The Oligarchy, in turn, uses the opulent free lunches to corrupt what remains of the state’s legislative, executive, and judiciary institutions.

Needless to emphasize that this state of affairs cannot be communicated to WeThePeople. This is why MMT repackages deficit-spending/money-creation as a social program for the benefit of WeThePeople. The propaganda says that deficit-spending/money-creation is the solution for all problems, beginning with unemployment and ending with global warming. This is just a political fraud.#4 And there is nothing new about it, actually, this is very old economic thinking.#5 A public debt of currently $22 trillion has taken two centuries to build up.

The free-market economy runs on profit, and macroeconomic profit comes mainly from a permanently growing public debt. To tell WeThePeople that all is just fine is the task of academic agenda pushers. In economics, scientific fraud is traditionally rewarded with the EconNobel a.k.a. “Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel”.#6

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 See the Tweets from Jackson Hole
#2 Stephanie Kelton: MMT’s public farce
#3 This is a propagandistic standard operation procedure since Friedrich Engels’ The Condition of the Working Class in England,
#4 Is MMT good for WeThePeople or for the Oligarchy?
#5 Keynes, Lerner, MMT, Trump, etc. and exploding profit
#6 Economics ― not science, not ideology, just useful idiocy

Related 'Keynesianism as ultimate profit machine' and 'Keynes, Kalecki, MMT, and the accidental invention of the perpetual profit machine' and 'Economics ― from attention and reputation management to science' and 'Cheerleading the cargo cult' and 'MMT Progressives: stupid or corrupt or both?' and 'Links on Austerity' and 'Austerity and the political games Progressives play' and 'The biggest scientific mistake of the last centuries, and it has much to do with academic economists' and 'The decisive reason to worry about government debt' and 'Safe assets ― how the state pampers the Oligarchy' and 'Stephanie Kelton: “All deficits are good for someone” Yes, Someone=Oligarchy' and 'Bill Mitchell, MMT, Progressives: economists as Oligarchy hacks' and 'The irrelevance of populism for economics' and 'From the debt economy to the gift economy: how America is brainwashed to love budget deficits' and 'MMT works just fine'.

For details of the big picture, see cross-references MMT.

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REPLY to evodevo on Aug 25

The macroeconomic Profit Law entails Public Deficit = Private Profit. Because of this, the Oligarchy and their useful academic/journalistic spokespersons should consistently argue FOR deficit spending, and WeThePeople and their academic/journalistic spokespersons should consistently argue AGAINST it. So, it is very easy to test the competence/honesty of economists/politicians. For details see

► Austerity and the idiocy of political economists
► Austerity and the utter scientific ignorance of economists
► Austerity and the total disconnect between economic policy and science
► Austerity and the political games Progressives play
► Austerity: Who takes the little man for a ride?

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REPLY to Barkley Rosser

You say: “We do tolerate Egmont, but do realize that none of us take him seriously. His ‘profit law’ is total bs accepted by no other economists.”

The non-acceptance of the macroeconomic Profit Law#1 by economists means the non-acceptance of economics as a science. In science, proof counts and NOT the opinion of folks who are too stupid for the elementary algebra that underlies macroeconomics.#2

Economists are NOT tolerated in the scientific community because of proven incompetence over the last 200+ years.


#1 AXEC143d  Macroeconomic Profit Law (with increasing complexity) and Balances Equation
#2 I=S is provably false since Keynes, but neither you nor your “other economists” have realized it.

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REPLY to Barkley Rosser on Aug 27

You say: “Go to the end, your claim that I=S is not true. Sorry, but in terms of US national income and product accounts, they do by definition. You can claim that this is not the right definition all you want, but it is the one that is used. This is a hard fact.”

Indeed. There was a time when saying the sun goes around the earth was a hard fact. Among imbeciles, it still is. The scientific hard fact, though, is that the Profit Theory is false since Adam Smith, and that the blunder quite naturally sneaked into the conventions of National Accounting.#1, #2 So, the hardest of all hard facts is that economists and national accountants are too stupid for the elementary mathematics that underlies macroeconomics.

Proof:
1. Premises: The elementary production-consumption economy is given by three macroeconomic axioms: (A1) Yw=WL wage income Yw is equal to wage rate W times working hours. L, (A2) O=RL output O is equal to productivity R times working hours L, (A3) C=PX consumption expenditures C is equal to price P times quantity bought/sold X.

