January 12, 2018

Are MMTers stupid or corrupt or both?

Comment on Stephanie Kelton and Randall Wray on ‘Answers from the MMTers’

Blog-Reference

MMTers are beyond any doubt stupid, more specifically, scientifically incompetent. Put bluntly, they do not even get the elementary mathematics of national accounting right. For the full-spectrum refutation see Down with idiocy! and cross-references MMT.

The corruption of MMTers consists in the violation of scientific standards. Firstly, they pretend to fight for the benefit of the ninety-nine-percenters but in fact promote the cause of the one-percenters, see MMT = proto-scientific garbage + deception of the 99-percenters

Secondly, MMTers affirm open discussion but block refutation, opposition, and questioning on their blogs/accounts.* Here are some recent  examples of blocking (Source Twitter, see captations)
















The key message of MMT is that deficit spending solves almost all economic problems and government debt does not matter. Because it holds Public Deficit = Private Profit, MMTers are ― intentionally or unintentionally does not matter ― agenda-pusher for the one-percenters.* Public debt matters enormously for the distribution of income and financial wealth.

Summary: With few exceptions, economists are either not aware of scientific standards or ignore/violate them. There is not much difference with regard to scientific competence respectively lack thereof between Orthodoxy and Heterodoxy.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke

*

* Of course, propaganda, manipulation, and disinformation are not restricted to the proponents of MMT but widespread among both orthodox and heterodox economists. After all, economics started as Political Economy and is a cargo cult science since Adam Smith/Karl Marx. Which blogs promote serious research/discussion and which are mere propaganda outlets can only be found out by testing, that is, by submitting well-argued posts. From concrete experience over a longer time span follows this random selection of blogs that have blocked/deleted/manipulated challenging posts. If this not yet independently double-checked list contains errors/omissions a notification is welcome (handtke@axec.de).


Note that the blog owner is entitled to reject submissions for whatever reason. There is nothing illegal in selecting the content of one’s own blog. What is at issue is the violation of well-established and well-known scientific standards. Inviting discussion and then censoring critique/refutation is clearly against the idea of scientific discourse.

There are recurring publications of Top 10/100 blogs which, however, use popularity/ prestige as main criteria and NOT genuine scientific quality. Whether blogs are manipulated is never asked or tested. So, in effect, Top 10/100 charts protect/promote ― intentionally/unintentionally does not matter ― fraudulent blogs.*

Blogs with a perfect track record of non-blocking/non-manipulation over a considerable time span have been

January 11, 2018

MMT = proto-scientific garbage + deception of the 99-percenters

Comment on Stephanie Kelton and Randall Wray on ‘Answers from the MMTers’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference

Jared Bernstein posed some ‘Questions for the MMTers’ and offered a welcome opportunity for the loudspeakers of MMT to make their strong points. Needless to emphasize that they also repeated with enthusiasm their foundational error/mistake/blunder/fraud.

It is this: “There are three sectoral balances: a domestic private sector, a government sector, and a foreign sector. While any one of these can run a deficit (or surplus), the sum of the balances must sum to zero ― that is, they balance (for every deficit there is a surplus). In the US, the private sector almost always runs a surplus (“saves”) and the foreign sector has run persistent surpluses (the other side of the coin to our current account deficits) since the days of Reagan. That means ― by simple identity ― that our government sector runs deficits.”

The fact of the matter is that there are FOUR macroeconomic sectors (household sector, business sector, government sector, and Rest of the World) but in the MMT presentations one sector is missing, more specifically, the balance of the business sector = profit is nowhere to be seen.#1

MMT is built upon this 3-sector macroeconomic balances equation (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=0.#2 Why are two sectors ― the household and the business sector ― lumped together into the “private sector”?

Now, the balance of the household sector is saving/dissaving and the balance of the business sector is profit/loss. By lumping the two sectors together profit vanishes from sight.

The axiomatically correct 4-sector balances equation reads (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)−(Qm−Yd)=0 with Qm monetary profit and Yd distributed profit. And from this equation follows Public Deficit = Private Profit given the balances of the household sector and the Rest of the World.

The correct equation tells everybody that MMTers' relentless propagation of deficit spending for social purposes is nothing but agenda-pushing for the one-percenters. The problem of MMT policy is NOT overheating or inflation, the real problem is distribution.

MMTers are either stupid because they do not know what profit is, or corrupt because they deceive the ninety-nine-percenters or a mixture of both.#3 Jared Bernstein failed to ask the crucial question.#4

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Down with idiocy!
#2 Wikipedia Modern Monetary Theory
#3 MMT and grassroots movements
#4 For the full-spectrum refutation of MMT see cross-references MMT

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TWITTER coincidence on Jan 11

Source: Twitter

Related 'MMT: The one deadly error/fraud of Warren Mosler' and 'MMT and the promotion of Wall Street's idea of social policy' and 'Deficit-spending/money-creation is ALWAYS a bad deal for WeThePeople' and 'MMT is dead: An unfriendly critique of Bill Mitchell' and 'MMT: An overdose of public-debt tranquilizers for WeThePeople' and 'MMT Progressives: The knife in the back of WeThePeople' and 'MMT: The fusion of Wall Street and Academia'.

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REPLY to Ralph Musgrave on Jan 12

You say “Egmont Kakarot-Handtke argues above that because MMTers lump the household and business sectors together into one “private sector”, this hides the alleged fact that the bulk of a public sector deficit flows to the business sector rather than the household sector.”

Actually, I say that the lumping together of the household sector and the business sector to the “private sector” is for macroeconomics what is called an accounting fraud on the firm’s level.#1

Of course, it could also be an error/mistake/blunder but this is improbable because of the hiding of the fact that Public Deficit = Private Profit, i.e. Qm≡(G−T) given the other balances, is necessary to sell MMT policy measures as a social benefit.#2 And this, in turn, is necessary because MMT is NOT economics but campaign support for Warren Mosler’s candidacy for governor of the US Virgin Islands as announced on Jan 11.

