#Economics#FailedScience#FakeScience#Reset
— E.K-H (@AXECorg) August 2, 2021
“The problem is not just to say that something might be wrong, but to replace it by something — and that is not so easy.” (Feynman)
Stop beating the dead economics horsehttps://t.co/pyZJYlHRR4 pic.twitter.com/WJ0qWJt0QF
This blog connects to the AXEC Project which applies a superior method of economic analysis. The following comments have been posted on selected blogs as catalysts for the ongoing Paradigm Shift. The comments are brought together here for information. The full debates are directly accessible via the Blog-References. Scrap the lot and start again―that is what a Paradigm Shift is all about. Time to make economics a science.
Showing posts sorted by date for query title:"dead horse". Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query title:"dead horse". Sort by relevance Show all posts
August 2, 2021
Occasional Tweets: Dead horse beating ― the favorite pastime in the economics kindergarten
For more about dead horse beating see AXECquery.
For more about paradigm shift see AXECquery.
May 5, 2021
Occasional Tweets: Why do economists waste so much time/ressources with Dead-Horse-Beating?
Prof. Bofinger is one of the dead-horse beaters. Time to realize that #Walrasianism, #Keynesianism, #Marxianism, #Austrianism, #Pluralism are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, materially/formally inconsistent, and that ALL got #Profit wrong. ⇒https://t.co/pyZJYlHRR4
— E.K-H (@AXECorg) May 5, 2021
Towards the true economic theory
- From proto-scientific garbage to true macrofoundations
- True macrofoundations
- Get it econ suckers: behavioral microfoundations ⇒ false, systemic macrofoundations ⇒ true
- Right policy depends on true theory
- Mad but true: 200+ years after Adam Smith economists still have no idea what profit is
- From Keynes’ fatal blunder to the true economic model
- From MMT misunderstandings to the true Theory of Money
- From false microfoundations to true macrofoundations (II)
- False models and true incompetence
- From false microfoundations to true macrofoundations (I)
- Money: from silly stories to the true theory
- Make economics true
- True macrofoundations: the reset of economics
- From the pluralism of false models to the true economic theory
- From false micro to true macro: the new economic Paradigm
- True or false: income=wages+profits? False
- False and true economic laws
- The other half plus the hitherto missing true foundations of macroeconomics
- Don’t tell me that Krugman’s economics is false, tell me instead what is true
- Economic recommendations out of the swamp between true and false
- Toward the true economic axioms
- True/false is different from good/bad
- From true/false to hardcore wrestling and back
- Make no mistake: there can be only one true theory
- Wanted: The True Theory
August 27, 2020
Price theory — more than beating the dead horse again and again
Comment on Blair Fix on ‘Supply and demand deconstructed’
Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference
Blair Fix summarizes “… Jonathan Nitzan demolishes the neoclassical theory of prices. It’s a master lesson in how to deconstruct a theory.”
Mainstream economics, though, does not need another deconstruction. #1, #2, #3 Mainstreamers have admitted failure long ago. “There is another alternative: to formulate a completely new research program and conceptual approach. As we have seen, this is often spoken of, but there is still no indication of what it might mean.” (Ingrao et al., 1990)
Clearly, everybody knows by now for sure that supply-demand-equilibrium is proto-scientific garbage. Back in 1954, Schumpeter found it still necessary to diffuse doubts about the scientific status of the supply-demand-equilibrium approach “The primitive apparatus of the theory of supply and demand is scientific. But the scientific achievement is so modest, and common sense and scientific knowledge are logically such close neighbors in this case, that any assertion about the precise point at which the one turned into the other must of necessity remain arbitrary.”
So, the right thing to do is to bury and forget the “Totem of the Micro”: “If neoclassical theory is bunk, then what explains prices? Jonathan Nitzan, together with Shimshon Bichler, argues that prices are inseparable from power.” #4
With this, though, everything remains in the old economics-is-a-social-science paradigm. The behavioral assumption of price-taking is replaced by the assumption of price-setting. To remain in the psycho-sociological sphere is the lethal blunder of the power approach because economics is a systems science. #5
Here are the basics of the macrofoundations approach. The elementary production-consumption economy is defined with this set of macroeconomic axioms: (A0) The economy consists of the household and the business sector, which, in turn, consists initially of one giant fully integrated firm. (A1) Yw=WL wage income Yw is equal to wage rate W times working hours. L, (A2) O=RL output O is equal to productivity R times working hours L, (A3) C=PX consumption expenditure C is equal to price P times quantity bought/sold X.
