This blog connects to the AXEC Project which applies a superior method of economic analysis. The following comments have been posted on selected blogs as catalysts for the ongoing Paradigm Shift. The comments are brought together here for information. The full debates are directly accessible via the Blog-References. Scrap the lot and start again―that is what a Paradigm Shift is all about. Time to make economics a science.
December 12, 2021
How Adam Smith messed up economics
June 20, 2017
The long genealogical tree of economic storytelling
Blog-Reference
Dániel Oláh reports: “The biggest merit of Khaldun lies in his revolutionary methodological thinking. … Based on this it’s easy to understand that Ibn Khaldun presented very similar ideas as Adam Smith, but hundreds of years before the Western philosopher. But Khaldun said even more about the economy. He analyzed markets which arise based on the division of labor and examined market forces in a simple didactic way which is very similar to the attitude of Alfred Marshall. The invention of supply and demand analysis wasn’t invented in the 19th century …”
The fault of this argument lies in the fact that economics is, to begin with, NOT a social science.#1 Worse, to define economics as social science has been the foundational blunder 200+ years ago. Worst, not to realize this to this day is the very proof of utter scientific incompetence of the representative economist.
Adam Smith was NOT a scientist but a storyteller: “… he had no such ambitions; in fact, he disliked whatever went beyond plain common sense. He never moved above the heads of even the dullest readers. He led them on gently, encouraging them by trivialities and homely observations, making them feel comfortable all along.” (Schumpeter)
Schumpeter had to argue against the plain fact that the supply and demand story is not much better than the commonsensical story of how the sun travels from east to west over the firmament: “The primitive apparatus of the theory of supply and demand is scientific. But the scientific achievement is so modest, and common sense and scientific knowledge are logically such close neighbors in this case, that any assertion about the precise point at which the one turned into the other must of necessity remain arbitrary.”
Neither Smith nor Marshall ever rose above the level of proto-scientific storytelling.#2 The same holds true for Ibn Khaldun. To put this in perspective is not to deny that Ibn Khaldun marked progress in comparison to his precursors who limited themselves “to transmit knowledge without modifying, editing or adding any remarks to the tradition.”
Ibn Khaldun deserves credit as a forerunner of Adam Smith. But Smith was more a political blatherer than a scientist. So Ibn Khaldun is not the forerunner of economics as a science. The current state of economics is this: the major approaches ― Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism ― are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, materially/formally inconsistent, and all got profit wrong. With the pluralism of provably false theories economics sits squarely at the proto-scientific level.#3
It is, first of all, of utmost importance to distinguish between political and theoretical economics. The main differences are: (i) The goal of political economics is to push an agenda, the goal of theoretical economics is to explain how the actual economy works. (ii) In political economics anything goes; in theoretical economics, the scientific standards of material and formal consistency are observed.
Theoretical economics has to be judged according to the criteria true/false and nothing else. The history of political economics since Adam Smith can be summarized as a perpetual violation of scientific standards. Theoretical economics had been hijacked from the very beginning by the agenda pushers of political economics. Smith and Ricardo fought for Liberalism, Marx and Keynes were agenda pushers, so were Hayek and Friedman, and so are Krugman and Keen.
Political economics has produced NOTHING of scientific value since Adam Smith. This is not the fault of Ibn Khaldun, of course, but of scientifically incompetent economists who have not realized to this day that economics is NOT a social science but a systems science.#4 What is required since Ibn Khaldun is to double down on revolutionary methodological thinking.