This, of course, holds also for MMT’s alleged full employment policy.#3

So, Ralph Musgrave, Kelton, Mitchell, Tcherneva, Wray, Fullwiler, Forstater, Kaboub, Pettifor, Keen, Tymoigne, Willingham, Grumbine, and all the MMT rest cannot be taken seriously as economists but at best as useful idiots for Warren Mosler.


#1 Down with idiocy!
#2 Keynes, Lerner, MMT, Trump and exploding profit
#3 Full employment through the price mechanism

Related 'Krugman and the scientific implosion of economics' and 'Barkley Rosser, fake scientist'. For details of the big picture see cross-references Failed/Fake scientists and cross-references The Representative Economist.

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REPLY to Matt Franko on Jan 12

You say “All Warren has ever said he wants out of this is a chance to see his nations economy run at its full potential for once in his life”

I am enthusiastic about what Berlusconi, Trump, Mosler, etc. promise to do for the little guy and the forgotten worker but I do not understand why these folks always have to cook the macroeconomic and microeconomic books first.

Perhaps the MMT academics can explain why they violate scientific standards and promote the money-making of the Bunga-Bunga one-percenters?

January 9, 2018

Economics for believers

Comment on Andrew Anderson on Daniel José Camacho on ‘The deficit doesn’t matter: thinking morally about the economy with Stephanie Kelton’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference on Mar 29 adapted to context

The Lord spoke out of the bush and handed over these
Twelve Economics Commandments:

1. Never cite the Bible or other religious texts in an economic argument.

2. Maintain the strict separation of science and religion under all circumstances.

3. Maintain the strict separation of science and politics under all circumstances.#1

4. Do not dabble in Psychology, Sociology, Anthropology, History, Political Science, Social Philosophy, or any other of the so-called social sciences.

5. Do not believe: prove.

6. Figure out how the actual economic system works and communicate your results in the format of a materially/formally consistent theory.

7. Absolutely refrain from storytelling, metaphors, analogies, narratives, gossip, insinuation, second-guessing, filibuster, propaganda, disinformation, and other rhetorical means.

8. Do not apply Methodological Individualism/Microfoundations.#2

9. Do not moralize. The subject matter of economics is IS not OUGHT. How the Good Society can be realized has to be determined in the political sphere. See 3.

10. Be, first of all, aware that there are knowledge and opinion, science and non-science, scientific standards/ethics, and anything-goes, true and false with nothing in-between. The ethics of science is objectivity, i.e. material and formal consistency. The objective of economics is the true theory.

11. Rest assured that those who violate scientific standards/ethics go to hell and will be tortured in all eternity with the senseless blather of Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, and Pluralism.#3

12. Make no mistake: alone scientists will go to heaven. As you can easily imagine, the Lord will NOT share eternity with morons, imbeciles, agenda-pushers, blatherers, believers, and fake scientists.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 The strict separation of the scientific realm and the political realm is necessary because politics always and everywhere corrupts science. This point has been made abundantly clear by J. S. Mill: “A scientific observer or reasoner, merely as such, is not an adviser for practice. His part is only to show that certain consequences follow from certain causes, and that to obtain certain ends, certain means are the most effectual. Whether the ends themselves are such as ought to be pursued, and if so, in what cases and to how great a length, it is no part of his business as a cultivator of science to decide, and science alone will never qualify him for the decision.” For details see Throw them out! Orthodox and heterodox economists are unfit for science and The end of political economics
#2 If it isn’t macro-axiomatized, it isn’t economics
#3 Economics is not a science, not a religion, but proto-scientific garbage

Related 'MMT and grassroots movements' and 'The irrelevance of populism for economics' and 'The Supreme Being handed over these Twelve Economics Commandments'

January 8, 2018

Microfoundations R.I.P.

Comment on Simon Wren-Lewis on ‘Why the microfoundations hegemony holds back macroeconomic progress’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference

Economics of the last 200+ years is the most embarrassing failure in the history of modern science.

The goal of economics is to figure out how the actual economic system works and to communicate the results in the format of a materially and formally consistent theory.

Methodologically, there seem to be two ways to attack the problem: microfoundations or bottom-up and macrofoundations or top-down. Economists made the wrong methodological choice 150+ years ago. Since Jevons/Walras/Menger they are on the wrong track because NO way leads from the second-guessing of Human Nature/motives/behavior/action to the understanding of how the economic system works.

Economics is a failed science because the definition of the subject matter is false: “It is a touchstone of accepted economics that all explanations must run in terms of the actions and reactions of individuals. Our behavior in judging economic research, in peer review of papers and research, and in promotions, includes the criterion that in principle the behavior we explain and the policies we propose are explicable in terms of individuals, not of other social categories.” (Arrow)#1

There is, as a matter of methodological principle, NO such thing as microfounded economics. Unfortunately, Keynes messed up the macrofoundations approach and After-Keynesians have not figured out until this day where things went wrong.#2

Wren-Lewis’ attempt to go from DSGE Modeling to Structural Econometric Modeling is bound to fail. Nothing less than a Paradigm Shift will do.#3, #4 The microfoundations approach and its scientifically incompetent proponents have to be solemnly buried next to the Flat-Earth and Phlogiston folks.#5

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Microfoundations are formally given with this set of verbalized axioms “HC1 economic agents have preferences over outcomes; HC2 agents individually optimize subject to constraints; HC3 agent choice is manifest in interrelated markets; HC4 agents have full relevant knowledge; HC5 observable outcomes are coordinated, and must be discussed with reference to equilibrium states. (Weintraub) Every model that applies just one of the axioms is a priori false.
#2 Where modern macroeconomics went wrong
#3 True macrofoundations: the reset of economics
#4 The new macroeconomic paradigm
#5 If it isn’t macro-axiomatized, it isn’t economics

January 4, 2018

Economists, stupid or corrupt or both?

Comment on David Glasner on ‘Does Economic Theory Entail or Support Free-Market Ideology?’

Blog-Reference and Blog-Reference on Jan 18 adapted to context

Economics of the last 200+ years is the most embarrassing failure in the history of modern science.