Under the conditions of market-clearing X=O and budget-balancing C=Yw in each period, the price as the dependent variable is given by P=W/R (1a). The price is determined by the wage rate W, which takes the role of the nominal numéraire, and the productivity R. This is the most elementary case; i.e., when the economy gets more complex, the price equation becomes longer.*
The macroeconomic Law of Supply and Demand (1a) implies W/P=R (1b), i.e., the real wage is always equal to the productivity, no matter how the wage rate W is set or how long the individual or aggregate working time L is. Full employment is possible; the workers always get the whole product O. The workers' living standard depends ultimately on productivity.
The logical next steps are (i) to skip the conditions of market-clearing and budget-balancing and to allow for price-setting, (ii) to differentiate the business sector into multiple firms and markets, and to determine the price structure. #6
Egmont Kakarot-Handtke
#1 There is NO such thing as supply-demand-equilibrium
#2 How to Get Rid of Supply-Demand-Equilibrium
#3 The Law of Supply and Demand: Here It Is Finally
#4 This echoes Macht und ökonomisches Gesetz (Power and Economic Law), Schriften des Vereins für Socialpolitik, 1972.
#5 Your economics is refuted on all counts: here is the real thing
#6 See Ch. 3 Market interdependence in Sovereign Economics
Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference
Blair Fix summarizes “… Jonathan Nitzan demolishes the neoclassical theory of prices. It’s a master lesson in how to deconstruct a theory.”
Mainstream economics, though, does not need another deconstruction. #1, #2, #3 Mainstreamers have admitted failure long ago. “There is another alternative: to formulate a completely new research program and conceptual approach. As we have seen, this is often spoken of, but there is still no indication of what it might mean.” (Ingrao et al., 1990)
Clearly, everybody knows by now for sure that supply-demand-equilibrium is proto-scientific garbage. Back in 1954, Schumpeter found it still necessary to diffuse doubts about the scientific status of the supply-demand-equilibrium approach “The primitive apparatus of the theory of supply and demand is scientific. But the scientific achievement is so modest, and common sense and scientific knowledge are logically such close neighbors in this case, that any assertion about the precise point at which the one turned into the other must of necessity remain arbitrary.”
So, the right thing to do is to bury and forget the “Totem of the Micro”: “If neoclassical theory is bunk, then what explains prices? Jonathan Nitzan, together with Shimshon Bichler, argues that prices are inseparable from power.” #4
With this, though, everything remains in the old economics-is-a-social-science paradigm. The behavioral assumption of price-taking is replaced by the assumption of price-setting. To remain in the psycho-sociological sphere is the lethal blunder of the power approach because economics is a systems science. #5
Here are the basics of the macrofoundations approach. The elementary production-consumption economy is defined with this set of macroeconomic axioms: (A0) The economy consists of the household and the business sector, which, in turn, consists initially of one giant fully integrated firm. (A1) Yw=WL wage income Yw is equal to wage rate W times working hours. L, (A2) O=RL output O is equal to productivity R times working hours L, (A3) C=PX consumption expenditure C is equal to price P times quantity bought/sold X.
Under the conditions of market-clearing X=O and budget-balancing C=Yw in each period, the price as the dependent variable is given by P=W/R (1a). The price is determined by the wage rate W, which takes the role of the nominal numéraire, and the productivity R. This is the most elementary case; i.e., when the economy gets more complex, the price equation becomes longer.*
The macroeconomic Law of Supply and Demand (1a) implies W/P=R (1b), i.e., the real wage is always equal to the productivity, no matter how the wage rate W is set or how long the individual or aggregate working time L is. Full employment is possible; the workers always get the whole product O. The workers' living standard depends ultimately on productivity.