Egmont Kakarot-Handtke
#1 Economics is NOT a social science
#2 Marshall and the Cambridge school of plain economic gibberish
#3 Economics: 200+ years of scientific incompetence and fraud
#4 First Lecture in New Economic Thinking
March 21, 2017
New economic thinking = old political fake
Blog-Reference
“With Adam Smith, and hints before in Ricardo and others, economics took the path of treating the economy as a natural object that should not be interfered with by the state. This fit the Newtonian ethos of the age: science was great, science was mathematics; science was true, right and good.” (See intro)
This is as brain-dead a summary as can be. First of all, Newton’s philosophy was NOT mechanical at all, just the opposite: “According to one widely held viewpoint in the history of ideas, eighteenth-century thought was dominated by the concept of the ‘Newtonian world-machine.’ God had been assigned the role of master clockmaker who designed a universe so perfect that it could run indefinitely without any need for divine tinkering. Closer inspection of Newton’s own writings shows that he was actually quite firmly opposed to this concept which had been popularized by earlier writers such as Robert Boyle. Newton’s objections were both physical and moral: he pointed to the existence of irreversible processes tending to dissipate motion and gravitational perturbations that seemed to threaten the stability of the solar system, and he warned that restricting God to the creation and design of the world while denying His continual supervision was a step on the road to atheism.” (Brush, 1976, p. 605)
The problem of the philosophical/political/moral wafflers of Adam Smith’s time was that after Newton’s Principia they were no longer taken seriously but had to repackage their loose verbal reasoning as science: “Like most of his fellow moral philosophers, Hume thought it was worth a try to make all sciences as rigorous as Newtonian physics.” (Redman, 1997, p. 111)
Adam Smith, though, correctly recognized that the last thing the general public wants is science: “But he had no such ambitions; in fact, he disliked whatever went beyond plain common sense. He never moved above the heads of even the dullest readers. He led them on gently, encouraging them by trivialities and homely observations, making them feel comfortable all along. (Schumpeter, 1994, p. 185)
Adam Smith was a storyteller and soapbox economist, and the founder of what Feynman called cargo cult science, or what we today call fake science. The classical economists presented themselves as an advanced (= scientific) version of Alchemists and gold-makers: “That Political Economy is a science which teaches, or professes to teach, in what manner a nation may be made rich. This notion of what constitutes the science, to some degree countenanced by the title and arrangement which Adam Smith gave to his invaluable work. A systematic treatise on Political Economy, he chose to call an Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations; and the topics are introduced in an order suitable to that view of the purpose of his book.” (J. S. Mill, 1874, V.7)
The classical economists had many faults, but it was NONE of their faults that they had a mechanical worldview. Their worst fault was that they were NOT scientists but political agenda pushers. Instead of eternal bliss, as their pre-enlightenment predecessors did, they promised material wealth here and now.
The difference between the classics and the neoclassics is that the latter replaced the sociological concept of class with methodological individualism: “It is a touchstone of accepted economics that all explanations must run in terms of the actions and reactions of individuals. Our behavior in judging economic research, in peer review of papers and research, and in promotions, includes the criterion that in principle the behavior we explain and the policies we propose are explicable in terms of individuals, not of other social categories.” (Arrow, 1994, p. 1)
Economics was NEVER mechanical but always psychological/sociological/political: “The foundation of political economy and, in general, of every social science, is evidently psychology. A day will come when we shall be able to deduce the laws of social science from the principles of psychology …” (Pareto, 2014, p. 20)
Economists NEVER understood what science is all about. The most annoying trait of the run-of-the-mill economist is that he dabbles in sociology, psychology, political science, social philosophy, history, theology, ethics, pedagogy, anthropology, biology, Darwinism/evolution theory, etc., but has NO idea what profit is. The visible result of manifest scientific incompetence over 200+ years is that the four main approaches ― Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism ― are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, materially/formally inconsistent, and ALL got the pivotal concept of the subject matter, i.e., profit, wrong.
Economists do NOT understand to this day how the price and profit mechanism works. They are like engineers who constantly assert that their aircraft is the best and all passengers realize maximal wellness but who have NO idea about the laws of aerodynamics and thermodynamics, i.e., the OBJECTIVE conditions of flight.
What economists as agenda pushers and incompetent scientists never realized is that economics is NOT a social science but a systems science, and that there is no such thing as a behavioral/social/historical law, but that there are systemic laws and that it is their very task to figure these out.
