“Real GDP growth has been lower globally over the last forty years than it was before PCs. All this stuff that claimed to make us more productive just redistributed wealth rather than make us all more wealthy.” (Aswath Damodaran, quoted by Steve Hanke) Aswath Damodaran never understood profit, and consequently, the relationship between productivity, real and nominal GDP. The proof is given in table AXEC235c ⇓. Microfoundations are methodologically false; therefore, the elementary production-consumption economy is given with three macroeconomic axioms in lines 1-3. Under the initial analytical conditions of market-clearing and budget-balancing, this yields the price P in line 5. The price is the dependent variable here. In the initial state, the price is equal to unit wage costs W/R. The workers get the whole product O. Here, consumption good output is real GDP. The profit Qm for the business sector as a whole is zero in line 11. If the condition of budget balancing is lifted, the market clearing price is given by P=:ρEC*W/R. This formula replaces the silly Supply-Demand-Equilibrium cross. It is generalized in lines 15-21. In the most elementary case, the following relationships hold. If the productivity R increases, consumption good output O (undifferentiated real GDP) increases in line 2. Under the condition of market clearing, the price P falls in line 5. The nominal GDP, here Ec, stays the same under the condition of budget-balancing, i.e., Ec=Yw. Profit is still zero in line 11. In sum, in the elementary case, a productivity increase does not show up in an increase in nominal GDP and not in an increase in macroeconomic profit Qm. However, in real terms (i.e., real GDP=O) 'it makes us all more wealthy '. Aswath Damodaran got these interdependencies wrong. It's an entirely different thing, of course, if the starting condition L=constant is lifted.
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 8, 2026
This blog connects to the AXEC Project which applies a superior method of economic analysis. The following comments have been posted on selected blogs as catalysts for the ongoing Paradigm Shift. The comments are brought together here for information. The full debates are directly accessible via the Blog-References. Scrap the lot and start again―that is what a Paradigm Shift is all about. Time to make economics a science.
November 8, 2026
Occasional X: How it works (DXXXVIII)
October 20, 2026
Occasional X: There is an absolute limit to the growth of public debt (VII)
“The Debt/GDP ratio should not be stable at the top of a business cycle. It should be stable over the whole cycle. If it is stable at the top of the business cycle, it will ratchet up over the whole cycle (as we have seen since 2000). This is unsustainable.” (Jon Steinsson) In free-market economies, public debt has increased with minor interruptions for 200+ years. Growing debt has always been a crucial ingredient in Capitalism's life elixir. The representative economist doesn't get it. Put simply, he gets the foundational concepts of profit, distributed profit, income, saving, deficit, and debt wrong. That's why economics has been failed/fake science for 200+ years. The monetary economy in general thrives on growing private/public debt. If this growth stops, the economy implodes. Macroeconomic profit Qm is given by the axiomatically correct Profit Law Qm:=(I−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M)+Yd. The Law implies Qm:=(G−T)>0, i.e., macroeconomic profit is (co-)produced by deficit-spending/money-creation, i.e., the growth of public debt. The minimum requirement for a free-market economy is that macroeconomic profit is greater than zero, i.e., Qm≥0. If Qm<0, recession/depression/breakdown results. This should be easy to understand, but it has always been above economists' mental capacity. The free-market economy is continuously saved from breakdown by the deficit-spending/money-creating duo of Treasury/Central Bank, i.e., the State. This means that the premise of mainstream economics, i.e., that the unfettered free-market economy is a self-adjusting, self-stabilizing, and self-optimizing system, is axiomatically false. Ultimately, this means that the representative economist is too stupid for science. Currently, the USA is exploding the public debt. This increases macroeconomic profit Qm, according to the Profit Law. The point is that this is only the beginning. Profit will continue to increase exponentially and with it the number of billionaires/trillionaires. It does not matter how badly the real economy performs. The growing public debt ultimately benefits WeTheOligarchy and not WeThePeople. Since the household sector is taxed for interest on government bonds, there is an absolute upper limit for the growth of public debt, which is roughly given by public_debt * avg_interest_rate ≦wage_income. Economic problems, though, start much earlier because of other irreducible items in the budget (military, health, etc.) and a not exactly known upper tax-to-income limit. The limit moves further away into the future if the interest rate approaches zero. If interest rates go up, the wall will be hit sooner. Note well that the State acts as the interest collector for WeTheOligarchy. The USA is a clear example of how Capitalism works and that it will break down with systemic necessity. President Trump is currently in acceleration mode.