The logical next steps are (i) to skip the conditions of market-clearing and budget-balancing and to allow for price-setting, (ii) to differentiate the business sector into multiple firms and markets, and to determine the price structure. #6
Egmont Kakarot-Handtke
#1 There is NO such thing as supply-demand-equilibrium
#2 How to Get Rid of Supply-Demand-Equilibrium
#3 The Law of Supply and Demand: Here It Is Finally
#4 This echoes Macht und ökonomisches Gesetz (Power and Economic Law), Schriften des Vereins für Socialpolitik, 1972.
#5 Your economics is refuted on all counts: here is the real thing
#6 See Ch. 3 Market interdependence in Sovereign Economics
Related 'Economists never understood how the price mechanism works' and '10 steps to leave cargo cult economics behind for good' and 'Primary and Secondary Markets' and 'Hayek and other informationally retarded proto-economists' and 'How to overcome the manifest silliness of Econ 101 and save the economy' and 'Why you should NEVER use supply-demand-equilibrium' and 'Traditional Heterodoxy’s paradigmatic impotence' and 'Essentials of Constructive Heterodoxy: The Market' and 'Understanding Profit and the Markets: The Canonical Model' and 'Major Defects of the Market Economy' and 'How to finally hammer down the nails in the coffin of Monty Python economics' and 'Get it econ suckers: behavioral microfoundations ⇒ false, systemic macrofoundations ⇒ true' and 'Econ 101: Economists flunk the intelligence test at the first hurdle' and 'The monstrous utility-supply-demand-equilibrium failure' and 'To this day, economists have produced NOT ONE textbook that satisfies scientific standards' and 'Ch. 9, Price mechanism vs quantity mechanism in Sovereign Economics, BoD'.
“Totem of the Micro” has been coined by Axel Leijonhufvud.
* E.g. AXEC64
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July 23, 2019
MMT, voodoo, and dead horse beating
Comment on Bill Mitchell on ‘Voodoo economic revisionism abounds ― and it is not MMT doing the voodoo’
Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference
Science is about true/false and NOTHING else. Economics is supposed to be a science, and by consequence, it is about how the monetary economy operates and NOT about what journalists, politicians, trolls, tweeters, Mr. Trump, Rush Limbaugh, or any other brain-dead agenda pusher in the Circus Maximus hallucinates.
From an economist, one expects to learn the true (= materially/formally consistent) theory and NOT that economic policy guidance in the incarnation of Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism is voodoo. Everybody knows this by now. No need for Bill Mitchell to repeat the same old folk-psychological crap over and over again.
• “Both articles … are rehearsing the growing angst that the deficit terrorists who were dominant in the 1990s up until recent years are now feeling as their anti-government, anti-fiscal policy message ― their continued prophesies of doom ― but most of all, their relevance ― is evaporating before their very eyes ― exposed by too many predictions of doom and disaster which have never been realised.”
• “The angst these conservatives are now going through is mirrored by the obvious fact that mainstream macroeconomics is growing in irrelevance itself. Which is why many of the ‘big’ names are attacking MMT so relentlessly.”
• “The MMT economists are delivering the alternative paradigm in macroeconomics. No other challenge to the mainstream has succeeded, and the heterodox tradition just become lost in peripheral issues. MMT is front and central macroeconomics, and the mainstream cannot deal with it.”
• “And when a character like Trump comes along who doesn’t play by the script, the world of these ‘free market’ liars is blown apart.”
• “And Trump is demonstrating by his fiscal actions that the main weapon the Republicans used to kill off any progressive policy dreams is now defunct. #1 No one believes the deficit horror stories any more.”
• “Nobody is a fiscal conservative anymore … All this talk about concern for the deficit and the budget has been bogus for as long as it’s been around.” (Limbaugh) #2
• “How many years have people tried to scare everybody about the deficit? The years, how many decades of politicians tried to scare us about the deficit, the national debt, and any number of things? And yet, here we’re still here, and the great jaws of the deficit have not bitten off our heads and chewed them up and spit them out.” (Limbaugh)
In sum: “Cover blown.” and “… all the deficit terrorists … are now running around like headless chooks because their lies have lost traction.”