Economists have not figured out how the price and profit mechanism works because they were too occupied with blathering and agenda-pushing. No economic policy advice EVER had valid scientific foundations.
Economics needs a Paradigm Shift. There can be no doubt about this. But to sell Douglass Carmichael’s repackaging of old political economics as new thinking is a bad joke.
Egmont Kakarot-Handtke
References
Arrow, K. J. (1994). Methodological Individualism and Social Knowledge. American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 84(2): 1–9. URL
Brush, S. G. (1976). Irreversibility and Indeterminism: Fourier to Heisenberg. Journal of the History of Ideas, 37(4): 603–630. URL
Mill, J. S. (1874). Essays on Some Unsettled Questions of Political Economy. On the Definition of Political Economy; and on the Method of Investigation Proper To It. Library of Economics and Liberty. URL
Pareto, V. (2014). Manual of Political Economy. Oxford: Oxford University Press. URL
Redman, D. A. (1997). The Rise of Political Economy as Science. Methodology and the Classical Economists. Cambridge, MA, London: MIT Press.
Schumpeter, J. A. (1994). History of Economic Analysis. New York: Oxford University Press.
October 16, 2026
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Science (CCCXCVII)
“Little else is requisite to carry a state to the highest degree of opulence from the lowest barbarism, but peace, easy taxes, and a tolerable administration of justice; all the rest being brought about by the natural course of things.” (Adam Smith, quoted by Econlib/Art Carden) Adam Smith was not an original thinker, not a scientist, not an economist; he was a populist moralizer (⇓ AXEC179a). Economics has been failed/fake science since the Founding Fathers. It has defined itself as a social science and accordingly has been based on subjective/behavioral assumptions/axioms. This is the methodological ur-mistake. Economics is about how the economy works. It is a genuine systems science. Adam Smith made it a 'moral science'. The major approaches (Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, and their derivatives) are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, and materially/formally inconsistent. They all got profit wrong. When the subject's foundational concepts are inconsistent, the entire analytical superstructure is scientifically worthless. The free-market economy runs on profit. Macroeconomic profit is given by the axiomatically correct Profit Law Qm≔(I−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M)+Yd. The Law implies PublicDeficit-Is-PrivateProfit Qm≔(G−T)>0, i.e., macroeconomic profit is (co-)produced by deficit-spending/money-creation, i.e., the growth of public debt. In free-market economies, public debt has increased with minor interruptions for over 200 years. Therefore, Qm≔(G−T)>0 is a critical element of the economy's survival. The minimum requirement of a free-market economy is that macroeconomic profit is greater than zero, i.e., Qm≥0. If Qm<0, recession/depression/breakdown results. This is the main economic principle; all other explanations of how the economy works are secondary. Utility/profit maximization or free people on free markets or competition or hard work or innovation or the entrepreneur do not keep the economy above the zero-profit cutoff. Scientifically, it's rather simple: no macroeconomic profit, no economy. But economists are only look-alike scientists. They have never had enough brains to understand the objective, systemic facts, i.e., the existential preconditions. Free-market economies are continuously saved from breakdown by the deficit-spending/money-creating duo of Treasury/Central Bank, i.e., the State. This means that Adam Smith's premise that the unfettered free-market economy is a self-adjusting, self-stabilizing, and self-optimizing system is axiomatically false. Adam Smith lost the battle of ideas. Continuing to promote him is not science, but disinfotainment at best.
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) October 16, 2026
November 27, 2018
Economics: A pointless left-right wrestling show
Blog-Reference
Economics has claimed to be a science since Adam Smith/Karl Marx, but it is NOT. Actually, it is political agenda-pushing that abuses the prestige of science. #1 However, in the political dogfight, the appeal to science can be counter-productive because a political argument must necessarily appeal to emotions and thus cut scientific thinking short.