2. Logical implications: In the elementary production-consumption economy, THREE configurations are logically possible: (i) consumption expenditures are equal to wage income C=Yw, (ii) C is less than Yw, (iii) C is greater than Yw.
• In case (i), the monetary saving of the household sector S≡Yw−C is zero, and the monetary profit of the business sector Q≡C−Yw, too, is zero. The product market is cleared, i.e., X=O in all three cases. For a start, the market-clearing price as the dependent variable is given by P=C/X=W/R for any employment level.
• In case (ii), saving S is positive and the business sector makes a loss, i.e., Q is negative. The market-clearing price P is less than W/R.
• In case (iii), saving S is negative and the business sector makes a profit, i.e., Q is positive.

It always holds Q≡−S, in other words, the balances of the business and the household sector always add up to zero. This is the Fundamental Law of Macroeconomic Accounting.#3

In other words, the business sector’s loss is equal to the household sector’s saving. In still other words, saving is NOT equal to investment (because there is NO investment in the elementary production-consumption economy), but saving is equal to loss. Vice versa, profit is equal to dissaving, i.e., the growth of the household sector’s debt.

3. Conclusion: Simple algebra tells everybody that saving is NEVER equal to investment and that, as a logical consequence, macroeconomics is provably false since Keynes. This carries over to National Accounting. So, actual National Accounting practice proves NOTHING except mathematical incompetence.

4. Generalization: The axiomatically correct macroeconomic Profit Law says for the general case Q≡Yd+(I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M). For the elementary investment economy, this boils down to Q=I−S, i.e., macroeconomic profit is the difference between business sector investment and household sector saving. The empirical fact that macroeconomic profit has been greater than zero for most of the time since the Industrial Revolution tells everyone with more than two brain cells that there NEVER was equality of I and S in the whole history of Capitalism.

You say: “Bottom line is that your profit law is just a definition you made up, nobody else agrees with, nobody. You are all alone with your precious tautology. This is why you have been unable to publish a single paper in an actual economics journals, and I note that there are now way over 1000 economics journals, with them having a wide range of views.”

In the genuine sciences, peer review has been institutionalized as quality control; in economics, it has been perverted into an instrument for perpetuating the 200+ years stranglehold of the proto-scientific academic mob.

Because the profit theory is provably false, all microeconomic and all macroeconomic models are false and, therefore, 99 percent of the content of peer-reviewed journals is proto-scientific garbage. In economics, the publication in a journal is NOT a quality characteristic but a reliable indicator that both the author and reviewer are either stupid or corrupt or both.


#1 The Common Error of Common Sense: An Essential Rectification of the Accounting Approach
#2 Is Nick Rowe stupid or corrupt or both?
#3 For details of the big picture, see cross-references Accounting

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#PointOfProof
Aug 27
Post missing
#EconBlocker

August 21, 2018

The biggest scientific mistake of the last centuries, and it has much to do with academic economists

Comment on Simon Wren-Lewis on ‘The biggest economic policy mistake of the last decade, and it had nothing to do with academic economists’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference on Aug 22

Simon Wren-Lewis argues: “I think this lack of influence that academic economics can have is not understood by many. It often suits some heterodox economists to pretend otherwise. Economists can be influential, but only when politicians want to listen, or the media is prepared to confront them with academic knowledge.”

Economists have it always in BOTH ways. Keynes famously argued: “Practical men who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist. Madmen in authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling their frenzy from some academic scribbler of a few years back.”

In economics, everything and the exact opposite has already been said sometime, somewhere, by somebody. Self-contradiction is NOT a disadvantage. Just the opposite. If some major economic event happens, there is always somebody who ‘saw it coming’ or ‘who got it right but, unfortunately, was ignored’. The discussion about austerity is NOT different.

Simon Wren-Lewis tells the story of how he, Paul Krugman, Brad DeLong, and others have successfully taken down the arguments for austerity: “As far as us Keynesians were concerned, the intellectual battles were won by the end of 2012 if not before.”

This gives us the Iron Rule of Political Economics: If economic shit happens, then it was NEVER the fault of economists but of politicians who do not understand economics and always listen to the incompetent economists and ignore the competent economists.” The truth is just the opposite: “Late in life, moreover, he [Napoleon] claimed that he had always believed that if an empire were made of granite the ideas of economists if listened to, would suffice to reduce it to dust.” (Viner)

This is why intelligent heads of state do not listen to economists but only employ them as useful idiots.