As far as the failure of mainstream economics is concerned, this is accurate, of course, but from this he-said-she-said-I-said gossip does NOT follow that MMTers “… are delivering the alternative paradigm in macroeconomics.” The fact is that MMT macroeconomics is refuted on all counts. #3
MMT is the academic cover for a straightforward political agenda: to push deficit-spending/money-creation. Bill Mitchell’s message is simple: government deficits and growing public debt are good, there are no risks to speak of, and the residual risks can be easily handled, and everybody who says otherwise is a liar and deficit-terrorist.
There is not the smallest snippet of science in this talk. Obviously, Bill Mitchell has moved from serious scientific research to Orwell’s propaganda ministry.
MMT is provably false, i.e., materially/logically inconsistent, and therefore, MMT policy guidance lacks sound scientific foundations. MMTers deceive the general public because they never address the toxic distributional effect of their policy.
The policy of deficit-spending/money-creation benefits the Oligarchy because it increases macroeconomic profit according to the Profit Law, which entails Public Deficit = Private Profit. MMT is a free lunch program for the Oligarchy. Financial wealth and public debt grow in lockstep, and the fabulous financial wealth in the USA is roughly equal to humongous public debt ($22 trillion and counting). The Profit Law explains how billionaires are able to accumulate that much money and why they can buy all the bonds the Treasury issues and cash in the ultra-safe interest that is reliably taxed from WeThePeople as long as the debt is rolled over, which can be very long indeed. MMT policy is a Ponzi scheme that works as long as public debt grows. But infinite growth is impossible on a finite planet. This also holds for public debt. The fact that things have gone fine so far proves NOTHING about the future. And it does NOT prove the scientific validity of MMT.
While it is true that mainstream economic policy is voodoo, the same holds for MMT policy.
Egmont Kakarot-Handtke
#1 Keynes, Lerner, MMT, Trump, etc. and exploding profit
#2 Links on Austerity
#3 For the full-spectrum refutation of MMT, see cross-references MMT
Related 'Economics debate ― just another variant of hardcore wrestling' and 'Economists: scientists or political clowns?' and 'Economics: A pointless left-right wrestling show' and 'Debunking idiots does not prove that MMT is valid' and 'Econogenics in action'. For details of the big picture, see cross-references Failed/Fake Scientists.
Immediately preceding Bill Mitchell ― Wall Street’s hitman keeps an eye on MMT defeatists.
Fiat money, or evil fiat funny money as you call it, is not the basic problem of the monetary economy, but how it is injected into the system. See The right and the wrong way to bring money into the economy.
Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference
Science is about true/false and NOTHING else. Economics is supposed to be a science, and by consequence, it is about how the monetary economy operates and NOT about what journalists, politicians, trolls, tweeters, Mr. Trump, Rush Limbaugh, or any other brain-dead agenda pusher in the Circus Maximus hallucinates.
From an economist, one expects to learn the true (= materially/formally consistent) theory and NOT that economic policy guidance in the incarnation of Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism is voodoo. Everybody knows this by now. No need for Bill Mitchell to repeat the same old folk-psychological crap over and over again.
• “Both articles … are rehearsing the growing angst that the deficit terrorists who were dominant in the 1990s up until recent years are now feeling as their anti-government, anti-fiscal policy message ― their continued prophesies of doom ― but most of all, their relevance ― is evaporating before their very eyes ― exposed by too many predictions of doom and disaster which have never been realised.”
• “The angst these conservatives are now going through is mirrored by the obvious fact that mainstream macroeconomics is growing in irrelevance itself. Which is why many of the ‘big’ names are attacking MMT so relentlessly.”
• “The MMT economists are delivering the alternative paradigm in macroeconomics. No other challenge to the mainstream has succeeded, and the heterodox tradition just become lost in peripheral issues. MMT is front and central macroeconomics, and the mainstream cannot deal with it.”
• “And when a character like Trump comes along who doesn’t play by the script, the world of these ‘free market’ liars is blown apart.”
• “And Trump is demonstrating by his fiscal actions that the main weapon the Republicans used to kill off any progressive policy dreams is now defunct. #1 No one believes the deficit horror stories any more.”