So, the easiest method of ‘refutation’ is to take some bad examples from history and simply associate them with the other side. This is how Tim Worstall ‘refutes’ MMT: “And then we’ve this cautionary little tale about how the end game plays out. There’re more than just the one of those cautionary tales of course, Zimbabwe and Venezuela come to mind. Or perhaps Argentina.” #2
This annoys Tom Hickey: “This passes for serious criticism now? In addition, Tim Worstall doesn’t seem to realize that MMT is not a policy proposal but rather based on how the existing monetary system operates currently.”
In other words, MMT is a pure experience-based practice in the here and now. Here is the story of how Warren Mosler created what later became known as MMT: “The origin of MMT is ‘Soft Currency Economics’… which I wrote after spending an hour in the steam room with Don Rumsfeld at the Racquet Club in Chicago,… I had never read or even heard of Lerner, Knapp, Inness, Chartalism, and only knew Keynes by reading his quotes published by others. I ‘created’ what became known as ‘MMT’ entirely independently of prior economic thought. It came from my direct experience in actual monetary operations, much of which is also described in the book.” #3
The general public likes this steam-room approach and dislikes theory. Accordingly, the MMT propagandist Richard Murphy tries to make some bonus points by introducing himself as a practical realist who suffers from a false image: “Modern Monetary Theory does suffer from being called a theory.” #4
This annoys Bill Mitchell: “Specifically, there is a current out there that considers MMT to be incorrectly labeled because according to the argument, there is no theory involved. It’s hard to imagine why anyone would think that but the fact that they do tells me that I should write this blog post. As I noted yesterday, our Macroeconomics textbook … is full of theory. It has a lot of description, taxonomy, accounting, history, and philosophy, but also a lot of theory that ties some of those other components together in a meaningful way. The T in MMT is not a misnomer.” #5
Clearly, MMTers want to have it both ways. The salespeople say that MMT is operationally true and is nothing but a common-sense policy; the academics insist that MMT is a superior scientific approach. And they prove this by relentlessly exposing the idiotism and failure of mainstream economics.
Clearly, MMT has to be judged according to well-established scientific criteria. Worstall’s attempt to ‘refute’ MMT by referring to recent historical examples of inflation is silly polemics. Unfortunately, more cannot be expected from the Senior Fellow of the Adam Smith Institute.
MMT has to be refuted scientifically by proving that it is materially or formally inconsistent. This has already happened. #6, #7
Retarded folks like Tim Worstall always argue politically and never can get out of their tiny left-right box. In his utter ignorance, Tim Worstall swallows the MMTers’ self-description as Progressives hook, line, and sinker: “As we know Modern Monetary Theory is the latest great new plan from the left.”
Tim Worstall does not realize that MMT is, in fact, “the latest great new plan” from Wall Street. #8 If he had done his scientific homework, he would know how the monetary economy works and that the macroeconomic Profit Law implies Public Deficit = Private Profit. In other words, MMT is not left/progressive at all. MMT policy does not benefit WeThePeople but the Oligarchy. That is, the noisy left-right wrestling show distracts from the plain fact that MMT and the Adam Smith Institute push the same agenda.
Egmont Kakarot-Handtke
#1 The real problem with the economics Nobel
#2 Continental Telegraph The End Game Of Modern Monetary Theory
#3 The Johnsville News, Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) in a Nutshell
#4 Richard Murphy: the MMT fraudster dressed up as realist
#5 Understanding what the T in MMT involves
#6 The final implosion of MMT
#7 MMT = Modern Monetary Trash
#8 How MMT enlightens Washington
Related 'MMT = Trumponomics' and 'MMT: for the record' and 'How MMT makes everybody happy' and 'MMT in a nutshell' and 'Fake religion, fake science, fake news, and false complaints' and 'Economics debate ― just another variant of hardcore wrestling' and 'Economists: Time to say goodbye'. For the full-spectrum refutation of MMT, see cross-references MMT.