The basic question of economics is whether “the existing economic system is, in any significant sense, self-adjusting.” (Keynes) Walrasian economics failed to prove this. The lethal methodological blunder of standard economics has been to put equilibrium (and other nonentities) into the premises. This blunder is known since antiquity as petitio principii.#1

Keynes realized that the classical microfoundations approach had led into a cul-de-sac and therefore switched to macrofoundations. This was ― in principle ― the right first step towards a Paradigm Shift, except for the fact that Keynes messed up his macrofoundations. This is why Keynesianism, too, is a failure.#2

Because the four main approaches ― Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism ― are mutually contradictory, axiomatically false, and materially/formally inconsistent, economic policy guidance never had sound scientific foundations from Adam Smith/Karl Marx onward. This applies, of course, to the so-called free-market ideology.

There is political economics and theoretical economics. The main differences are: (i) The goal of political economics is to successfully push an agenda, the goal of theoretical economics is to successfully explain how the actual economy works. (ii) In political economics anything goes; in theoretical economics, the scientific standards of material and formal consistency are observed.

Economics claims to be a science but is NOT. Theoretical economics (= science) had been hijacked from the very beginning by political economists (= agenda pushers). Political economics is scientifically worthless. It is pretty obvious that Keynes, Hayek,#3 Friedman,#4 etcetera were not scientists but clowns in the political Circus Maximus.

True economic theory tells us how the economic system works. The economist needs the true theory, i.e. the humanly best mental representation of reality: “In order to tell the politicians and practitioners something about causes and best means, the economist needs the true theory or else he has not much more to offer than educated common sense or his personal opinion.” (Stigum)

Keynes, Hayek, Friedman, and their heirs/parrots up to DSGE and MMT never rose above the proto-scientific level of common-sense rhetoric, opinion, and political agenda pushing. The claim as expressed in the title “Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel” is a joint Walrasian/Keynesian/Marxian/Austrian deception of the public.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


#1 Petitio principii — economists’ biggest methodological mistake
#2 What Keynes really meant but could not really prove
#3 Austrian idiocy ― the case of Hayek
#4 Milton Friedman, fake scientist

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Wikimedia AXEC121i




***
JFTR on Jan 18

Skidelsky concludes: “Macroeconomics still needs to come up with a big new idea.

■ Public Deficit = Private Profit ― is Keynesianism/MMT a social hoax?

Paradigm Shift is the big new idea

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REPLY to Ralph Musgrave on Jan 21

You say “Even if every dollar of stimulus did end up in the pockets of the rich, that would not stop stimulus working. To illustrate, assume 10% of all government spending ends up as profit which is hoarded by the rich. That means 90% initially goes to the “non-rich”. In the next ‘round’ so to speak, 10% is again hoarded by the rich.”

This is a nice try playing down the fact that Public Deficit = Private Profit and that, by consequence, MMT is essentially a social bluff package for the agenda of the one-percenters.

Your error/mistake/blunder consists of applying the old Keynesian multiplier which, unfortunately, is false for 80+ years.#1, #2, #3

To cut the meticulous formal derivation short, the most elementary version of the axiomatically correct Employment Law for the economy as a whole is given on Wikimedia AXEC62:


From this equation follows:
(i) An increase in the expenditure ratio ρE leads to higher employment L (the Greek letter ρ stands for ratio). An expenditure ratio ρE greater than 1 indicates credit expansion, a ratio ρE less than 1 indicates credit contraction of the household sector.
(ii) Increasing investment expenditures I exert a positive influence on employment, a slowdown in growth does the opposite.
(iii) An increase in the factor cost ratio ρF≡W/PR leads to higher employment.

The complete Employment Law is a bit longer and contains in addition profit distribution, public deficit spending, and import/export.

The correct employment multiplier consists of TWO elements: the expenditure ratio and the factor cost ratio. Now, the following may happen simultaneously: the expenditure ratio goes up and the factor cost ratio goes down such that the combined multiplier effect is zero. That means, deficit spending has NO effect on employment but only on profit. All that is necessary for annihilating the employment effect of deficit spending is a one-off price hike.

So, deficit spending ALWAYS benefits the one-percenters because Public Deficit = Private Profit is absolutely certain while the employment effect is very uncertain and may well be zero.


#3 For a comprehensive overview see cross-references Employment

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REPLY to Tom Hickey on Jan 21

You say “I can see how Egmont might be right about government deficits ended up as money in the elites pockets. MMT says essentially the same thing. Government deficits accommodate non-government saving, most of which is done by those that are well-off if not rich.”

The smarter part of humanity, in turn, can see now that you, Kaivey, Musgrave, Kelton, Mosler, Mitchell, Tcherneva, Wray, Fullwiler, Forstater, Kaboub, Pettifor, Keen, Tymoigne, Willingham, Grumbine, and all the blogging and tweeting MMT rest have NO idea how the economy works.

The axiomatically correct balances equation reads Qm≡Yd+I−Sm+(G−T)+(X−M); Legend: Qm total monetary profit, Yd distributed profit, I investment expenditures, Sm monetary saving, G government expenditures, T taxes, X exports, M imports. This translates into Public Deficit = Private Profit given the balances of the other sectors.#1

The government deficit does NOT “accommodate” household sector saving Sm because the household sector as a whole may also run a deficit = dissaving = Sm negative. In this case, it holds macroeconomic profit = public sector deficit PLUS household sector deficit. And exactly this was the case in the USA in the last decades.

The MMT headline government deficit = private sector surplus is proto-scientific garbage or worse.#2



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REPLY to Tom Hickey on Jan 22

You say “According to MMT, the way to moderate capitalism is through increasing the welfare state, increasing labor bargaining power, and adding a JG. This would preemptively distribute wages so that rising incomes could sustainable consumption desire at full employment.”

In the political realm, everybody can climb on a soapbox and tell the audience how the world can be made a better place and how the economy can be fixed ― except an economist.

The mission of the economist ― understood as a scientist ― is to figure out how the economy works and NOT to push a political agenda. The monstrous failure of both orthodox and heterodox economists is that they have NOT developed anything resembling the true theory in the last 200 years but crawl in endless loops in the proto-scientific swamp. MMT is just a case in point.

Because they do not have the true (= materially and formally consistent) theory economists’ contribution to policy is worthless or even counterproductive. It is just like the storytellers of old who never contributed anything to aviation but only entertained their audience with tales about flying carpets.