The point is this: “In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum)

Now, this is the current state of economics: the major approaches ― Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism ― are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, materially/formally inconsistent, and all got profit ― the foundational concept of the subject matter ― wrong. With the pluralism of provably false theories, economists have NOT achieved anything of scientific value. They nonetheless hold up the claim to be scientists and experts.

The key to understanding economics is that there are TWO economixes: political and theoretical economics. Theoretical economics (= science) had been hijacked from the very beginning by the agenda pushers of political economics. Economics claims to be a science, but it is NOT. Economists claim to know how the economy works, but do NOT. From this follows that economic policy guidance from Smith/Marx onward has NEVER had sound scientific foundations. This applies also to the issue of austerity.#1, #2, #3

Neither Simon Wren-Lewis nor Paul Krugman nor Brad DeLong nor the rest know how the economy works, yet all have very strong opinions on what the politicians should do. Economists have entirely forgotten that agenda pushing is NOT AT ALL their business: “A scientific observer or reasoner, merely as such, is not an adviser for practice. His part is only to show that certain consequences follow from certain causes, and that to obtain certain ends, certain means are the most effectual. Whether the ends themselves are such as ought to be pursued, and if so, in what cases and to how great a length, it is no part of his business as a cultivator of science to decide, and science alone will never qualify him for the decision.” (J. S. Mill)

All the more so, because economists messed up science.#4 After 200+ years of political agenda pushing, economics is one of the most embarrassing failures in the history of modern science.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Austerity and the idiocy of political economists
#2 Austerity and the utter scientific ignorance of economists
#3 Austerity and the total disconnect between economic policy and science
#4 For details of the big picture see cross-references Failed/Fake Scientists

Related Ch. 13 in Sovereign Economics: The indelible scientific disgrace of economics.

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REPLY to Tom Hickey on Aug 23

You say: “All of us have a world view. World views differ, perhaps slightly but perhaps a great deal. We affiliate based on shared world views. If one beings to groups that don’t share a common world view. this creates some double binds and cognitive dissonance, or role-playing, These world views are ‘programed’ into the brain functioning. At the social level this results in group think and conflict within and among groups.”

Wow. And you found this out by stressing your two brain cells? Take notice that the difference between doxa = opinion and episteme = knowledge was settled by the Greek philosophers more than 2300 years ago.

The guiding principle for establishing knowledge is the distinction between true and false: “There are always many different opinions and conventions concerning any one problem or subject-matter (such as the gods). This shows that they are not all true. For if they conflict, then at best only one of them can be true. Thus it appears that Parmenides … was the first to distinguish clearly between truth or reality on the one hand, and convention or conventional opinion (hearsay, plausible myth) on the other …” (Popper)

To deny the true/false demarcation means to kick oneself out of science. And this is exactly what you are doing.

It is rather trivial to state that there are a lot of different opinions around. Genuine philosophers went well beyond this triviality: “That the settlement of opinion is the sole end of inquiry is a very important proposition.” (Peirce)

In brief, Walrasianism, Keynesianism, MMT, Marxianism, Austrianism, Pluralism, and Eclecticism are mere opinions and will find their final resting place at the Flat-Earth Cemetery together with your silly anything-goes philosophy.

You say: “All of us have a world view”. What you call a “world view” is qualitatively not different from a bacillus fart. The representative orthodox and heterodox economist does NOT have a valid worldview but is scientifically incompetent/corrupt. The proof is all over the econblogosphere, including the Mike Norman Economics blog.#1, #2, #3


#1 The scientific self-elimination of Heterodoxy
#2 MMT, Bill Mitchell, and the lack of basic scientific integrity
#3 You don’t see what you don’t see: censorship in the econblogosphere

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REPLY to Tom Hickey on Aug 23

You say: “Right, and most people today are completely unaware of this. They have been captured by ‘science’ that is really pseudoscience.”

Worse, they have been captured by ‘philosophy’ that is really pseudophilosophy. After the sciences and mathematics have left philosophy behind, it is only a shadow of its former self and practically indistinguishable from journalism/propaganda/agenda-pushing.

The anything-goes philosopher Tom Hickey is a sad example of the political sellout of philosophy.

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AXEC141f

December 29, 2015

Austerity and the utter scientific ignorance of economists

Comment on Simon Wren-Lewis on ‘Exploring one set of reasons why austerity happened’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference The secular stagnation of labor market theory on Jan 11

“In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum, 1991, p. 30)

Economists lack the true theory, and because of this, they have nothing to offer but some political opinion. The market economy does not work as standard economics says. This holds — with damaging consequences — in particular for the labor market.