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) October 20, 2026
October 11, 2026
Occasional X: How it works (DXXV)
“Those large deficits in the 2010s set the stage for today's looming fiscal crisis. The high debt/gdp ratio today is the footprint of all those large deficits, in spite of the French government's low funding costs at the zero lower bound in the 2010s. Those large deficits certainly did not spur enough growth for France to simply grow out of the high debt/gdp ratio, contrary to what was advertised.” (Hanno Lustig) France is a good example of the self-destructive working of Capitalism. In free-market economies, public debt has increased with minor interruptions for 200+ years. Growing debt has always been a crucial ingredient in Capitalism's life elixir. The representative economist doesn't get it. Put simply, he gets the foundational concepts of profit, distributed profit, income, saving, deficit, and debt wrong. That's why economics has been failed/fake science for 200+ years. The monetary economy in general, and the French economy, in particular, thrives on growing private/public debt. If this growth stops, the economy implodes. Macroeconomic profit Qm is given by the axiomatically correct Profit Law Qm:=(I−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M)+Yd. The Law implies Qm:=(G−T)>0, i.e., macroeconomic profit is (co-)produced by deficit-spending/money-creation, i.e., the growth of public debt. The minimum requirement for a free-market economy is that macroeconomic profit is greater than zero, i.e., Qm≥0. If Qm<0, recession/depression/breakdown results. The free-market economy is continuously saved from breakdown by the deficit-spending/money-creating duo Treasury/Central Bank, i.e., the State. This means that the premise of mainstream economics, i.e., that the unfettered free-market economy is a self-adjusting, self-stabilizing, and self-optimizing system, is axiomatically false. Ultimately, this means that the representative economist is too stupid for science. Hanno Lustig is living proof. Currently, both France and the USA are exploding the public debt. This increases macroeconomic profit Qm, according to the Profit Law. The point is that this is only the beginning. Profit will continue to increase exponentially and with it the number of billionaires/ trillionaires. It does not matter how bad the real economy performs. The growing public debt ultimately benefits WeTheOligarchy and not WeThePeople. Since the household sector is taxed for interest on government bonds, there is an absolute upper limit for the growth of public debt, which is roughly given by public_debt * avg_interest_rate ≦wage_income. Economic problems, though, start much earlier because of other irreducible items in the budget (military, health, etc.) and a not exactly known upper tax-to-income limit. The limit moves further away into the future if the interest rate approaches zero. If interest rates go up, the wall will be hit sooner. France is a clear example of how Capitalism works and that it will break down with systemic necessity.
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) October 11, 2026
October 9, 2026
Occasional X: How it works (DXXIV)
“Since the end of 2019, US corporate profits after tax are up 76%. Nominal GDP - the total value of everything the economy produces - is up just 48%. That is not all clever management and artificial intelligence. A large part of it is redistribution. For almost 60 years, workers’ share of US national income - the labour share - hovered around 78% once you strip out the business cycle. Today it is down to 72%, the lowest since 1963, which is as far back as my data go. What workers have lost, companies have gained. This is where Michał Kalecki comes in.” (Lars Christensen) Neither Lars Christensen nor Michał Kalecki ever understood profit. As a logical consequence, they never understood how the economic system works. For details, see Cross-references: Kalecki https://t.co/FemYl1aA8M The monetary economy in general, and the US economy, in particular, thrives on growing private/public debt. If this growth stops, the economy implodes. Macroeconomic profit Qm is given by the axiomatically correct Profit Law Qm:=(I−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M)+Yd. The Law implies Qm:=(G−T)>0, i.e., macroeconomic profit is (co-)produced by deficit-spending/money-creation, i.e., the growth of public debt. The minimum requirement for a free-market economy is that macroeconomic profit is greater than zero, i.e., Qm≥0. If Qm<0, recession/depression/breakdown results. The free-market economy is continuously saved from breakdown by the deficit-spending/money-creating duo Treasury/Fed, i.e., the State. This means that the premise of mainstream economics, i.e., that the unfettered free-market economy is a self-adjusting, self-stabilizing, and self-optimizing system, is axiomatically false. This means that economics is a failed/fake science. Ultimately, this means that the representative economist is scientifically incompetent. Michał Kalecki was no exception. Currently, President Trump explodes the public debt. This increases macroeconomic profit Qm according to the Profit Law.