In the political realm, MMT is the deficit-does-not-matter storyteller, but in the scientific realm MMT does not even get the elementary mathematics of macroeconomic accounting right.#1

MMT’s claim to rectify capitalism is laughable.  MMT is a flying carpet story just like Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, and Austrianism.#2


January 3, 2018

MMT and grassroots movements

Comment on Sean Keith/Alexander Kolokotronis/Truthout on ‘“But How Will We Pay for It?”: Modern Monetary Theory and Democratic Socialism’ and on Daniel José Camacho on 'The deficit doesn't matter: thinking morally about the economy with Stephanie Kelton.'

Blog-Reference and parallel Blog-Reference

Sean Keith and Alexander Kolokotronis maintain: “An economic doctrine named Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) is surging in popularity and offering answers. MMT is debunking popular narratives about the harsh necessity of austerity and belt-tightening. It is showing that money is not a finite abstraction, but a limitless public utility that can be used to meet human needs. More than this, however, MMT and its heterodox economic cousins offer a framework to build directly democratic, egalitarian political structures, and thus reimagine and recalibrate the viability of democratic socialism.”

MMT has NO sound scientific foundations, therefore, it cannot by any stretch of the imagination offer a framework for building the Good Society. If anything, MMT is a social bluff package for the benefit of the one-percenters.

For details see
What the non-economist needs to realize are that there are TWO economixes: political economics and theoretical economics. The main differences are: (i) The goal of political economics is to successfully push an agenda, and the goal of theoretical economics is to successfully explain how the actual economy works. (ii) In political economics anything goes; in theoretical economics, the scientific standards of material and formal consistency are observed.

Economics claims to be a science but is NOT. Theoretical economics (= science) had been hijacked from the very beginning by political economists (= agenda pushers). Political economics (Walrasianism, Keynesianism/MMT, Marxianism, Austrianism) has produced NOTHING of scientific value in the last 200+ years.

MMT is one of the warring factions of political economics.  MMTers have NO idea how the price- and profit mechanism works. As fake scientists, MMTers are as helpful for grassroots movements as the barber-surgeons, alchemists, astrologers, and bloodletters of the Dark Ages.

Egmont Kakarot-Handtke


Related 'There is NO such thing as an economic expert' and 'Mr. Corbyn and the perils of political economics' and 'Endtime for soapbox economists' and 'Everything you know about MMT is wrong' and 'MMT: The economics moron as problem solver' and 'Mental messies and loose losers' and 'Make no mistake: there can be only one true theory' and 'MMT is NOT an alternative to Neoliberalism' and 'MMT: scientific incompetence or political fraud?' and 'Are MMTers stupid or corrupt or both?' and 'MMT: Just political heat, no scientific light' and 'Time to retire political economists'.

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REPLY to Neil Wilson on Jan 4

You say: “If you want something from somebody else, then you have to do something in exchange. That’s called a job. Money isn’t free. You have to work for it.”

Obviously, you have NO idea how the economy works.

In order to see this one has to go back to the most elementary configuration, that is, the production-consumption economy which consists of the household and the business sector.#1

In this elementary economy, three configurations are logically possible: (i) consumption expenditures are equal to wage income C=Yw, (ii) C<Yw, (iii) C>Yw.

In case (i) the monetary saving of the household sector Sm≡Yw−C is zero and the monetary profit of the business sector Qm≡C−Yw, too, is zero.
In case (ii) monetary saving Sm is positive and the business sector makes a loss, i.e. Qm is negative.
In case (iii) monetary saving Sm is negative, i.e. the household sector dissaves, and the business sector makes a profit, i.e. Qm is positive.

It always holds Qm≡−Sm, in other words, at the heart of the monetary economy is an identity: the business sector’s surplus (deficit) equals the household sector’s deficit (surplus). Put bluntly, profit is the counterpart of dissaving. This is the most elementary form of the macroeconomic Profit Law.

Macroeconomic profit has NOTHING to do with working, productivity, exploitation, capital, risk-taking, innovation, monopoly power, etcetera. Loss or profit are NOT income. Alone distributed profit is income. The profit theory is false since Adam Smith.#2

Your assertion “Money isn’t free. You have to work for it.” proves that you do not understand the foundational concepts ― income and profit ― of economics.

This, of course, holds for the rest of MMTers, so you are not alone behind the curve.#3


#1 The elementary production-consumption economy is given by three macro axioms: (A1) Yw=WL wage income Yw is equal to wage rate W times working hours. L, (A2) O=RL output O is equal to productivity R times working hours L, (A3) C=PX consumption expenditure C is equal to price P times quantity bought/sold X. For a start holds X=O.
#2 Essentials of Constructive Heterodoxy: Profit
#3 Down with idiocy!

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NOTE on Daniel José Camacho — The deficit doesn't matter: thinking morally about the economy with Stephanie Kelton

MMT is advertised as follows: “Social justice folks picking on MMT. ... For all the talk about the national deficit and why it’s the reason our government can’t afford to improve healthcare or education, these developments reveal profound layers of hypocrisy. They show how deficit-talk has constrained political imagination and reduced the economy to a soulless, amoral balance sheet.”

Social justice folks are economically illiterate and fall for the rhetoric. MMT is a social bluff package for the benefit of the one-percenters. The macroeconomic Profit Law says Public Deficit = Private Profit.

For details see

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REPLY to Matt Franko on Dec 5

Social justice folks are economically, scientifically, and politically illiterate. This is why they are being taken in by the sales folks of MMT. See
Because Public Deficit = Private Profit MMT is a wellness program for the one-percenters and you, Hickey, Calgacus, Cooper, Kelton, Mosler, Mitchell, Tcherneva, Wray, Fullwiler, Forstater, Kaboub, Pettifor, Keen, Tymoigne, Willingham, Grumbine, and many others are selling it as a benefit for the ninety-nine percenters.

Before social justice folks get too enthusiastic about MMT they better switch from emotion to thinking and do some economics homework. Recommended for a start Down with idiocy!

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REPLY to Matt Franko on Jan 6

You say “… all the MMT people are some of the most legit social justice people on planet earth...”