The core of labor market theory goes as follows “We economists have all learned, and many of us teach, that the remedy for excess supply in any market is a reduction in price. If this is prevented by combinations in restraint of trade or by government regulations, then those impediments to competition should be removed. Applied to economy-wide unemployment, this doctrine places the blame on trade unions and governments, not on any failure of competitive markets.” (Tobin, 1997, p. 11)

To this day, the representative economist has not realized that the overall systemic interdependence establishes a positive feedback loop between ‘the’ product and ‘the’ labor market, that is, wage rate down - employment down - wage rate down - and so on. Vice versa with an increasing average wage rate. The market system is not an equilibrium system. All equilibrium models are a priori false.

An elementary version of the axiomatically correct Employment Law is shown with Graphic AXEC62

From this structural equation follows inter alia:
(i) An increase in the expenditure ratio ρE leads to higher employment.
(ii) Increasing investment expenditures I exert a positive influence on employment; a slowdown in growth does the opposite.
(iii) An increase in the factor cost ratio ρF=W/PR leads to higher employment. This implies that a higher average wage rate W leads to higher employment. This is, of course, contrary to conventional economic wisdom. It is, though, easy to prove that conventional wisdom is a mere Fallacy of Composition (2015).

The complete Employment Law is a bit longer and contains, in addition, profit distribution, public deficit spending, and the trade balance with the rest of the world.

(i) and (ii) translate into Keynesian anti-austerity policy, which has its own drawbacks.#1 Let us focus here alone on the factor cost ratio ρF as defined in (iii). This variable embodies the price mechanism, which, however, does not work as the representative economist hallucinates. As a matter of fact, overall employment INCREASES if the average wage rate W increases relative to the average price P and productivity R.

The correct employment theory states that the average wage rate must rise on a global scale in order to prevent unemployment and deflation. For the relationship between real wage, productivity, profit, and real shares, see (2015, Sec. 10)

With the provable false standard employment theory, economists bear the intellectual responsibility for the social devastation of unemployment. The political discussion about austerity is somewhat beside the point. It is the market mechanism that is defective at the core, and economists have not realized this in more than 200 years.

The only remaining talking point between politicians and economists is to bring an action for damages.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


References
Kakarot-Handtke, E. (2015). Major Defects of the Market Economy. SSRN Working Paper Series, 2624350: 1–40. URL
Stigum, B. P. (1991). Toward a Formal Science of Economics: The Axiomatic Method in Economics and Econometrics. Cambridge: MIT Press.
Tobin, J. (1997). An Overview of the General Theory. In G. C. Harcourt and P. A. Riach (Eds.), The ’Second Edition’ of The General Theory, volume 2, 3–27. Oxon: Routledge.

#1 Deficit spending, helicopter money, and profit and Keynesianism as ultimate profit machine

Related  'Methodological retards' and 'How the intelligent non-economist can refute every economist hands down' and 'One entirely sufficient reason for the shutdown of economics' and 'The future of economics: why you will probably not be admitted to it, and why this is a good thing' and 'Austerity and the total disconnect between economic policy and science' and 'Austerity and the idiocy of political economists' and 'Economics as poultry entrails reading'

March 28, 2017

Austerity and the idiocy of political economists

Comment on Simon Wren-Lewis on ‘On criticising the existence of mainstream economics’

Blog-Reference

Unlearning Economics argues: “The case against austerity does not depend on whether it is ‘good economics’, but on its human impact. Nor does the case for combating climate change depend on the present discounted value of future costs to GDP. Reclaiming political debate from the grip of economics will make the human side of politics more central, and so can only serve a progressive purpose.”

In other words, UE says, let us put the whole squabble whether economic theory is true or false aside, the real issue is whether a policy measure serves the one-percenters or the ninety-nine-percenters. Economics is progressive if it serves the ninety-nine-percenters and regressive if it serves the one-percenters.

This amounts to abandoning science altogether. The criterion of science is true/false with truth defined as material and formal consistency: “In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum)

The problem of economics is that neither Orthodoxy nor Heterodoxy has the true theory. Therefore, the economic policy proposals of BOTH orthodox AND heterodox economists lack sound scientific foundations.