• “Nobody is a fiscal conservative anymore … All this talk about concern for the deficit and the budget has been bogus for as long as it’s been around.” (Limbaugh) #2
• “How many years have people tried to scare everybody about the deficit? The years, how many decades of politicians tried to scare us about the deficit, the national debt, and any number of things? And yet, here we’re still here, and the great jaws of the deficit have not bitten off our heads and chewed them up and spit them out.” (Limbaugh)
In sum: “Cover blown.” and “… all the deficit terrorists … are now running around like headless chooks because their lies have lost traction.”
As far as the failure of mainstream economics is concerned, this is accurate, of course, but from this he-said-she-said-I-said gossip does NOT follow that MMTers “… are delivering the alternative paradigm in macroeconomics.” The fact is that MMT macroeconomics is refuted on all counts. #3
MMT is the academic cover for a straightforward political agenda: to push deficit-spending/money-creation. Bill Mitchell’s message is simple: government deficits and growing public debt are good, there are no risks to speak of, and the residual risks can be easily handled, and everybody who says otherwise is a liar and deficit-terrorist.
There is not the smallest snippet of science in this talk. Obviously, Bill Mitchell has moved from serious scientific research to Orwell’s propaganda ministry.
MMT is provably false, i.e., materially/logically inconsistent, and therefore, MMT policy guidance lacks sound scientific foundations. MMTers deceive the general public because they never address the toxic distributional effect of their policy.
The policy of deficit-spending/money-creation benefits the Oligarchy because it increases macroeconomic profit according to the Profit Law, which entails Public Deficit = Private Profit. MMT is a free lunch program for the Oligarchy. Financial wealth and public debt grow in lockstep, and the fabulous financial wealth in the USA is roughly equal to humongous public debt ($22 trillion and counting). The Profit Law explains how billionaires are able to accumulate that much money and why they can buy all the bonds the Treasury issues and cash in the ultra-safe interest that is reliably taxed from WeThePeople as long as the debt is rolled over, which can be very long indeed. MMT policy is a Ponzi scheme that works as long as public debt grows. But infinite growth is impossible on a finite planet. This also holds for public debt. The fact that things have gone fine so far proves NOTHING about the future. And it does NOT prove the scientific validity of MMT.
While it is true that mainstream economic policy is voodoo, the same holds for MMT policy.
Egmont Kakarot-Handtke
#1 Keynes, Lerner, MMT, Trump, etc. and exploding profit
#2 Links on Austerity
#3 For the full-spectrum refutation of MMT, see cross-references MMT
Related 'Economics debate ― just another variant of hardcore wrestling' and 'Economists: scientists or political clowns?' and 'Economics: A pointless left-right wrestling show' and 'Debunking idiots does not prove that MMT is valid' and 'Econogenics in action'. For details of the big picture, see cross-references Failed/Fake Scientists.
Immediately preceding Bill Mitchell ― Wall Street’s hitman keeps an eye on MMT defeatists.
***
REPLY to Bob Roddis on Jul 25Fiat money, or evil fiat funny money as you call it, is not the basic problem of the monetary economy, but how it is injected into the system. See The right and the wrong way to bring money into the economy.
February 1, 2016
Heterodoxy and the nullity of dead horse beating
Comment on Asad Zaman/Lars Syll on ‘Revealed preference and the fundamental flaws of conventional economics’
Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference
On multiple threads, Asad Zaman deals with the fundamental flaws of orthodox economics. This well-intentioned action, though, has the side-effect of keeping the Naked-Emperor-Zombie alive.#1
Zaman wastes much time refuting what has been refuted some time ago. He gives this reason “When the errors of the conventional approach become as obvious as the error in ‘2+2=5’ we will not waste time coming up with new proofs that this is a fallacious calculation.” And then he beats these dead horses again
• Positivism,
• General Equilibrium Theory,
• utility theory,
• theory of the firm,
• price theory, i.e. supply-demand-equilibrium,
• revealed preference theory.