This, of course, is what they are trying to tell the genuine social justice people of the genuine grassroots movements. In fact, MMT is nothing but good old Political Economy.

What genuine social justice people have first of all to understand is that there are political economics and theoretical economics. The main differences are: (i) The goal of political economics is to successfully push an agenda, and the goal of theoretical economics is to successfully explain how the actual economy works. (ii) In political economics anything goes; in theoretical economics, the scientific standards of material and formal consistency are observed.

Economics started as Political Economy ― that is, as open agenda pushing for the one-percenters ― and in the last 200+ years never advanced to real science. Economists never rose above the proto-scientific level of Adam Smith/Karl Marx.#1

MMTers, like their peers from the other sects, do to this day not understand the difference between profit and income, i.e. of the fundamental concepts of economics.#2 Because of this, MMT is pure proto-scientific garbage = political blather.

Do the genuine social justice people need the support of academics who are too stupid to put 2 and 2 together, that is, who do not even get the sectoral balances of macroeconomics right?#3 The grassroots movements need MMT like a hole in the head.

It is the other way around: the MMTers need the grassrooters to push their own agenda. The debt-does-not-matter meme has no other purpose than to encourage deficit spending for everything which, in turn, has one absolutely certain effect due to the Profit Law, i.e. Public Deficit = Private Profit, that is, to make Wall Street happy.

To pose as social justice fighter is one of the oldest tricks of Political Economy. It is applied right before our eyes by Stephanie Kelton and the other members of Warren Mosler’s academic sales team.

The claim that “all the MMT people are some of the most legit social justice people on planet earth” is perhaps effective for hijacking genuine grassroots movements but otherwise simply a bad joke.

With MMT, the original brain-dead Political Economy has, after some pseudo-scientific and pseudo-social window dressing, come full circle.#4


#1 Economics: 200+ years of scientific incompetence and fraud
#2 For the proof see cross-references MMT
#3 Down with idiocy!
#4 The end of political economics

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REPLY to Matt Franko on Jan 6

For facts see the MMT-meme on Wikimedia AXEC122


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JFTR Brian Romanchuk on Jan 6 and Blog-Reference MNE

MMT is refuted on all counts, see cross-references MMT and ‘The new macroeconomic paradigm’.

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REPLY to Matt Franko, Andrew Anderson on Jan 7

The Lord spoke out of the bush and handed over these
Ten Economics Commandments:

1. Never cite the Bible or other religious texts in an economic argument.

2. Maintain the strict separation of science and religion under all circumstances.

3. Maintain the strict separation of science and politics under all circumstances.

4. Do not dabble in Psychology, Sociology, Anthropology, History, Political Science, Social Philosophy, or any other of the so-called social sciences.

5. Figure out how the actual economic system works and communicate your results in the format of a materially/formally consistent theory.

6. Absolutely refrain from storytelling, metaphors, analogies, narratives, gossip, insinuation, filibuster, and other rhetorical means.

7. Do not apply Methodological Individualism/Microfoundations.

8. Do not moralize, the subject matter of economics is IS not OUGHT. How the Good Society can be realized has to be determined in the political sphere.

9. Be aware that there are knowledge and opinion, science and non-science, scientific standards and anything-goes, true and false with nothing in-between, and that most people are unable to get out of the proto-scientific swamp.

10. Rest assured that those who violate scientific standards go to hell and will be tortured in all eternity with the senseless blather of Walrasianism, Keynesianism, Marxianism, Austrianism, and MMT.

***
REPLY to Andrew Anderson on Jan 7

The axiomatically correct macroeconomic Profit Law is given for the general case as Qm≡Yd+(I−Sm)+(G−T)+(X−M). Legend: Qm total monetary profit, Yd distributed profit, I investment expenditures, Sm monetary saving, G government expenditures, T taxes, X exports, M imports. 

Neither Walrasians, Keynesians, Marxians, Austrians, nor MMTers got profit right until this very day. This is why economics is a failed science.

From the general macroeconomic Profit Law follows Qm=G−T if Yd, I, Sm, X, M = 0, that is, Public Deficit = Private Profit.

With deficit spending and the permanent increase of public debt, MMT promotes the agenda of the one-percenters.



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REPLY to Andrew Anderson on Jan 7

You say: “Yet some increase in the amount of fiat is undoubtedly good to keep up with population growth to prevent the old from looting the young via deflation.”

Admirable, how you mess up every issue.

There are TWO ways to bring money into circulation and MMT deficit spending is definitely the wrong way.#1



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COMMENT on Keith Newman on 'MMT Is Not Just "Theory X"' on Jan 8 and Blog-Reference MNE

You say “Hello Brian, I completely agree with your observation that ‘it is not going to be easy for an MMTer to offer a short summary of what MMT is. Someone may be able to come up with a succinct theoretical summary, but that summary would be meaningless for anyone not already familiar with MMT in the first place.’”

In fact, it is quite straightforward: MMT is money-making for the one-percenters because Public Deficit = Private Profit and fake science because MMT’s foundational balance equation (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=0 is false. For details see Down with idiocy!

You say “Bill Mitchell has an interesting post on the subject that includes the sectoral balance approach. A quote: ‘How does Kalecki see budget deficits in this model? The way in which the budget deficit generates profits is via its effect on national income.’”

Kalecki messed profit theory up just like all the rest. See Heterodoxy, too, is proto-scientific garbage.

You say “A very interesting publication on the subject is available from the Jerome Levy forecasting Center entitled Where Profits Come From.”

I have summarized this paper as follows “The lethal error/mistake/blunder of the Levy approach consists in starting with Saving = Investment.” This is the original Keynes-blunder. See Rethinking deficit spending.

Brian Romanchuk’s remark “I think it’s Doktor E.K-H. I tried deciphering his arguments a year ago, and I think his arguments came down to his using some primitive cash-based notion of profit.” tells you that he does not even understand what the matter is all about.

So here in brief: The MMT sectoral balances equation (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=0 is false and the E.K-H balances equation (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=(Qm−Yd) is true. Legend: Qm is monetary profit, and Yd is distributed profit. Qn, i.e. non-monetary profit, has been left out here to simplify matters but has been treated extensively in the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College Working Paper No. 741.

