Showing posts with label zNC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label zNC. Show all posts

September 22, 2018

Why the MMT benefactors of humanity never talk about profit

Comment on John Weeks on ‘Why the public debt should be treated as an asset’

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The most curious thing about economics is that most models ― Walrasian, Keynesian, Marxian, Austrian, it does not matter ― do NOT contain macroeconomic profit in explicit form. And when it appears occasionally, it is misspecified. #1 This is why economics is a failed/fake science. MMT is no exception.

In John Weeks’ post about the mistreatment of public debt as a perennial problem instead of a long-term benefit, the word profit does not appear once. The bottom line of his argument is that the public debt is not as massive as everybody thinks and, on closer inspection, not a burden but, on the contrary, has a lot of advantages for WeThePeople. In detail, he argues:
  • People are told that public debt 1) must be repaid, 2) threatens the country with bankruptcy, and 3) is a burden on future generations. All these arguments are wrong.
  • The British government can never default on its debt.
  • A good portion of the national debt is held by the public sector, i.e. Bank of England; this is what the public sector owes itself.
  • The interest paid on debt held by pension funds is income to retired households.
  • At the end of 2016, private corporate and foreign gilt holders owned 41% of the UK’s national debt. Only the £524 billion of gilts held by foreign creditors could be considered a “burden” in that the associated interest payments are from UK taxpayers to non-UK creditors.
  • A fair and progressive taxation system could ensure that interest payments to domestic bondholders don’t have negative redistribution effects.
  • Sound management of the national debt means more public borrowing for investment and current expenditure, which is justified by the modest size of the effective debt.
The whole argument boils down to a plea for more deficit spending/money creation. This is what MMT policy guidance is all about.

Fact is
  • MMT is a macroeconomic theory that is refuted on all counts. #2
  • John Weeks does not mention once the profit effect of deficit-spending/money-creation. #3
  • From the axiomatically correct Profit Law follows the sectoral balances equation (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)−(Q−Yd)=0, which boils down to Public Deficit = Private Profit. #4
  • MMT economic policy boils down to the permanent growth of public debt, which is nothing else than the permanent self-alimentation of the oligarchy. #5
  • All the social benefits MMTers promise are paid in real terms by WeThePeople themselves via stealth taxation. #6
  • Public debt is deferred taxation of WeThePeople, which is simply pushed beyond the time horizon. Public debt is NOT an asset but a time bomb.
MMT claims to push the agenda of WeThePeople, but in fact, pushes the agenda of the Oligarchy. MMT is failed/fake science, and the proponents of MMT are NOT benefactors of humankind but quite ordinary political swindlers. #7

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

Related 'Advancing humanity. Really?'

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REPLY to Andrew Anderson on Sep 23

You say: “Jammers comment at Naked Capitalism has so far gone unrefuted and that’s a shame since he apparently has a good mind and some inkling of the issues involved. So, since I’m banned at NC, I’ll try to correct him here.”

Then you go on to elaborate on the difference between deficit-spending for investment goods and consumption goods/services.

This distracts from the main point, i.e., the profit effect of public deficit spending. When the axiomatically correct Profit Law, which is given by Qm≡Yd+(I−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M) for the simple case, is extended for deficit spending on public investment Qm≡Yd+(Ib+Ig−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M) with Ib indicating business investment expenditures and Ig indicating government investment expenditures and I=Ib+Ig then it becomes obvious that for the profit effect it makes no difference whether the government spending is on investment goods or consumption goods/services.

While in the first case, public debt=liability is ‘backed’ by a real asset, in the second case, the public debt is ‘backed’ by nothing. In any case, it would be false to follow John Weeks’ suggestion and to treat public debt as an asset. This is a verbal shell game.

The economic fact of the matter is (i) that public debt is a liability, (ii) that this liability may be ‘backed’ by real assets or not, and (iii) that this does not matter for the profit effect of deficit spending. It always holds Public Deficit = Private Profit, and MMT is fake science and corrupt politics.

October 20, 2017

Economists understand neither Capitalism nor Socialism

Comment on Michael Hudson on ‘Socialism, Land and Banking: 2017 Compared to 1917’

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Michael Hudson tells economic history from early Western Capitalism to Russian Socialism to modern China. This account suffers from the fact that he does not know what profit is. In his ignorance, he is not alone. The profit theory is false since Adam Smith. The major approaches ― Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism ― are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, materially/formally inconsistent, and all got the foundational economic concept of profit wrong.

Smith treated profit as the income of the factor capital. This was the original blunder. #1 It was followed by Ricardo’s theory of rent #2, Marx’s theory of profit #3, and Keynes’s messed-up macro. #4 As the Palgrave Dictionary summarizes: “A satisfactory theory of profits is still elusive.” (Desai, 2008)
 
Because Michael Hudson does not understand profit, he does not understand how the monetary economy works. The fact is that profit for the economy as a whole does not at all depend on who owns the means of production. In other words, the Profit Law holds always and everywhere: in capitalist America, in former communist Russia, and in the mixed economy of China. Michael Hudson’s historical account remains on the surface of political economics. Political economics has produced nothing of scientific value in the last 200+ years.

For the proof, macroeconomic profit is here determined for the most elementary case. The pure production-consumption economy is defined with this set of macroeconomic axioms: (A0) The objectively given and most elementary configuration of the economy consists of the household and the business sector, which in turn consists initially of one giant fully integrated firm. (A1) Yw=WL wage income Yw is equal to wage rate W times working hours. L, (A2) O=RL output O is equal to productivity R times working hours L, (A3) C=PX consumption expenditure C is equal to price P times quantity bought/sold X.

Under the conditions of market-clearing X=O and budget-balancing C=Yw the price is given by P=C/X or P=W/R (1), i.e., the market-clearing price is equal to unit wage costs. This is the most elementary form of the macroeconomic Law of Supply and Demand.#5

From (1) follows that the real wage is equal to productivity, i.e., W/P=R (2). The wage income receivers get the whole product.

Monetary profit for the economy as a whole is defined as Qm≡C−Yw, and monetary saving as Sm≡Yw−C. It always holds Qm≡−Sm, in other words, the business sector’s surplus = profit equals the household sector’s deficit = dissaving, and vice versa,  the business sector’s deficit = loss equals the household sector’s surplus = saving. This is the most elementary form of the macroeconomic Profit Law. Under the condition of budget balancing, the total monetary profit is zero. The Profit Law holds for every monetary economy, no matter how it characterizes itself politically.

Overall profit depends solely on deficit spending, that is, the change of private or public debt. It does NOT depend on labor time, or productivity, or monopoly power, or greedy landlords, or rent-seeking bankers. These factors are only relevant to the distribution of overall profit between the firms. Traditional profit theory has been nothing more than a Fallacy of Composition, that is, an illegitimate generalization of what can be observed on the microeconomic level. Economists are failed/fake scientists, and Michael Hudson is no exception.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 The Profit Theory is False Since Adam Smith
#2 When Ricardo Saw Profit, He Called It Rent: On the Vice of Parochial Realism
#3 Profit for Marxists
#4 How Keynes got macro wrong and Allais got it right
#5 For the graphical representation, see Graphic AXEC31