The discussion about austerity delivers proof of the utter scientific incompetence of political economists. Neither Orthodoxy nor Heterodoxy got the fundamental concept of economics, i.e. profit, right.#1 To make the argument short, the axiomatically correct macroeconomic Profit Law is given here as Qm≡Yd+(I−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M) which reduces to Qm≡G−T for Yd, I, Sm, X, M = 0. The reduced Profit Law says that the monetary profit of the business sector Qm is equal to the deficit G−T of the public sector. In other words, Public Deficit = Private Profit.

So, from the standpoint of simple self-interest, the one-percenters and their useful academic spokespersons should argue FOR deficit spending/public debt, and the ninety-nine-percenters and their academic spokespersons should argue AGAINST it. Curiously, just the opposite happens.

The fact of the matter is that the measured increase in the relation between profit and wage income in the past decades has no other cause than the increase of public and private deficit spending. It has NOTHING AT ALL to do with greed, or productivity, or the smartness of business people. These factors only influence the distribution of overall profit Qm between the firms.

Because neither Orthodoxy nor Heterodoxy has the true profit theory#2 their economic policy proposals are counter-productive or regressive for the social groups/classes they speak for. The fact of the matter is that nobody does currently more for the one-percenters than deficit pushing heterodox economists who claim to “serve a progressive purpose”.

Economic disasters happen for 200+ years because political economists ― both orthodox and heterodox soapbox blatherers ― lack the true theory.#3

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 For details, references, and proofs see Meta-References, in particular, cross-references Profit.
#2 “A satisfactory theory of profits is still elusive.” (Palgrave Dictionary, Desai, 2008)
#3 Mass unemployment: The joint failure of orthodox and heterodox economics

Related 'Keynes, Lerner, MMT, Trump and exploding profit' and 'Austerity and the political games Progressives play' and 'MMT Progressives: stupid or corrupt or both?' and 'Economics: The greatest scientific fraud in modern times' and 'Econogenics in action'. For details of the big picture see cross-references Political Economics/Stupidity/Corruption.

Immediately preceding The non-existence of economics.

***

Twitter, Austerity talk is one thing, actual deficit-spending quite another

Source: Twitter Corbynator

June 8, 2017

Soapbox economics

Comment on Lars Syll on ‘Labour’s manifesto — not continued austerity — is what the UK needs’

Blog-Reference

In the political sphere, we have freedom of speech, so everybody can climb on a soapbox and make an economic policy proposal: “A sure sign of a crisis is the prevalence of cranks. It is characteristic of a crisis in theory that cranks get a hearing from the public which orthodoxy is failing to satisfy. In the thirties, we had Major Douglas, and social credit ― it can all be done with a fountain pen ― and Warren and Pearson who convinced President Roosevelt that raising the dollar price of gold would raise the price of everything else and bring the slump to an end. The cranks are to be preferred to the orthodox because they see that there is a problem. Nowadays we have plenty of cranks taking up the problems that the economists overlook.” (Joan Robinson)

Everybody can climb on a soapbox and make an economic policy proposal EXCEPT an economist because: “In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum)

The problem is that economists do NOT have the true theory. The four main approaches ― Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism ― are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, materially/formally inconsistent, and ALL got profit wrong.

Economics claims to be a science but is NOT. Economists claim to know how the economy works but do NOT. From this follows that economic policy guidance with regard to monetary, fiscal and employment policy has NO sound scientific foundation. This applies to orthodox and heterodox economics and this applies to the whole issue of austerity.#1

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 For details of the big picture see
► Austerity and the idiocy of political economists
► Austerity and the utter scientific ignorance of economists
► Austerity and the total disconnect between economic policy and science
► The general theory of scientific incompetence
► Economic policy guidance out of the scientific kindergarten
► Economics as poultry entrails reading
► Post Keynesianism, too, is proto-scientific rubbish

June 9, 2017

MMT: No sound basis

Comment on Terry Sullivan on ‘Austerity Is A Sham: The Road to Resilience’

Blog-Reference

Terry Sullivan writes: “Recently, a friend of mine sent me a video explaining the doctrine of Modern Monetary Theory. In the most recent The Nation magazine (May 22, 2017), there is a feature article on it. Economists such as James Galbraith, Dean Baker, and Paul Krugman have quietly admitted that the theory has a sound basis.”