Now, the problem is this: all this methodological garbage is already around for some time: “As will become evident, there is more agreement on the defects of orthodox theory than there is on what theory is to replace it: but all agreed that the point of the criticism is to clear the ground for construction.” (Nell, 1980, p. 1)
And here is the crux: construction never happened. Asad Zaman does not understand the proper task of Heterodoxy. It is necessary but not sufficient to expose the errors and blunders of Orthodoxy. Having done this once, the only worthwhile task is construction, or, to paraphrase the great economist and methodologist J. S. Mill: ‘Doubtless, the most effectual mode of showing how the science of Economics may be constructed, would be to construct it.’ (2006, p. 834)
This should be a relatively straightforward task after we know for more than 150 years what the fundamental flaws of Orthodoxy are, viz. (i) economics is not a science of individual or social behavior,#2 and (ii) there is no such thing as an equilibrium in the economy.#3
Economics is about how the economic system works and neither Orthodoxy nor Heterodoxy has any idea of it.
Egmont Kakarot-Handtke
References
Mill, J. S. (2006). A System of Logic Ratiocinative and Inductive. Being a Connected View of the Principles of Evidence and the Methods of Scientific Investigation, Vol. 8 of Collected Works of John Stuart Mill. Indianapolis: Liberty Fund.
Nell, E. J. (1980). Growth, Profits, and Property, chapter Cracks in the Neoclassical Mirror: On the Break-Up of a Vision, 1–16. Cambridge, New York, Melbourne: Cambridge University Press.
#1 How Heterodoxy keeps the Naked-Emperor-Zombie alive
#2 For details see cross-references Not a Science of Behavior
#3 How to restart economics
Related 'Zamanomics'. For details of the big picture see cross-references Heterodoxy and cross-references Methodology. and cross-references Paradigm Shift.
Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference
On multiple threads, Asad Zaman deals with the fundamental flaws of orthodox economics. This well-intentioned action, though, has the side-effect of keeping the Naked-Emperor-Zombie alive.#1
Zaman wastes much time refuting what has been refuted some time ago. He gives this reason “When the errors of the conventional approach become as obvious as the error in ‘2+2=5’ we will not waste time coming up with new proofs that this is a fallacious calculation.” And then he beats these dead horses again
• Positivism,
• General Equilibrium Theory,
• utility theory,
• theory of the firm,
• price theory, i.e. supply-demand-equilibrium,
• revealed preference theory.
Now, the problem is this: all this methodological garbage is already around for some time: “As will become evident, there is more agreement on the defects of orthodox theory than there is on what theory is to replace it: but all agreed that the point of the criticism is to clear the ground for construction.” (Nell, 1980, p. 1)
And here is the crux: construction never happened. Asad Zaman does not understand the proper task of Heterodoxy. It is necessary but not sufficient to expose the errors and blunders of Orthodoxy. Having done this once, the only worthwhile task is construction, or, to paraphrase the great economist and methodologist J. S. Mill: ‘Doubtless, the most effectual mode of showing how the science of Economics may be constructed, would be to construct it.’ (2006, p. 834)
This should be a relatively straightforward task after we know for more than 150 years what the fundamental flaws of Orthodoxy are, viz. (i) economics is not a science of individual or social behavior,#2 and (ii) there is no such thing as an equilibrium in the economy.#3
Economics is about how the economic system works and neither Orthodoxy nor Heterodoxy has any idea of it.
Egmont Kakarot-Handtke
References
Mill, J. S. (2006). A System of Logic Ratiocinative and Inductive. Being a Connected View of the Principles of Evidence and the Methods of Scientific Investigation, Vol. 8 of Collected Works of John Stuart Mill. Indianapolis: Liberty Fund.
Nell, E. J. (1980). Growth, Profits, and Property, chapter Cracks in the Neoclassical Mirror: On the Break-Up of a Vision, 1–16. Cambridge, New York, Melbourne: Cambridge University Press.
#1 How Heterodoxy keeps the Naked-Emperor-Zombie alive
#2 For details see cross-references Not a Science of Behavior
#3 How to restart economics
Related 'Zamanomics'. For details of the big picture see cross-references Heterodoxy and cross-references Methodology. and cross-references Paradigm Shift.
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