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) October 9, 2026
September 4, 2026
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Science (CCCLXXXVII)
“People often do not sufficiently understand G.D.P. To discuss it. So, as a public favour, I have summarised the three different ways to calculate G.D.P. and their respective categories in depth and unambiguity.” (Nikolai Rostow)
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) September 4, 2026
Nikolai Rostow does not understand profit. That's… pic.twitter.com/uFzERNZV8U
July 27, 2026
Occasional X: Econ 101― still proto-scientific garbage (XVIII)
“So, GDP can be measured also by adding up everyone’s incomes – wages, salaries, interests, profits, and government income. GDP and national income are therefore two sides of the same coin.” (Partha Dasgupta)
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) July 27, 2026
This is the foundational error of legacy economics. Partha Dasgupta's…
Occasional X: How it works (CDXCIII)
“Getting this under control is theoretically doable, but it would be extremely painful and politically difficult. In 2002, Britain's national debt was around £350 billion, representing roughly 29% to 30% of GDP. Fast-forward to now and the debt has surpassed £2.8 trillion.”…
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) July 27, 2026
July 8, 2026
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Science (CCCLIII)
“GDP answers the question posed to it, as well as we know how: What is the total value of goods and services produced in the market economy, and what is the value of income earned by such production in the market economy? It is a terrible measure of things it wasn't designed to…
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) July 8, 2026
Occasional X: The foul spirit of political economics (CCC)
“Debates on what monies to include or not to include in GDP have been going on forever, some examples are about profits or interest/fees on usury(debt).” (Stefan Demetz)
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) July 8, 2026
Yes, economic debates go on endlessly without reaching a definite conclusion because economics is failed… pic.twitter.com/e7UcGTlYNN
Occasional X: Economics and math ― they just can't get it together (XIII)
“GDP(GNI/GNP) accounting is just a necessary evil, as other baseline measurement methods are worse.” (Stefan Demetz)
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) July 8, 2026
I do NOT say that GDP accounting is unnecessary; I say that it is done wrong because the representative economist is too stupid for elementary algebra. It is not…
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Science (CCCLII)
“Actually, GDP sucks. I say that as an expert on reconstructions of national accounting. But it sucks in the way that all critics never say: it understates the massive gains in wellbeing that humanity got.” (Vincent Geloso)
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) July 8, 2026
Yes, GDP sucks, because the 'expert on reconstructions… pic.twitter.com/vCGuuWx4Tr
May 14, 2026
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Breakdown (XXV)
“Japan carries the world's highest debt-to-GDP ratio (~260%). As rates rise, the cost of servicing that debt becomes alarming, and investors are demanding a risk premium.” (Tobias Carlisle)
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) May 14, 2026
If you didn't see this coming since 2020‡, you are scientifically incompetent.
The…
February 15, 2026
Occasional X: How it works (CDLI)
“'High debt share hampers GDP growth' is still somehow a received wisdom preached to developing countries including China, yet just a boomer fat finger error” (Hongshen Zhu)
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) February 15, 2026
Not the debt share is relevant for economic growth, but the increase/decrease of the debt, i.e., the… pic.twitter.com/cztEqAFTfB
January 24, 2026
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Productivity (I)
#Economics#AllYouNeedToKnow
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) January 24, 2026
“However, standard labour productivity aggregates wages, profits, rents, and interest into its numerator while normalising solely by labour input. ” (James Young)
Because wages are flows and macroeconomic profit is a difference of flows, “wages,… pic.twitter.com/9VTSfzlh7V
December 22, 2025
Occasional X: How it works (CDXXVIII)
#Economics#AllYouNeedToKnow
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) December 22, 2025
“Fun fact, the entire GDP growth in the UK since 2019 has been driven by government, not the private sector. Similar entertaining picture in Germany. How did this happen?” (Michael Arouet)
Michael Arouet has no idea how the economy works. This is…
Ha, educate yourself.
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) December 22, 2025
“Oligarchy (from Ancient Greek ὀλιγαρχία (oligarkhía) 'rule by few'; from ὀλίγος (olígos) 'few' and ἄρχω (árkhō) 'to rule, command') is a form of government in which power rests with a small number of people. Leaders of such regimes are often referred to…
December 7, 2025
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Profit (CXVIII)
#Economics#AllYouNeedToKnow
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) December 7, 2025
“You have to be wildly optimistic to believe that corporate profits as a percent of GDP can, for any sustained period, hold much above 6%.” (Warren Buffett)
Clearly, Warren Buffett does not understand profit, and therefore, how Capitalism works.…
December 3, 2025
Occasional X: Clueless economists / Science (CCXXXVI)
#Economics#AllYouNeedToKnow
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) December 3, 2025
“In undergrad, I took a course called 'critical analysis of market economies'. 1st lecture, prof arrives & writes Y=C+I+G+XN on the blackboard. Then says: 'You won't see GDP equations here, because no human relations can be reduced to numbers.'”…
November 20, 2025
Occasional X: How it works (CDXIV)
#Economics#AllYouNeedToKnow
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 20, 2025
“Are the credit→GDP, credit→profits, and credit→asset-price results enough to fully falsify Selgin’s residual claims (“Intermediationism.”)? … The evidence is conclusive: Credit creation is the causal engine of nominal GDP, profits, inflation,…
November 10, 2025
Occasional X: How it works (CDXI)
#Economics#AllYouNeedToKnow
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 10, 2025
“Debt sustainability is well captured in a simple formula that goes back to 1944. The interest rate and GDP growth determine the change in the debt-to-GDP ratio.” (jeroen blokland)
Yeah, that's math for morons. If the debt-to-gdp ratio is defined…
November 7, 2025
Occasional X: The foul spirit of political economics (CLXVI)
#Economics#AllYouNeedToKnow
— AXEC (@EgmontHandtke) November 7, 2025
“… the poorest US state Mississippi has higher GDP per capita than France or Italy …” (Michael Arouet)
“Washington D.C.'s key industries include government and contracting, security and technology, professional and business services, healthcare,…