Everybody can climb on a soapbox and make a save-the-world economic policy proposal EXCEPT an economist because: “In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum)

The problem is that economists do NOT have the true theory. The four main approaches ― Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism ― are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, materially/formally inconsistent, and ALL got profit wrong. This includes MMT.#1

Economics claims to be a science but is NOT. Economists claim to know how the economy works but do NOT. From this follows that economic policy guidance with regard to monetary, fiscal and employment policy has NO sound scientific foundation. This applies to orthodox and heterodox economics and this applies to the whole issue of austerity.#2

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Where MMT got macro wrong
#2 For the details of the big picture see
Austerity and the idiocy of political economists
Austerity and the utter scientific ignorance of economists
Austerity and the total disconnect between economic policy and science

August 26, 2017

Austerity: Who takes the little man for a ride?

Comment on Lars Syll on ‘The balanced budget mythology’

Blog-Reference

The issue of austerity or public deficit-spending/public-debt is framed for the general public a.k.a. the little man as a moral tale. Why? Political economics always moralizes because (i) it has no sound scientific foundation, and (ii), the little man only understands soap operas and morality plays.

The current stagings go as follows:
• Bad cop/foe/Orthodoxy: Debt is bad, you have sinned, you have yourself and your government allowed to spend beyond your means, you jeopardize the future of your children, your attitude is irresponsible, there is no such thing as a free lunch, now you have to pay, we all have to tighten our belts.
• Good cop/friend/Heterodoxy: Public debt is entirely different from private debt, it pays for itself, creates income, increases employment, builds public infrastructure, produces private financial wealth and triple-A financial assets for savers, ultimately we owe the public debt to ourselves, public deficit spending and inflation-free money creation for a growing economy are the same things.

The little man is lost between these arguments because, taken one by one, each one makes good sense but on the whole, they contradict each other. Orthodoxy and Heterodoxy are irreconcilable. Obviously, the economic experts themselves cannot agree on what is true or false.

It is important for the little man to realize that there is NO such thing as an economic expert. Economics is a failed science and BOTH orthodox and heterodox economists have no idea how the profit- and price mechanism works. Contrary to their claim, economists are NOT scientists but merely political agenda pushers/useful idiots.

The absurdity of economics consists of the fact that economists themselves do not know which agenda they ultimately promote because the theories they cling to are all false. Neither Orthodoxy nor Heterodoxy has a true theory. Therefore, the economic policy guidance of BOTH orthodox and heterodox economists lack sound scientific foundations, and BOTH are a hazard to their fellow citizens.

The discussion about austerity delivers proof of the utter scientific incompetence of political economists. Neither Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, nor Austrianism got the fundamental concept of economics, i.e. profit, right. To make the argument short, the axiomatically correct Profit Law for the economy as a whole is given as Qm≡Yd+(I−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M) which reduces to Qm≡G−T for Yd, I, Sm, X, M = 0. The simplified macroeconomic profit equation says that the monetary profit of the business sector Qm is equal to the deficit G−T of the public sector. It holds, Public Deficit = Private Profit.

So, from the standpoint of simple self-interest, the one-percenters and their useful academic spokespersons should argue FOR deficit spending * and the ninety-nine-percenters and their academic spokespersons should argue AGAINST it. Curiously, just the opposite happens since Adam Smith railed at public debt.

The fact is that the measured increase in the relation between profit and wage income in the past decades has no other cause than the increase in public and private deficit spending.#1

Because neither Orthodoxy nor Heterodoxy has the true profit theory their economic policy proposals are counter-productive or regressive for the social groups/classes they speak for. The fact is that nobody has done more for the one-percenters than deficit-spending heterodox economists who claim to ‘serve a progressive purpose’.#2

With regard to public deficit-spending/public-debt, it is Heterodoxy that has taken the little man for a ride.#3

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Profit and the decline of labor’s nominal share
#2 Intellectual deficit spending' and 'Austerity and the idiocy of political economists' and 'MMT: The joy of public deficit spending' and 'MMT and the magical profit disappearance' and 'Who or what exactly did Keynes save?' and 'Keynesianism as ultimate profit machine' and 'Profit and the collective failure of economists'.
#3 Mass unemployment: The joint failure of orthodox and heterodox economics

Related 'The unintended consequences of deficit spending' and 'Austerity and the idiocy of political economists' and 'The general theory of scientific incompetence' and 'MMT, money creation, stealth taxation, and redistribution' and 'Deficit-spending/money-creation is ALWAYS a bad deal for WeThePeople'.

***
* Twitter Feb 11

Source: Twitter