See also The Common Error of Common Sense: An Essential Rectification of the Accounting Approach Levy Economics Institute of Bard College Working Paper No. 371.

So, the description of MMT boils ultimately down to MMT is proto-scientific garbage that is promoted by folks with less than two brain cells who cannot even tell what profit is.

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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 8 and Blog-Reference MNE

The formal basis of the General Theory is given with: “Income = value of output = consumption + investment. Saving = income − consumption. Therefore saving = investment.” (Keynes, 1973, p. 63)

This two-liner is conceptually and logically defective because Keynes did not come to grips with profit.

“His Collected Writings show that he wrestled to solve the Profit Puzzle up till the semi-final versions of his GT but in the end he gave up and discarded the draft chapter dealing with it.” (Tómasson et al., 2010, pp. 12-13)

So, Keynes, the fake scientist, had NO idea of the foundational concept of economics. After-Keynesians in their bottomless incompetence never spotted Keynes’ blunder ― with one honorable exception: Allais.#1, #2

Post Keynesians and MMTers blindly reproduced Keynes’ blunder to this very day.#3

So it is NOT the case that I “defined profit differently” but it is indeed the case that I defined the macroeconomic Profit Law for the first time axiomatically correctly.

From this follows for the balances equations
(I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=0 = MMT = false
(I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=(Qm−Yd) = AXEC = true.#4

Now it is your turn. The Walrasians have put their axioms on the table, so have I.#4 Stop blathering, show your axioms and your definition of macroeconomic profit or get out of the scientific discussion.


#2 “A satisfactory theory of profits is still elusive.” (Palgrave Dictionary, Desai, 2008)

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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 9 and Blog-Reference MNE

You said, “It would be very easy to be annoyed at these characterisations of MMT; they almost invariably trivialise the theory, saying it is ‘just’ some simple theory (the word ‘just’ is always in the phrasing). ... The first thing to keep in mind is that MMT is not a single idea, it is what appears to be an internally consistent economic school of thought, which lies in the ‘broad tent post-Keynesian’ economics, following the definition of Marc Lavoie in his text Post-Keynesian Economics: New Foundations.”

Why do you not simply put down in clear language the handful of core propositions MMT is built upon instead of constantly being annoyed by the wrong characterizations and misunderstandings of non-MMTers? After all, this is how science works for 2300+ years: “When the premises are certain, true, and primary, and the conclusion formally follows from them, this is demonstration, and produces scientific knowledge of a thing.” (Aristotle)

If your premises/core assumptions/primitive propositions/principles/axioms are not well-defined the whole of your argument falls apart. It is pretty obvious that you are too confused to define MMT properly. Instead, you waffle about quantum physics or the use of the word axiom.

You maintain “I believe that ‘axiom’ is essentially ‘assumption’ in Greek, but in the English-speaking mathematics world, ‘axiom’ is reserved for foundational mathematical assumptions, like those for plane geometry or the real line.”

Obviously, you have never heard that one of the most famous books in physics ― Newton’s Principia ― starts with the words Axiomata Sieve Leges Motus or that Debreu titled one of the most important Neoclassical books The theory of value: an axiomatic analysis of economic equilibrium.

Keynes understood the crucial role of axioms very well “For if orthodox economics is at fault, the error is to be found not in the superstructure, which has been erected with great care for logical consistency, but in a lack of clearness and of generality in the premises.”#2

The same holds for MMT. Because of a lack of clearness in the premises/axioms, MMT is simply a heap of inconsistent and confused blather that MMTers themselves do not understand. Every approach stands or falls with the consistency of its axioms.

You say “In any event, you can pick up practically any introductory macro textbook and get the *definitions* used in the national accounts.” Yes, but the fact of the matter is, that these *definitions* are false since Samuelson’s textbook of 1948.#3

I understand that you have a lot of problems on your plate which explains that there has not been one second left since your textbook years for thinking about profit and income which are without any doubt the foundational concepts of economics. The fact is that you are too stupid for the elementary mathematics that underlies accounting.#4


#3 The father of modern economics and his imbecile kids. In the 1998 edition, the blunder is on p. 392.
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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 9 and Blog-Reference MNE

You say “Newton was writing in Latin, not English. As I wrote, this is the convention in the English-speaking world.”

WOW, did you never realize that the Principia was translated into English in 1729, and Book I starts since then with ‘Axioms, or the Laws of motion’?

Where did you get your diploma from? Trump University?

As far as axiomatization in mathematics is concerned you better look up Hilbert, Bourbaki, Russel, and Whitehead in Wikipedia before posting brain-dead nonsense.

In economics, axiomatization started with Senior: “To Senior belongs the signal honor of having been the first to make the attempt to state, consciously and explicitly, the postulates that are necessary and sufficient in order to build up … that little analytic apparatus commonly known as economic theory, or to put it differently, to provide for it an axiomatic basis.” (Schumpeter)#1

Modern microeconomic textbooks start with the Axiom of Rationality, see Mas-Colell Microeconomic Theory, page 5.

Obviously, you have no idea of the scientific “conventions in the English-speaking world.”

But our issue is not methodology in general but the conceptual mess of MMT. And here the proof has been given that the balances equation MMT is based upon is false.#2

MMT is scientifically dead, admit it, and then get out of the way.



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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 9 and Blog-Reference MNE

You say ”I’m trained as a mathematician, not a ‘scientist,’ and your writing style is mangling *modern* mathematical conventions.”

Frankly, it is a matter of indifference to what your training was. Perhaps Wikipedia can bring you up to speed with regard to axiomatization: “The Zermelo-Fraenkel axioms, the result of the axiomatic method applied to set theory, allowed the ‘proper’ formulation of set-theory problems and helped to avoid the paradoxes of naïve set theory. One such problem was the Continuum hypothesis. Zermelo–Fraenkel set theory with the historically controversial axiom of choice included is commonly abbreviated ZFC, where C stands for choice. ... Today ZFC is the standard form of axiomatic set theory and as such is the most common foundation of mathematics.”

You say “I cannot see how a ‘definition’ (of profits) turns into an ‘axiom.’” Nobody can see a definition turning into an axiom because this is a hallucination of your own making.

The three macroeconomic axioms for the elementary production-consumption economy are given by (A1) Yw=WL wage income Yw is equal to wage rate W times working hours. L, (A2) O=RL output O is equal to productivity R times working hours L, (A3) C=PX consumption expenditure C is equal to price P times quantity bought/sold X. And the profit definition reads Qm≡C−Yw.

You say “But for our purposes, MMT uses standard national accounting, which is a formal framework developed earlier and is still under revision. National accounting provides an internally-consistent set of definitions for defining aggregates.”

Again, the formal framework of standard national accounting is inconsistent. For proof see The Common Error of Common Sense: An Essential Rectification of the Accounting Approach.

Because of this, the MMT balances equation (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=0 is false. A mathematician worth his salt sees this immediately. Profit is the balance of the business sector and it is MISSING in the equation.

Your reference to the SFC modeling literature is pointless because if the foundational concepts of profit and income are ill-defined the models are only good for the wastebasket. This applies to all MMT models.

MMT policy guidance lacks sound scientific foundations.

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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 10 and Blog-Reference MNE

At the beginning of every scientific investigation stands the following question “What are the propositions which may reasonably be received without proof? That there must be some such propositions all are agreed, since there cannot be an infinite series of proof, a chain suspended from nothing. But to determine what these propositions are is the opus magnum of the more recondite mental philosophy.” (J. S. Mill)

The foundational propositions are called axioms in methodology. Every scientific discipline is ultimately based on axioms.

In economics, we have Walrasian microfoundations and Keynesian macrofoundations. Both are clearly defined and provably false. So what is needed is a paradigm shift. As Keynes put it “The classical theorists resemble Euclidean geometers in a non-Euclidean world who, discovering that in experience straight lines apparently parallel often meet, rebuke the lines for not keeping straight ― as the only remedy for the unfortunate collisions which are occurring. Yet, in truth, there is no remedy except to throw over the axiom of parallels and to work out a non-Euclidean geometry. Something similar is required to-day in economics.”#1

MMT claims to be a new approach, aka Paradigm, and has published its foundational assumptions, aka axioms, on Wikipedia.#2. And what do we see here? the sectoral balances equation which is false since Keynes wrote I=S on p. 63 of the GT.

So, MMT is not a new paradigm but Post Keynesian rubbish. Keynes did not understand what profit is, and the abysmally incompetent After-Keynesians did not realize the foundational blunder in the last 80 years.

What is the last refuge of morons? It is Humpty Dumpty wordplay “‘When I use a word,’ Humpty Dumpty said in rather a scornful tone, ‘it means just what I choose it to mean — neither more nor less.’ ‘The question is,’ said Alice, ‘whether you can make words mean so many different things.’ ‘The question is,’ said Humpty Dumpty, ‘which is to be master — that's all’.”

This is NOT how science works. The freedom or arbitrariness of definition is a methodological illusion. It applies only to the first definition. Subsequently, one has to make sure that every new definition is consistent with the preceding ones. Formal consistency is indispensable.

The MMT balances equation is provably false. Because the foundational assumptions, aka axioms, are false the whole analytical superstructure of MMT is false. MMT policy guidance has NO sound scientific foundations.#3

Needless to emphasize that the Trump University economists Romanchuk, Kelton, Mosler, Mitchell, Tcherneva, Wray, Fullwiler, Forstater, Kaboub, Pettifor, Keen, Tymoigne, Willingham, Grumbine etcetera, who do not even get the elementary mathematics of macroeconomic accounting right and do not know what profit is, are too stupid for the opus magnum, that is, for the formulation of a consistent set of foundational propositions, aka axioms, of the hallucinatory new paradigm called MMT.


#2 Wikipedia, Modern Monetary Theory

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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 10 and Blog-Reference MNE

Come to the point and tell everybody in a few clear sentences and a neat equation what the MMT definition of profit is instead of complaining that MMT is not just ‘Theory X’.

“In modern science, the term ‘theory’ refers to scientific theories, a well-confirmed type of explanation of nature [or sub-systems like the economy for example], made in a way consistent with scientific method, and fulfilling the criteria required by modern science.” (Wikipedia)

The criteria of modern science are material and formal consistency “Research is in fact a continuous discussion of the consistency of theories: formal consistency insofar as the discussion relates to the logical cohesion of what is asserted in joint theories; material consistency insofar as the agreement of observations with theories is concerned.” (Klant)

MMT is no valid theory because it lacks logical consistency and MMTer cannot even tell what profit is.

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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 10 and Blog-Reference MNE

I asked you to state “in a few clear sentences and a neat equation what the MMT definition of profit is.”

You merely give the question back “What ‘profits’ do you want to know about?” In other words, you have no idea what profit is.

So, here we go, profit for dummies.

For the determination of monetary profit of the economy as a whole one has to start with the most elementary case of a pure production-consumption economy without investment, government, and foreign trade.#1 In this elementary economy three configurations are logically possible: (i) consumption expenditures are equal to wage income C=Yw, (ii) C is less than Yw, (iii) C is greater than Yw.
  • In case (i) the monetary saving of the household sector Sm≡Yw−C is zero and the monetary profit of the business sector Qm≡C−Yw, too, is zero.
  • In case (ii) monetary saving Sm is positive and the business sector makes a loss, i.e. Qm is negative.
  • In case (iii) monetary saving Sm is negative, i.e. the household sector dissaves, and the business sector makes a profit, i.e. Qm is positive.
It always holds Qm+Sm=0 or Qm≡−Sm, in other words, loss is the counterpart of saving and profit is the counterpart of dissaving. This is the most elementary form of the Profit Law. Total profit is scattered among the firms that comprise the business sector.

Profit for the economy as a WHOLE has NOTHING to do with productivity, the wage rate, working hours, exploitation, competition, innovation, capital, power, monopoly, waiting, risk, greed, the smartness of capitalists, or any other subjective factors. Total profit/loss is objectively determined in the most elementary case by the change in the household sector’s debt

Monetary profit/loss is measurable with the precision of two decimal places.

Needless to emphasize that the complexity of the monetary economy can now be successively increased. Accordingly, Qm≡−Sm+Yd+I+(G−T)+(X−M) is the Profit Law for an open economy (X−M) with a government sector (G−T) and with the business investment I and distributed profit Yd.

This equation tells everybody that Public Deficit = Private Profit and this, in turn, tells everybody that MMT’s relentless propagation of deficit spending for social purposes is nothing but agenda pushing for the one-percenters.

So, an MMTer is either stupid because he does not know what profit is, or corrupt because he deceives the ninety-nine-percenters.#2 Take your pick.


#1 (A0) The objectively given and most elementary configuration of the economy consists of the household and the business sector which in turn consists initially of one giant fully integrated firm. (A1) Yw=WL wage income Yw is equal to wage rate W times working hours. L, (A2) O=RL output O is equal to productivity R times working hours L, (A3) C=PX consumption expenditure C is equal to price P times quantity bought/sold X. For a start it holds X=O. Note that ALL variables are measurable.

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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 11 and Blog-Reference MNE

Science is about universals. The Law of Gravitation is not different in Newton’s Cambridge, in the US, or in China but holds throughout the universe. However, when it comes to measurement, some practical problems arise because different countries measure mass or length in different units.

Therefore, the first and foremost task of science is to define the foundational concepts and their dimensions (e.g. mass, length) consistently and with the utmost precision. This is the precondition of testing which is the final arbiter in science. In order to get rid of different national definitions of dimensions, in physics, natural units are used which are “physical units of measurement based only on universal physical constants”. (Wikipedia)

Analogously, economics has to establish a consistent set of foundational economic concepts (e.g. income, profit, employment, etc) and then figure out how they are related (e.g. Profit Law, Employment Law). How is this done? “The only way to arrive at coherent languages is to set up axiomatic systems implicitly defining the basic concepts.” (Schmiechen)

Economics has failed already at this first step. Profit is ill-defined since Adam Smith, and MMT is no exception. The scientific incompetence of economists stinks to the high heavens. Physics students all over the world can tell you precisely what energy is but economics students look up the definition of profit in their national tax code. This tells the general public everything about the absurdity of the claim that economics is a science.

Your reference to GAAP is a case in point. We are dealing here with the MMT balances equation which is a macroeconomic relation and macroeconomic magnitudes are measured by national accounting. Here the practical problem arises that different countries have historically developed their own systems. The problem of unification has been addressed by the United Nations System of National Accounts.#1, #2

The GAAP has the practical purpose of determining profit for taxing American firms. It has NO scientific content whatsoever. When we are talking about macroeconomic profit the GAAP is absolutely IRRELEVANT.

The axiomatically correct balances equation reads (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=(Qm−Yd). The MMT balances equation reads (I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=0. As everybody can see, monetary profit Qm and distributed profit Yd are MISSING in the foundational equation of MMT.

MMTers have not realized to this day that the most important real-world economic magnitude ― profit ― is absent in their “theory”. They even think they can look it up in the GAAP. More proof of manifest idiocy is not needed.



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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 12 and Blog-Reference MNE

It is pretty obvious that you are eager to demonstrate to the world that you know the difference between Cash Basis and Accrual Basis accounting.

What you fail to recognize, though, is that we are talking about the MMT balances equation and national accounting principles and NOT about your personal bookkeeping and GAAP accounting principles. In other words, macroeconomics is about the universe and micro is about the molehill and you are unable to look beyond your molehill horizon.

I need not answer your silly GAAP bookkeeping question because I have explained the difference between macroeconomic and microeconomic accounting already to another smart MMTer. Just look it up.#1

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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 13 and Blog-Reference MNE

Let us agree on the following

• There is micro and macro and the MMT balances equation is macro. So all your references to the behavior of firms and individuals and GAAP accounting principles are entirely beside the point.

• Macro is false since Keynes due to the Fallacy of Insufficient Abstraction. MMT has inherited Keynes' methodological blunder. It is a historical fact that the Keynesian Revolution, i.e. the move from microfoundations to macrofoundations, i.e. the replacement of micro axioms by macro axioms, i.e. the paradigm shift, failed.

• If my argument sounds bizarre to you this has nothing to do with language or terminology but with the plain FACT that economics has failed in the last 200+ years to get the definition of the foundational concepts of income and profit right.#1 MMT is NO exception. The actual state of economics is like medieval physics before the foundational concept of energy was properly defined and fully understood.#2 If this is not bizarre, what is?

• The question is not at all how my argument sounds but whether it is true or false. I wonder how long it takes MMTers to stop talking methodological nonsense and in earnest try to disprove the axiomatically correct balances equation.

• The whole issue boils down to this: Which one of the two macroeconomic relationships is true MMT=(I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)=0 or AXEC=(I−S)+(G−T)+(X−M)−(Qm−Yd)=0?

We both know the simple answer: the AXEC equation is true and the MMT equation is rather bizarre because it applies to a zero-profit economy. And this means that MMT policy proposals have NO sound scientific foundation.#3 Not one of them.


#2 “Thousands upon thousands of scholars, as well as thousands of statesmen and men of affairs, have contributed their efforts to the attempt to understand the course of events of the economic world. And today this field of investigation is being cultivated more extensively, than ever before. How is it, then, that in all these years, and with all the undoubted talent that has been lavished upon it, the subject of economics has advanced so little?” (Schoeffler)

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REPLY to Brian Romanchuk on Jan 13 and Blog-Reference MNE

You say “If you think we can only define things one way, your investment in higher education was sadly wasted.”

The lack of definitions is NOT the problem. Just the opposite. In the political realm, at Trump University, or in the Station for Mentally Deranged you can define anything in multiple ways. Not so in science. If you leave science and rename MMT to MMB ― Multiple Monetary Blather ― you can define anything in any way and are safe from criticism and refutation.

My higher education tells me that you are 2700+ years behind the curve “There are always many different opinions and conventions concerning any one problem or subject-matter …. This shows that they are not all true. For if they conflict, then at best only one of them can be true. Thus it appears that Parmenides ... was the first to distinguish clearly between truth or reality on the one hand, and convention or conventional opinion (hearsay, plausible myth) on the other …” (Popper)